** WTPQ20 RJTD 090000 ***
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TD 
ANALYSIS
PSTN  090000UTC 11.9N 154.6E POOR
MOVE  NNW SLOWLY
PRES  996HPA
MXWD  030KT
FORECAST
24HF  100000UTC 13.0N 150.0E 100NM 70%
MOVE  WNW 06KT
PRES  994HPA
MXWD  040KT
48HF  110000UTC 15.5N 146.0E 110NM 70%
MOVE  WNW 06KT
PRES  990HPA
MXWD  050KT =


** WTPQ30 RJTD 090000  ***

RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE PROGNOSTIC REASONING
REASONING NO. 1 FOR TD LOCATED AT 11.9N 154.6E
1.GENERAL COMMENTS
  POSITION FORECAST IS MAINLY BASED ON NWP AND PERSISTENCY.
2.SYNOPTIC SITUATION
  NOTHING PARTICULAR TO EXPLAIN.
3.MOTION FORECAST
  POSITION ACCURACY AT 090000 UTC IS POOR.
  TD WILL MOVE AT THE SAME SPEED FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
  TD WILL MOVE WEST-NORTHWEST FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
4.INTENSITY FORECAST
  TD WILL BE GRADED UP TO TS WITHIN 24 HOURS.
  TD WILL DEVELOP BECAUSE CYCLONE WILL MOVE INTO HIGH SST AREA.
  FI-NUMBER WILL BE 3.5 AFTER 24 HOURS.=


** WTPQ20 RJTD 090300 ***
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME  TD 
ANALYSIS
PSTN  090300UTC 11.7N 154.4E POOR
MOVE  ALMOST STATIONARY
PRES  994HPA
MXWD  030KT
FORECAST
24HF  100300UTC 13.3N 149.5E 100NM 70%
MOVE  WNW 06KT
PRES  992HPA
MXWD  040KT
45HF  110000UTC 15.5N 146.0E 110NM 70%
MOVE  WNW 06KT
PRES  990HPA
MXWD  050KT =