GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - SEPTEMBER 2004 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Hurricane IVAN (09) 02 - 25 Sep Tropical Depression (10) 09 Sep Hurricane JEANNE (11) 13 Sep - 02 Oct Hurricane KARL (12) 16 - 26 Sep Hurricane LISA (13) 19 Sep - 03 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: IVAN Cyclone Number: 09 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 02 1800 9.7 N 28.3 W 1009 25 04 SEP 03 0000 9.7 N 28.7 W 1009 25 04 SEP 03 0600 9.9 N 30.0 W 1005 35 04 SEP 03 1200 9.6 N 32.0 W 1003 40 04 SEP 03 1800 9.0 N 33.7 W 1000 45 04 SEP 04 0000 9.1 N 35.0 W 999 45 04 SEP 04 0600 9.0 N 36.6 W 997 50 04 SEP 04 1200 8.8 N 38.1 W 997 50 04 SEP 04 1800 9.0 N 39.9 W 994 50 04 SEP 05 0000 9.3 N 41.4 W 991 60 04 SEP 05 0600 9.5 N 43.4 W 987 65 04 SEP 05 1200 9.8 N 45.1 W 980 75 04 SEP 05 1800 10.2 N 46.8 W 950 110 04 SEP 06 0000 10.6 N 48.5 W 948 115 04 SEP 06 0600 10.7 N 50.6 W 951 115 04 SEP 06 1200 11.0 N 52.5 W 955 110 04 SEP 06 1800 11.4 N 54.5 W 968 100 04 SEP 07 0000 11.3 N 56.3 W 963 90 04 SEP 07 0600 11.3 N 57.8 W 965 90 04 SEP 07 1200 11.6 N 59.4 W 963 100 04 SEP 07 1800 11.8 N 61.2 W 956 105 Nearing Grenada 04 SEP 08 0000 12.0 N 62.6 W 950 115 04 SEP 08 0600 12.3 N 64.1 W 946 115 04 SEP 08 1200 12.5 N 65.5 W 955 120 04 SEP 08 1800 13.1 N 67.0 W 947 120 04 SEP 09 0000 13.4 N 68.4 W 938 125 04 SEP 09 0600 13.7 N 69.5 W 922 140 04 SEP 09 1200 14.2 N 70.8 W 920 140 04 SEP 09 1800 14.7 N 72.0 W 921 140 04 SEP 10 0000 15.2 N 72.8 W 923 130 04 SEP 10 0600 15.7 N 73.8 W 930 125 04 SEP 10 1200 16.2 N 74.7 W 934 125 04 SEP 10 1800 16.8 N 75.8 W 937 125 04 SEP 11 0000 17.3 N 76.5 W 920 130 04 SEP 11 0600 17.4 N 77.6 W 923 135 04 SEP 11 1200 17.7 N 78.4 W 925 130 Very near SW Jamaica 04 SEP 11 1800 18.0 N 79.0 W 914 125 04 SEP 12 0000 18.2 N 79.6 W 910 145 04 SEP 12 0600 18.4 N 80.4 W 918 145 04 SEP 12 1200 18.8 N 81.2 W 919 135 Very near Grand Cayman 04 SEP 12 1800 19.1 N 82.1 W 916 130 04 SEP 13 0000 19.5 N 82.8 W 917 130 04 SEP 13 0600 19.9 N 83.5 W 920 140 04 SEP 13 1200 20.4 N 84.1 W 915 140 04 SEP 13 1800 20.9 N 84.7 W 912 140 04 SEP 14 0000 21.6 N 85.1 W 914 140 Very near W tip of Cuba 04 SEP 14 0600 22.4 N 85.6 W 924 140 04 SEP 14 1200 23.0 N 86.0 W 932 135 04 SEP 14 1800 23.7 N 86.5 W 929 120 04 SEP 15 0000 24.7 N 87.0 W 932 120 04 SEP 15 0600 25.6 N 87.4 W 938 120 04 SEP 15 1200 26.7 N 87.9 W 939 120 04 SEP 15 1800 27.9 N 88.2 W 933 115 04 SEP 16 0000 28.9 N 88.2 W 