================================================================================= A JOINT EFFORT OF NAGA CITY GOVERNMENT, TYPHOON2000.COM & NAGA COLLEGE FOUNDATION ================================================================================= TYPHOON YOYONG UNOFFICIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 05 5:00 PM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 01, 2004 Source: Joint Typhoon Warning Center (US Navy/Air Force) Warning #011 Note: Maximum Sustained Winds based on One-Minute Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POWERFUL TYPHOON YOYONG (NANMADOL) HAS GAINED STRENGTH AS IT CONTINUES TO MOVE FAST, CLOSER TO CATANDUANES AND CAMARINES PROVINCES. THE INNER RAIN BANDS OF THE TYPHOON IS NOW APPROACHING THE CITY OF NAGA, CAMARINES SUR AND THE REST OF BICOL AND IS EXPECTED TO BRING OCCASIONAL RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS BEGINNING TONIGHT. THE WINDS WILL PICK-UP LATE TONIGHT AND WILL DETERIORATE BY TOMORROW MORNING AS THE TYPHOON PASSES TO THE NORTH OF CAMARINES SUR AND NAGA CITY. FLOODING AND LANDSLIDES ARE POSSIBLE IN LOW-LYING AREAS. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE EASTERN COASTAL STRETCH OF CAMARINES SUR AND CATANDUANES MUST SEEK HIGHER GROUNDS AS STORM SURGE FLOODING WHICH REACH A HEIGHT OF 20 FEET CAN BE EXPECTED. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ::CURRENT POSITION:: AT 5 PM TODAY (0900 GMT) WED DEC 01 ------------------------------------ LOCATION OF EYE: 12.8 DEG NORTH LATITUDE 129.4 DEG EAST LONGITUDE DISTANCE: 677 KM. EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAGA CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (1-MIN. AVE.): 215 KPH NEAR THE CENTER GUSTINESS: 260 KPH ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 927 HECTOPASCALS MOVING: WEST-NORTHWEST AT 44 KPH TOWARDS: EASTERN LUZON WAVE HEIGHT: 27 FEET (8.2 METERS) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 09-HOUR FORECAST - 2 AM THU DEC 02 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 14.0N 126.2E DISTANCE: 327 KM. ENE OF NAGA CITY / 210 KM. ENE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 230 KPH GUSTINESS: 280 KPH MOVEMENT: WNW AT 33 KPH -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 21-HOUR FORECAST - 2 PM THU DEC 02 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 15.4N 122.8E DISTANCE: 205 KM. NNE OF NAGA CITY / 145 KM. NORTH OF DAET, CAMARINES NORTE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 215 KPH GUSTINESS: 260 KPH MOVEMENT: WNW AT 28 KPH -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 33-HOUR FORECAST - 2 AM FRI DEC 03 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 16.5N 120.0E DISTANCE: 470 KM. NW OF NAGA CITY / OFF LIGAYEN GULF MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 185 KPH GUSTINESS: 230 KPH MOVEMENT: NW AT 20 KPH --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POSSIBLE EFFECTS TO NAGA CITY: ------------------------------ NAGA CITY AND THE REST OF BICOL REGION REMAINS UNDER PUBLIC STORM WARNING SIGNAL NUMBER TW0 (02) EXCEPT FOR CATANDUANES WHICH UNDER NUMBER THREE (03). MEANING: WINDS FROM 60-100 KPH MAY BE EXPECTED IN AT LEAST 24 HOURS. THIS STORM SIGNAL MAY BE UPGRADED INTO THE THIRD HIGHEST SIGNAL IF THE TYPHOON MOVES CLOSER TO THE CITY. THE FORECAST TRACK OF YONGYONG REMAINS THE SAME. THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL OF THE TYPHOON IS EXPECTED TO PASS AT A DISTANCE OF 160 KM. TO THE NORTHEAST OF NAGA CITY TOMORROW MORNING BETWEEN 9 TO 10 AM, WHICH IS 16 HOURS FROM NOW. RESIDENTS OF METRO NAGA CAN EXPECT NORTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS RANGING FROM 30 TO 60 KPH TONIGHT WITH INCREASING WIND SPEEDS OF UP TO 100 KPH TOMORROW MORNING (DEC 02), THEN SHIFTING TO WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS (60-100 KPH) AS THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL PASSES WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF NAGA CITY AROUND NOONTIME TOMORROW. EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OF UP TO 10-20 INCHES (255-510 MILLIMETERS) AS THE TYPHOON APPROACHES. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE RIVER BANKS OF NAGA RIVER AND CONNECTING ESTUARIES MUST EVACUATE NOW DUE TO THE FAST APPROACH OF YOYONG. PLEASE CHECK YOUR EVACUATION CENTERS TO BE DESIGNATED BY THE CITY GOVERNMENT AS THE FAST MOVING TYPHOON MOVES CLOSER TO OUR AREA. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, KINDLY MONITOR THE OFFICIAL SIX-HOUR PAGASA BULLETIN ON YOYONG. FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT: http://210.23.201.243/wb/tcupdate.shtml OR CALL 474-4471. WATCH FOR THE NEXT UNOFFICIAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED AT 9 PM TONIGHT AND TO BE FOLLOWED BY OUR USUAL PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 11 PM AND ALWAYS KEEP IN MIND THAT THESE FORECASTS DO CHANGE PERIODICALLY. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ DMVP/TYPHOON2000.COM (5:15 PM DEC 01, 2004)