================================================================================ A JOINT EFFORT OF NAGA CITY GOVERNMENT, TYPHOON2000.COM, NAGA COLLEGE FOUNDATION ================================================================================ TYPHOON YOYONG UNOFFICIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 03 5:00 AM WEDNESDAY DECEMBER 01, 2004 Source: Joint Typhoon Warning Center (US Navy/Air Force) Warning #009 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TYPHOON YOYONG (NANMADOL) CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS IT ENTERS THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR)...NOW THREATENS CATANDUANES- CAMARINES SUR AREA. THE OUTERMOST RAIN CLOUDS OF THE TYPHOON IS NOW PASSING ABOVE NAGA CITY AND THE REST OF BICOL REGION WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BRING LIGHT TO MODERATE RAINS. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE EASTERN COASTAL STRETCH OF LUZON DOWN TO VISAYAS AND NORTHEASTERN MINDANAO ARE ADVISED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUNDS AS THE TYPHOON RAPIDLY APPROACHES. THIS TYPHOON CAN GENERATE STORM SURGE FLOODING OVER THE AREAS MENTIONED. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ::CURRENT POSITION:: AT 5 AM TODAY (2100 GMT) DEC 01 -------------------------------- LOCATION OF EYE: 11.0 DEG NORTH LATITUDE 134.1 DEG EAST LONGITUDE DISTANCE: 1,220 KM. EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAGA CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (1-MIN. AVE.): 165 KPH NEAR THE CENTER GUSTINESS: 205 KPH ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 954 MILLIBARS (MB.) MOVING: WEST-NORTHWEST AT 37 KPH TOWARDS: EASTERN LUZON WAVE HEIGHT: 25 FEET (7.6 METERS) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 24-HOUR FORECAST - 2 AM THU DEC 02 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 13.4N 127.6E DISTANCE: 475 KM. ALMOST EAST OF NAGA CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 195 KPH GUSTINESS: 240 KPH MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTHWEST AT 31 KPH -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 36-HOUR FORECAST - 2 PM THU DEC 02 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 14.6N 124.3E DISTANCE: 163 KM. NE OF NAGA CITY / 112 KM. NORTH OF VIRAC, CATANDUANES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 220 KPH GUSTINESS: 270 KPH MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTHWEST AT 30 KPH -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 48-HOUR FORECAST - 2 AM FRI DEC 03 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 16.0N 121.4E DISTANCE: 330 KM. NW OF NAGA CITY / 30 KM. NORTH OF BALER, AURORA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 195 KPH GUSTINESS: 240 KPH MOVEMENT: NORTHWEST AT 20 KPH --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 72-HOUR FORECAST - 2 AM SAT DEC 04 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 18.9N 118.2E DISTANCE: 795 KM. NNW OF NAGA CITY / OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 165 KPH GUSTINESS: 205 KPH MOVEMENT: NORTH AT 19 KPH --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POTENTIAL EFFECTS TO NAGA CITY: ------------------------------ NAGA CITY AND THE REST OF CAMARINES SUR IS NOW UNDER PUBLIC STORM WARNING SIGNAL NUMBER ONE. MEANING: INTERMITTENT RAINS AND WINDS FROM 30-60 KPH MAY BE EXPECTED IN AT LEAST 36 HOURS. THIS STORM SIGNAL MAY BE UPGRADED IF THE TYPHOON MOVES CLOSER TO THE CITY. BASED ON THE FORECAST, THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL OF YOYONG IS EXPECTED TO PASS AT A DISTANCE OF 100 KM. TO THE NORTHEAST OF NAGA CITY TOMORROW AROUND 2 PM TO 4 PM, WHICH IS 36 HOURS FROM NOW. RESIDENTS OF METRO NAGA CAN EXPECT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS RANGING FROM 30 TO 60 KPH TOMORROW MORNING (DEC 02), THEN SHIFTING TO WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS (60-90 KPH) AS THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL PASSES TO THE NORTHEAST OF NAGA CITY AROUND 2 TO 4 PM TOMORROW AFTERNOON. EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OF UP TO 10 INCHES (254 MILLIMETERS) AS THE TYPHOON APPRAOCHES. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE RIVER BANKS OF NAGA RIVER AND CONNECTING ESTUARIES MUST PREPARE TO EVACUATE AS SOON AS OUR LOCAL PAGASA ISSUES STORM WARNING SIGNALS. EVACUATION CENTERS WILL BE DESIGNATED BY THE CITY GOVERNMENT AS THE TYPHOON MOVES CLOSER TO OUR AREA. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, KINDLY MONITOR THE FIRST OFFICIAL PAGASA BULLETIN ON YOYONG WHICH IS LIKELY TO BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM TODAY, DEC 01. FOR MORE DETAILS VISIT: http://210.23.201.243/wb/tcupdate.shtml WATCH FOR THE NEXT UNOFFICIAL ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED AT 11 AM TODAY DEC 01 AND ALWAYS KEEP IN MIND THAT THESE FORECASTS DO CHANGE PERIODICALLY. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ DMVP/TYPHOON2000.COM (5:28 AM DEC 01, 2004)