933 115 04 SEP 16 0600 30.3 N 87.8 W 947 115 Nearing Alabama coast 04 SEP 16 1200 31.4 N 87.7 W 970 70 Inland 04 SEP 16 1800 32.6 N 87.1 W 980 60 04 SEP 17 0000 33.8 N 86.5 W 986 35 04 SEP 17 0300 34.3 N 86.2 W 986 30 Final NHC advisory 04 SEP 17 0900 34.9 N 84.9 W 994 17 HPC advisories 04 SEP 17 1500 35.8 N 83.1 W 998 17 04 SEP 17 2100 36.5 N 81.5 W 999 17 04 SEP 18 0300 37.5 N 79.4 W 1000 17 04 SEP 18 0900 37.9 N 77.5 W 998 13 04 SEP 18 1500 38.9 N 75.8 W 1000 13 04 SEP 18 2100 37.2 N 75.2 W 1002 13 Final HPC advisory 04 SEP 19 0000 37.0 N 74.0 W 1003 35 OPC marine warnings 04 SEP 19 0600 36.0 N 74.0 W 1005 35 04 SEP 19 1200 35.0 N 73.0 W 1008 40 04 SEP 19 1800 33.0 N 73.0 W 1009 40 04 SEP 20 0000 31.0 N 75.0 W 1009 40 04 SEP 22 1800 26.4 N 88.8 W 1008 30 Redeveloped 04 SEP 23 0000 27.1 N 89.5 W 1007 35 04 SEP 23 0600 27.9 N 91.0 W 1007 35 04 SEP 23 1200 28.9 N 92.2 W 999 40 04 SEP 23 1800 29.2 N 92.7 W 1003 45 50 kts at 1500 UTC 04 SEP 24 0000 29.6 N 93.2 W 1002 40 04 SEP 24 0600 30.1 N 94.2 W 1009 30 Inland 04 SEP 24 0900 30.2 N 94.4 W 1009 25 Final NHC advisory 04 SEP 24 1500 30.9 N 95.0 W 1013 13 HPC advisories 04 SEP 24 2100 31.0 N 94.9 W 1014 13 04 SEP 25 0300 30.6 N 94.9 W 1014 13 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 10 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 09 0600 35.5 N 34.5 W 1013 30 04 SEP 09 1200 36.5 N 33.6 W 1013 30 04 SEP 09 1800 36.1 N 33.5 W 1014 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: JEANNE Cyclone Number: 11 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 13 1800 15.9 N 59.9 W 1010 25 04 SEP 14 0000 16.0 N 60.7 W 1010 25 04 SEP 14 0600 16.3 N 61.8 W 1009 25 Near Guadeloupe 04 SEP 14 1200 16.4 N 62.7 W 1006 30 04 SEP 14 1800 16.7 N 63.5 W 998 45 04 SEP 15 0000 17.0 N 64.2 W 996 50 04 SEP 15 0600 17.2 N 64.8 W 994 50 04 SEP 15 1200 17.6 N 65.4 W 991 60 04 SEP 15 1800 18.1 N 66.2 W 991 60 Inland in Puerto Rico 04 SEP 16 0000 18.5 N 67.0 W 993 55 Over NW tip Puerto R. 04 SEP 16 0600 18.6 N 67.8 W 992 60 04 SEP 16 1200 18.6 N 68.4 W 986 70 On E tip Hispaniola 04 SEP 16 1800 18.8 N 69.1 W 990 65 Over Dominican Rep. 04 SEP 17 0000 19.2 N 69.3 W 990 60 04 SEP 17 0600 19.4 N 69.8 W 992 60 04 SEP 17 1200 19.4 N 70.9 W 993 55 04 SEP 17 1800 20.1 N 71.6 W 1002 45 Over Atlantic 04 SEP 18 0000 20.2 N 72.0 W 1000 30 04 SEP 18 0600 20.4 N 72.4 W 999 40 04 SEP 18 1200 21.1 N 72.8 W 1000 40 04 SEP 18 1800 21.7 N 72.2 W 1005 45 Relocated 04 SEP 19 0000 22.2 N 72.3 W 1002 