for Wednesday, 10 December 2014 [8:00 PM PhT]
CYCLONE HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Below are the regions or places in the Philippines that could be affected or that are being affected by the hazards generated by the current tropical cyclone.
CURRENT CYCLONE INFORMATION
As of 5:00 PM PhT today...0900 GMT...Dec 10.
Classification/Name: TS Hagupit (Ruby)
Location: Off the western part of the West Philippine Sea (near 13.5N 115.5E)
About: 510 km west-southwest of Lubang Is., Occidental Mindoro...or 535 km west-northwest of Coron, Palawan
Maximum Sustained Winds (10-min avg): 85 kph near the center...Gustiness: 100 kph
24 hr. Rain Accumulation (from outer bands to near the center): 25 to 250 mm [Slight to Heavy]
Minimum Central Pressure: 989 millibars (hPa)
Size of Circulation [Convective Cloud-Based, in diameter]: 540 km (Small)
Area of Damaging Winds (95 kph or more): None
Past Movement: West @ 11 kph
Forecast Movement: WSW @ 24 kph
Towards: Southeastern Vietnam
2-DAY FORECAST OUTLOOK*
TS Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to move west-southwest with an increase in its forward speed throughout the forecast outlook. On the forecast track, TS Hagupit (Ruby) will move out of the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) early tonight...and shall be off the coastal areas of Southeastern Vietnam, near Nha Trang by Thursday evening.
TS Hagupit (Ruby) is expected to decay and weaken throughout the outlook period due ot the entrainment of cold-dry air of the Northeast Monsoon and landmass interaction. It shall be downgraded into a Tropical Depression by early Friday morning. Advance Intensity Forecast (AIF) shows its 10-minute maximum sustained winds decreasing to 35 kph by 48 hours.
The following is the 2-day forecast outlook summary for this system:
THURSDAY AFTERNOON: Weakens as it approaches Southeastern Vietnam...increases its forward speed while over the South China Sea...about 185 km east-northeast of Nha Trang, Vietnam [2PM DEC 11: 12.4N 110.9E @ 65kph].
FRIDAY AFTERNOON: Weakened into an Area of Low Pressure ...as it traverses Southern Vietnam...about 95 km west-southwest of Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam [2PM DEC 12: 10.5N 105.9E @ 35kph].
*Please be reminded that the Forecast Outlook changes every 6 hours, and the Day 2 and 3 Forecast Track has an average error of 100 and 250 km respectively...while the wind speed forecast error, averages 35 kph per day. Therefore, a turn to the left or right of its future track and changes in its wind speed must be anticipated from time to time.
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above hazards summary and forecast outlook changes every 6 to 12 hrs!
Time/Date: 5:00 PM PhT Wed Dec 10, 2014
Location of Center: Near 13.5º N Lat 115.5º E Lon
Distance 1: 535 km WSW of Subic Bay, Zambales
Distance 2: 305 km NNE of Pagasa Is., Spratlys
Distance 3: 540 km NW of Puerto Princesa, Palawan
Distance 4: 585 km WSW of Tagaytay City
Distance 5: 700 km ENE of Nha Trang, Vietnam
T2K/WP StormTrack (for Public): GIF