for Monday, 24 August 2015 [7:50 AM PhT]
DIRECT CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be directly affected or that are being directly affected by the hazards generated by this current tropical cyclone.
RAINFALL [together with the effect of the Southwest Monsoon (Habagat) being directly enhanced by GONI (INENG)]
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 AM PhT today, August 24...2100 GMT.
Classification/Name: TY GONI (INENG)
Location: Over the southern part of the East China Sea (near 25.6N 125.2E)
About: 655 km northeast of Basco, Batanes...or 158 km northeast of Ishigakijima
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 200 kph near the center...Gustiness: 240 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (near the center): 100 to 200 mm [Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 937 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 500 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds 100 kph or more wind gusts): 110 km from the center
Past Movement: Northeast @ 21 kph
Forecast Movement: Northeast @ 37 kph
Towards: Ryukyus-Kyushu Area
1-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK
TY GONI (INENG) is expected to move rapidly to the northeast during the outlook period. On the forecast track, GONI will be passing just to the north of Okinawa this afternoon and shall make landfall over the Southwestern or Western Coast of Kyushu, Japan on Tuesday morning (Aug 25).
TY GONI (INENG) will slightly intensify within the next 6 to 12 hours...before weakening anew at the end of the outlook period. The Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds increasing to 205 kph this afternoon...and decreasing to 195 kph on Tuesday morning (Aug 25) before its landfall over Western Japan.
The following is the 1-day forecast outlook summary* for this system:
TUESDAY EARLY MORNING: Rapidly accelerates northeastward as it starts to weaken and decay...prepares to make landfall along the southwestern coast of Kyushu, Japan...about 70 km west-southwest of Kagoshima, Japan [2AM AUG 25: 31.4N 129.8E @ 195kph]. Confidence Level: HIGH.
*Important Note: Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Time/Date: 5:00 AM PhT Mon Aug 24, 2015
Location of Eye: Near 25.6º N Lat 125.2º E Lon
Distance 1: 259 km WSW of Naha International Airport, Okinawa
Distance 2: 368 km ENE of Taipei, Taiwan
Distance 3: 637 km NE of Itbayat, Batanes
Distance 4: 844 km SW of Kagoshima, Japan
Distance 5: 1309 km NNE of Metro Manila
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): PNG