40 Near Caicos Is. 04 SEP 19 0600 22.8 N 72.3 W 1001 40 04 SEP 19 1200 23.5 N 72.4 W 1000 40 04 SEP 19 1800 24.2 N 72.3 W 996 45 04 SEP 20 0000 24.8 N 72.1 W 994 50 04 SEP 20 0600 25.6 N 72.0 W 992 50 04 SEP 20 1200 26.5 N 71.7 W 990 55 04 SEP 20 1800 27.2 N 71.4 W 983 75 04 SEP 21 0000 27.4 N 70.7 W 982 75 04 SEP 21 0600 27.6 N 70.2 W 972 80 04 SEP 21 1200 27.6 N 69.5 W 972 80 04 SEP 21 1800 27.5 N 69.0 W 972 80 04 SEP 22 0000 27.3 N 68.8 W 972 80 04 SEP 22 0600 26.8 N 68.6 W 968 80 04 SEP 22 1200 26.5 N 68.5 W 968 85 04 SEP 22 1800 26.2 N 68.8 W 967 85 04 SEP 23 0000 25.8 N 69.1 W 966 85 04 SEP 23 0600 25.5 N 69.3 W 966 85 04 SEP 23 1200 25.6 N 69.5 W 966 85 04 SEP 23 1800 25.8 N 70.0 W 966 90 04 SEP 24 0000 26.0 N 70.4 W 966 90 04 SEP 24 0600 26.1 N 71.2 W 969 85 04 SEP 24 1200 26.2 N 72.0 W 969 85 04 SEP 24 1800 26.3 N 73.0 W 965 85 04 SEP 25 0000 26.4 N 74.3 W 964 85 04 SEP 25 0600 26.5 N 75.6 W 958 90 04 SEP 25 1200 26.5 N 77.0 W 955 90 Over Great Abaco I. 04 SEP 25 1800 26.9 N 78.2 W 950 100 Over Grand Bahama I. 04 SEP 26 0000 27.1 N 79.3 W 951 100 04 SEP 26 0600 27.3 N 80.6 W 955 105 On Florida coast 04 SEP 26 1200 27.7 N 81.6 W 970 80 Inland 04 SEP 26 1800 28.3 N 82.3 W 973 60 04 SEP 27 0000 29.4 N 82.7 W 978 50 04 SEP 27 0600 30.1 N 83.3 W 982 45 04 SEP 27 1200 31.1 N 83.9 W 988 40 04 SEP 27 1500 31.6 N 83.9 W 988 35 Final NHC advisory 04 SEP 27 2100 32.8 N 83.4 W 992 30 HPC advisories 04 SEP 28 0300 33.4 N 82.9 W 999 17 04 SEP 28 0900 34.7 N 81.8 W 999 17 04 SEP 28 1500 37.0 N 80.3 W 999 25 04 SEP 28 2100 38.8 N 77.3 W 999 30 04 SEP 29 0300 39.6 N 74.9 W 999 30 04 SEP 29 0900 39.5 N 73.3 W 998 35 MSW from OPC warning 04 SEP 29 1500 40.0 N 70.0 W 998 40 " 04 SEP 29 1800 41.0 N 68.0 W 997 40 OPC marine warnings 04 SEP 30 0000 41.0 N 67.0 W 997 40 04 SEP 30 0600 41.0 N 65.0 W 998 40 04 SEP 30 1200 42.0 N 61.0 W 1001 35 04 SEP 30 1800 42.0 N 60.0 W 1002 35 04 OCT 01 0000 44.0 N 58.0 W 1003 35 04 OCT 01 0600 43.0 N 55.0 W 1000 35 04 OCT 01 1200 44.0 N 54.0 W 1005 35 04 OCT 01 1800 44.0 N 52.0 W 1006 40 04 OCT 02 0000 45.0 N 49.0 W 1005 40 04 OCT 02 0600 45.0 N 47.0 W 1006 40 04 OCT 02 1200 45.0 N 47.0 W 1011 40 04 OCT 02 1800 44.0 N 46.0 W 1012 35 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: KARL Cyclone Number: 12 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 16 1800 11.2 N 32.1 W 1007 30 04 SEP 17 0000 11.3 N 33.3 W 1005 35 04 SEP 17 0600 11.4 N 34.8 W 994 55 04 SEP 17 1200 12.1 N 35.2 W 994 55 04 