5. Typhoon OMAIS (Enteng/06w)
>> May 16-23, 2004
Omais: contributed by the United States, is the Palauan word for
'wandering around.'
Introduction
Typhoon Omais was the third of three significant tropical cyclones
during May and occurred during a triple-storm outbreak together with
Super Typhoon Nida and Tropical Storm 05W. This midget typhoon passed
only a whisker's breadth away from Yap Island before recurving north
and northeast and dissipating.
Storm Origins
At 0600 UTC 14 May a new area of convection was noted approximately
250 nm southwest of Chuuk. JTWC included this new suspect area in
their STWO at 0600 UTC, 14 May, and assessed it as having a poor
potential for development. Animated multi-spectral satellite imagery
revealed a possible weak LLCC with loose, cycling convection. An upper-
level analysis indicated a moderate environment with weak to moderate
wind shear and good diffluence aloft. The potential was raised to fair
at 15/0000 UTC after significant improvement in organization of the
deep convection over a definitive LLCC had been observed. After a TCFA
was issued at 15/2200 UTC, the initial warning on Tropical Depression
06W followed.
Synoptic History
At the time of the first warning Tropical Depression 06W was moving
west at 14 kts, being located some 525 nm east of Palau. Continuing
west, it was upgraded to tropical storm status at 16/1200 UTC. The MSW
increased a little more to 40 kts and this intensity was maintained
through much of the 17th. At 17/0600 UTC animated multi-spectral
satellite imagery showed the system with a disorganized, partially-
exposed LLCC with the deep convection blowing off to the west. The
storm had turned to a northwesterly path, and this heading took it to
within 140 nm of Yap at 17/1200 UTC. At this time, enhanced infrared
satellite animations showed organizing deep convection over the LLCC,
and Tropical Storm Omais began to rapidly intensify with the MSW upped
to 60 kts at 1800 UTC. (Editor's Note: The system did not officially
become Tropical Storm Omais until 0000 UTC on 18 May, when JMA upgraded
it to a 35-kt tropical storm--considerably less than JTWC's estimated
MSW of 60 kts.)
Having suffered badly from the passage of Typhoon Sudal only a month
earlier, things were looking rather bleak for the island of Yap at
18/0000 UTC. The continued northwesterly heading brought the center to
approximately 50 nm south-southeast of Yap. (At 18/0300 UTC Warning #9
was amended to mention that Omais had been relocated to a position about
60 nm directly south of Yap to tie in with fixes from microwave and
multi-spectral imagery.) The public advisory at 18/0059 UTC said it all:
"Damaging winds are imminent at Yap and neighbouring islands. Tropical
Storm 06W is forecast to pass over or very close to Yap as a Category 1
typhoon this evening. Residents of Yap should complete preparations for
destructive winds as soon as possible." However, Lady Luck was smiling
down on Yap. At 0600 UTC Omais turned west-northwestward and accelerated
to 11 kts, sparing the island a direct hit. Also, the fact that Omais
was a midget tropical cyclone seems to have worked to Yap's advantage.
The radius of gale-force winds was no more than 50 nm in the northern
quadrants and 70 nm to the south. More importantly, the radius of
destructive 50-kt winds was only 20 nm to the north, so likely Yap only
received winds gusting to barely gale force as Omais passed by to the
south.
Continuing west-northwestward, Omais was upgraded to minimal typhoon
status at 1800 UTC on 18 May, and the MSW of 65 kts was to be the peak
intensity per JTWC's warnings. This intensity was maintained through
the 19th. Microwave imagery at 1200 UTC revealed a possible banding eye
feature. At 19/1800 UTC Typhoon Omais responded to the weakening ridge
to the northeast by decelerating to 5 kts and turning towards the north-
west. Six hours later, the MSW dropped to 60 kts, and Omais was down-
graded to a tropical storm while located approximately 390 nm south-
southwest of Okinawa. A 19/2252 UTC SSM/I pass revealed a partially-
exposed LLCC on the north side of the deep convection.
At 0600 UTC on 20 May Tropical Storm Omais turned north-northeastward,
completing its recurvature and accelerating to around 12 kts. The MSW
dropped rather quickly through the 20th and was barely of tropical storm
strength by 0000 UTC the next day. Continuing to the north and north-
northeast, the storm blew itself out at 22/0600 UTC when located 380 nm
southwest of Iwo Jima. An extract from JTWC's final warning, issued at
this time, concluded: "TD-06W has dissipated more rapidly than previously
forecast. Animated multi-spectral and enhanced infrared satellite imagery
indicates an area of convection with no identifiable low-level
circulation center." The remnants eventually merged with a frontal
system.
JTWC was the only warning agency to classify Omais as a typhoon,
and JMA was the only other agency to upgrade the system to severe
tropical storm status, i.e., winds greater than 48 kts. JMA's peak
10-min avg MSW was 50 kts with an estimated minimum CP of 985 hPa.
The peak 10-min avg MSW estimated by NMCC and CWB was 40 kts, and the
peak intensity from PAGASA was 35 kts during the time Omais/Enteng was
within that agency's AOR. The cyclone remained outside HKO's area of
warning responsibility throughout its entire lifetime.
Damage and Casualties
No damage or casualties are known to have resulted from Typhoon
Omais.
(Report written by Kevin Boyle)
© 2004-2005 Typhoon2000.com All Rights Reserved.
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