================================================================================= A JOINT EFFORT OF NAGA CITY GOVERNMENT, TYPHOON2000.COM & NAGA COLLEGE FOUNDATION ================================================================================= TYPHOON YOYONG UNOFFICIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 04 11:00 AM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 01, 2004 Source: Joint Typhoon Warning Center (US Navy/Air Force) Warning #010 Note: Maximum Sustained Winds based on One-Minute Average ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TYPHOON YOYONG (NANMADOL) IS NOW THE FASTEST TYPHOON FOR THIS 2004 SEASON AND IS NOW MOVING AT A SPEED OF 44 KPH..THE THREAT TO CATANDUANES AND CAMARINES PROVINCES CONTINUES. THE OUTERMOST RAIN CLOUDS OF THE TYPHOON CONTINUES TO PASS OVER NAGA CITY AND THE REST OF BICOL REGION WITH SOME PATCHES OF CLEAR SKIES. THIS ADVANCE RAIN CLOUDS CONTINUES TO BRING LIGHT TO MODERATE TO SOMETIMES HEAVY RAINS ACROSS OUR REGION. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE EASTERN COASTAL STRETCH OF LUZON DOWN TO VISAYAS AND NORTHEASTERN MINDANAO SHOULD TO SEEK HIGHER GROUNDS AS THE TYPHOON RAPIDLY APPROACHES. THIS TYPHOON CAN GENERATE STORM SURGE FLOODING OVER THE AREAS MENTIONED. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ::CURRENT POSITION:: AT 11 AM TODAY (0300 GMT) WED DEC 01 ------------------------------------ LOCATION OF EYE: 12.0 DEG NORTH LATITUDE 131.8 DEG EAST LONGITUDE DISTANCE: 950 KM. EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAGA CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (1-MIN. AVE.): 195 KPH NEAR THE CENTER GUSTINESS: 240 KPH ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 938 HECTOPASCALS MOVING: WEST-NORTHWEST AT 44 KPH TOWARDS: EASTERN LUZON WAVE HEIGHT: 25 FEET (7.6 METERS) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 12-HOUR FORECAST - 8 PM WED DEC 02 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 13.1N 128.7E DISTANCE: 598 KM. ESE OF NAGA CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 215 KPH GUSTINESS: 260 KPH MOVEMENT: WNW AT 33 KPH -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 24-HOUR FORECAST - 8 AM THU DEC 02 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 14.5N 125.2E DISTANCE: 238 KM. ENE OF NAGA CITY / 140 KM. NE OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 230 KPH GUSTINESS: 280 KPH MOVEMENT: WNW AT 28 KPH -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 36-HOUR FORECAST - 8 PM THU DEC 02 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 15.6N 122.2E DISTANCE: 247 KM. NNW OF NAGA CITY / OFF THE EAST COAST OF CENTRAL LUZON MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 230 KPH GUSTINESS: 280 KPH MOVEMENT: WNW AT 28 KPH --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 48-HOUR FORECAST - 8 AM FRI DEC 03 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 16.9N 119.4E DISTANCE: 548 KM. NW OF NAGA CITY / OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 195 KPH GUSTINESS: 240 KPH MOVEMENT: NNW AT 20 KPH --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POSSIBLE EFFECTS TO NAGA CITY: ------------------------------ NAGA CITY AND THE REST OF CAMARINES SUR IS NOW UNDER PUBLIC STORM WARNING SIGNAL NUMBER TW0. MEANING: WINDS FROM 60-100 KPH MAY BE EXPECTED IN AT LEAST 24 HOURS. THIS STORM SIGNAL MAY BE UPGRADED INTO THE THIRD HIGHEST SIGNAL IF THE TYPHOON MOVES CLOSER TO THE CITY. THERE HAS BEEN CHANGES IN THE FORECAST TRACK OF YONGYONG. BASED ON THIS NEW FORECAST, THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL OF YOYONG IS EXPECTED TO PASS AT A DISTANCE OF 160 KM. TO THE NORTHEAST OF NAGA CITY TOMORROW AFTERNOON BETWEEN 1 PM TO 2 PM, WHICH IS 27 HOURS FROM NOW. RESIDENTS OF METRO NAGA CAN EXPECT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS RANGING FROM 30 TO 60 KPH TONIGHT WITH INCREASING WIND SPEEDS OF UP TO 100 KPH TOMORROW MORNING (DEC 02), THEN SHIFTING TO WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS (60-100 KPH) AS THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL PASSES WELL TO THE NORTHEAST OF NAGA CITY AROUND TOMORROW AFTERNOON. EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OF UP TO 10 INCHES (254 MILLIMETERS) AS THE TYPHOON APPRAOCHES. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE RIVER BANKS OF NAGA RIVER AND CONNECTING ESTUARIES MUST EVACUATE NOW DUE TO THE FAST APPROACH OF YOYONG. PLEASE CHECK YOUR EVACUATION CENTERS TO BE DESIGNATED BY THE CITY GOVERNMENT AS THE FAST MOVING TYPHOON MOVES CLOSER TO OUR AREA. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, KINDLY MONITOR THE OFFICIAL SIX-HOUR PAGASA BULLETIN ON YOYONG. FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT: http://210.23.201.243/wb/tcupdate.shtml OR CALL 474-4471. WATCH FOR THE NEXT UNOFFICIAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED AT 3 PM TODAY AND TO BE FOLLOWED BY OUR USUAL PUBLIC ADVISORY AT 5 PM TODAY AND ALWAYS KEEP IN MIND THAT THESE FORECASTS DO CHANGE PERIODICALLY. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ DMVP/TYPHOON2000.COM (11:46 AM DEC 01, 2004)