SEP 17 1800 13.0 N 36.0 W 994 55 04 SEP 18 0000 13.8 N 36.9 W 990 60 04 SEP 18 0600 14.6 N 38.1 W 981 75 04 SEP 18 1200 15.0 N 38.8 W 970 90 04 SEP 18 1800 15.7 N 39.7 W 965 95 04 SEP 19 0000 16.0 N 40.8 W 960 100 04 SEP 19 0600 16.3 N 41.7 W 960 100 04 SEP 19 1200 16.3 N 42.4 W 955 110 04 SEP 19 1800 16.8 N 43.5 W 944 115 04 SEP 20 0000 16.9 N 44.6 W 944 115 04 SEP 20 0600 17.1 N 45.2 W 950 110 04 SEP 20 1200 17.6 N 45.8 W 955 105 04 SEP 20 1800 18.2 N 46.7 W 955 105 04 SEP 21 0000 18.7 N 47.1 W 938 120 04 SEP 21 0600 19.6 N 47.3 W 940 120 04 SEP 21 1200 20.8 N 47.7 W 944 110 04 SEP 21 1800 22.3 N 48.4 W 948 105 04 SEP 22 0000 23.8 N 48.8 W 948 105 04 SEP 22 0600 25.0 N 49.4 W 955 100 04 SEP 22 1200 26.2 N 49.3 W 970 90 04 SEP 22 1800 27.5 N 48.7 W 970 90 04 SEP 23 0000 29.2 N 47.8 W 965 95 04 SEP 23 0600 30.8 N 46.4 W 948 110 04 SEP 23 1200 32.8 N 44.4 W 955 105 04 SEP 23 1800 34.7 N 43.5 W 965 90 04 SEP 24 0000 37.4 N 41.7 W 963 80 04 SEP 24 0600 39.5 N 41.2 W 965 75 04 SEP 24 1200 42.9 N 40.3 W 970 70 04 SEP 24 1800 46.0 N 40.5 W 973 65 04 SEP 25 0000 49.0 N 40.0 W 976 60 XTrop/OPC warnings 04 SEP 25 0600 50.0 N 38.0 W 981 55 04 SEP 25 1200 53.0 N 36.0 W 987 55 04 SEP 25 1800 57.0 N 32.0 W 989 40 04 SEP 26 0000 59.0 N 25.0 W 989 30 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: LISA Cyclone Number: 13 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 19 1800 13.2 N 32.6 W 1004 30 04 SEP 20 0000 13.1 N 33.6 W 1004 30 04 SEP 20 0600 13.4 N 34.4 W 1005 30 04 SEP 20 1200 13.5 N 35.4 W 998 45 04 SEP 20 1800 13.7 N 36.4 W 994 55 04 SEP 21 0000 13.7 N 37.4 W 998 50 04 SEP 21 0600 13.9 N 38.4 W 998 50 04 SEP 21 1200 14.1 N 39.2 W 990 60 04 SEP 21 1800 14.3 N 39.9 W 990 60 04 SEP 22 0000 14.4 N 40.2 W 990 60 04 SEP 22 0600 14.5 N 40.9 W 994 55 04 SEP 22 1200 14.1 N 41.1 W 1000 45 04 SEP 22 1800 13.8 N 41.7 W 997 45 04 SEP 23 0000 13.2 N 41.2 W 1000 45 04 SEP 23 0600 13.2 N 41.3 W 1000 45 04 SEP 23 1200 12.2 N 41.5 W 1000 40 04 SEP 23 1800 14.2 N 40.5 W 1003 30 04 SEP 24 0000 14.6 N 41.7 W 1003 30 04 SEP 24 0600 14.5 N 43.0 W 1003 30 04 SEP 24 1200 13.9 N 43.0 W 1002 30 04 SEP 24 1800 14.3 N 44.0 W 1002 30 04 SEP 25 0000 14.2 N 44.4 W 1002 30 04 SEP 25 0600 14.9 N 44.9 W 1002 35 04 SEP 25 1200 15.6 N 45.4 W 1002 35 04 SEP 25 1800 16.8 N 45.6 W 1002 35 04 SEP 26 0000 17.6 N 46.0 W 1001 45 04 SEP 26 0600 18.0 N 45.9 W 1001 45 04 SEP 26 1200 18.6 N 46.0 W 997 50 04 SEP 26 1800 19.3 N 46.0 W 1000 45 04 SEP 27 0000 19.5 N 46.0 