An increased chance for normal-average rainfall for the Philippines. The
ongoing La Niña Conditions, warm sea-surface temperatures (SSTs), & the moist
Easterlies support normal rainfall across the region. Confidence: HIGH.
[view full report]
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Week Two (2) Forecast: FEBRUARY 08-14, 2012
[Wednesday to
Tuesday]
An increased chance for normal-average rainfall for the Philippines. Prevailing
La Niña Conditions, Moist Easterlies, & warm SSTs support normal rainfall across
the region. Confidence: HIGH.
[view full report]
Important Note: Please keep in mind that the
above two-week tropical forecast outlook, does not
guarantee 100%
accuracy! Errors & changes particularly the 2nd week forecast can happen within
the designated outlook
week.
:: Confidence Level [chance of happening]: LOW: <30% MEDIUM: 30-50% HIGH: >50%
:: This outlook is issued for planners every Wednesday. ::
>> The next outlook will be issued February 08, 2012.
Sources: NOAA Global
Tropical Hazards Assessment & Various Numerical
Computer Models.
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