================================================================================ A JOINT EFFORT OF NAGA CITY GOVERNMENT, TYPHOON2000.COM, NAGA COLLEGE FOUNDATION ================================================================================ TYPHOON YOYONG UNOFFICIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 02 11:00 PM TUESDAY NOVEMBER 30, 2004 Source: Joint Typhoon Warning Center (US Navy/Air Force) Warning #08 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TYPHOON YOYONG (NANMADOL) STRENGTHENS MORE AS IT RACES TOWARDS THE WEST-NORTHWEST, AWAY FROM YAP ISLAND..WILL ENTER THE PHILIPPINE AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (PAR) EARLY TOMORROW. THE OUTER RAIN CLOUDS OF THE TYPHOON IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT NAGA CITY AND THE REST OF BICOL REGION BEGINNING TOMORROW AFTERNOON. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE EASTERN COASTAL STRETCH OF LUZON DOWN TO VISAYAS AND NORTHEASTERN MINDANAO ARE ADVISED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUNDS AS THE TYPHOON RAPIDLY APPROACHES. THIS TYPHOON CAN GENERATE STORM SURGE FLOODING OVER THE AREAS MENTIONED. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ::CURRENT POSITION:: AT 11 PM TODAY (1500 GMT) NOV 30 -------------------------------- LOCATION OF EYE: 10.3 DEG NORTH LATITUDE 136.0 DEG EAST LONGITUDE DISTANCE: 1,440 KM. EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAGA CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS (1-MIN. AVE.): 160 KPH NEAR THE CENTER GUSTINESS: 195 KPH ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE: 958 MILLIBARS (MB.) MOVING: WEST-NORTHWEST AT 40 KPH TOWARDS: LUZON WAVE HEIGHT: 23 FEET (7.0 METERS) -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 24-HOUR FORECAST - 8 PM WED DEC 01 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 12.6N 129.6E DISTANCE: 700 KM. EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NAGA CITY MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 195 KPH GUSTINESS: 240 KPH MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTHWEST AT 31 KPH -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 48-HOUR FORECAST - 8 PM THU DEC 02 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 14.8N 123.2E DISTANCE: 133 KM. NORTH OF NAGA CITY / 85 KM. NNE OF DAET, CAMARINES NORTE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 205 KPH GUSTINESS: 250 KPH MOVEMENT: WEST-NORTHWEST AT 24 KPH --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 72-HOUR FORECAST - 8 PM FRI DEC 03 ---------------------------------- COORDINATES: 17.6N 118.4E DISTANCE: 680 NORTHWEST OF NAGA CITY / OVER THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS: 175 KPH GUSTINESS: 215 KPH MOVEMENT: NORTHWARD AT 15 KPH --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- POTENTIAL EFFECTS TO NAGA CITY: ------------------------------ BASED ON THIS NEW FORECAST, THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL OF YOYONG IS LIKELY TO PASS VERY CLOSE TO NAGA CITY IN THE EARLY EVENING OF DECEMBER 02, SOMETIME AROUND 6 TO 8 PM, WHICH IS EXACTLY 48 HOURS FROM NOW. RESIDENTS OF METRO NAGA CAN EXPECT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS RANGING FROM 30 TO 60 KPH ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON (DEC 02), THEN SHIFTING TO STRONG WESTERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS (60-100 KPH) AS THE SOUTHERN EYEWALL PASSES IN THE EVENING. EXPECT MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL OF 10 INCHES (254 MILLIMETERS) AS THE TYPHOON APPRAOCHES. RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG THE RIVER BANKS OF NAGA RIVER AND CONNECTING ESTUARIES MUST PREPARE TO EVACUATE AS SOON AS OUR LOCAL PAGASA ISSUES STORM WARNING SIGNALS. EVACUATION CENTERS WILL BE DESIGNATED BY THE CITY GOVERNMENT AS THE TYPHOON MOVES CLOSER TO OUR AREA. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++ FOR FURTHER INFORMATION, KINDLY MONITOR THE FIRST PAGASA BULLETIN ON YOYONG WHICH IS LIKELY TO BE ISSUED AROUND 5 AM TOMORROW, DEC 01. WATCH FOR THE NEXT UNOFFICIAL ADVISORY TO BE ISSUED AT 5 AM TOMORROW DEC 01 AND ALWAYS KEEP IN MIND THAT THESE FORECASTS DO CHANGE PERIODICALLY. +++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++