W 1000 45 04 SEP 27 0600 20.0 N 46.1 W 1000 45 04 SEP 27 1200 20.4 N 46.3 W 1003 40 04 SEP 27 1800 21.2 N 46.4 W 1005 35 04 SEP 28 0000 22.0 N 46.3 W 1005 35 04 SEP 28 0600 22.7 N 46.5 W 1005 35 04 SEP 28 1200 24.5 N 47.1 W 1000 45 04 SEP 28 1800 25.9 N 46.5 W 999 45 04 SEP 29 0000 26.5 N 46.5 W 994 55 04 SEP 29 0600 27.5 N 46.2 W 991 60 04 SEP 29 1200 29.2 N 45.8 W 990 60 04 SEP 29 1800 30.4 N 45.8 W 990 60 04 SEP 30 0000 31.1 N 46.1 W 990 60 04 SEP 30 0600 32.0 N 46.7 W 990 60 04 SEP 30 1200 32.4 N 47.4 W 994 55 04 SEP 30 1800 33.1 N 47.8 W 990 60 04 OCT 01 0000 34.1 N 47.8 W 990 60 04 OCT 01 0600 35.1 N 47.6 W 990 60 04 OCT 01 1200 36.3 N 47.0 W 990 60 04 OCT 01 1800 37.7 N 45.9 W 987 65 04 OCT 02 0000 38.9 N 43.8 W 988 60 04 OCT 02 0600 40.3 N 41.6 W 987 65 04 OCT 02 1200 41.3 N 38.3 W 987 65 04 OCT 02 1800 42.5 N 36.5 W 990 55 04 OCT 03 0000 43.6 N 33.3 W 992 50 04 OCT 03 0300 43.9 N 31.6 W 992 50 XTrop-Final advisory ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude 140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Hurricane ISIS (12E) 08 - 17 Sep Hurricane JAVIER (13E) 10 - 20 Sep ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ISIS Cyclone Number: 12E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 08 0600 15.0 N 110.2 W 1005 25 04 SEP 08 1200 15.1 N 110.9 W 1004 30 04 SEP 08 1800 15.2 N 111.1 W 1003 35 04 SEP 09 0000 16.2 N 111.3 W 1002 35 04 SEP 09 0600 16.5 N 112.7 W 1000 45 04 SEP 09 1200 17.0 N 112.4 W 1002 40 04 SEP 09 1800 17.2 N 113.3 W 1002 40 04 SEP 10 0000 17.3 N 114.2 W 1002 40 04 SEP 10 0600 17.5 N 115.0 W 1002 40 04 SEP 10 1200 17.3 N 115.8 W 1003 40 04 SEP 10 1800 17.4 N 116.6 W 1003 30 04 SEP 11 0000 17.4 N 117.9 W 1003 30 04 SEP 11 0600 17.4 N 118.8 W 1003 30 04 SEP 11 1200 17.7 N 119.6 W 1004 30 04 SEP 11 1800 17.5 N 120.4 W 1004 30 04 SEP 12 0000 17.4 N 121.6 W 1003 35 04 SEP 12 0600 17.4 N 123.0 W 1000 45 04 SEP 12 1200 17.4 N 123.3 W 1000 45 04 SEP 12 1800 17.4 N 123.7 W 1000 45 04 SEP 13 0000 17.4 N 124.6 W 1000 45 04 SEP 13 0600 17.4 N 125.7 W 1000 45 04 SEP 13 1200 17.3 N 126.9 W 1000 45 04 SEP 13 1800 16.7 N 128.0 W 1000 45 04 SEP 14 0000 16.7 N 129.0 W 1000 45 04 SEP 14 0600 16.5 N 129.3 W 1000 45 04 SEP 14 1200 16.8 N 129.9 W 1000 45 04 SEP 14 1800 17.0 N 130.4 W 1000 45 04 SEP 15 0000 17.2 N 130.9 W 994 55 04 SEP 15 0600 17.4 N 131.3 W 994 55 04 SEP 15 1200 17.8 N 131.8 W 987 65 04 SEP 15 1800 18.2 N 132.0 W 991 60 04 SEP 16 0000 18.6 N 132.0 W 994 55 04 SEP 16 0600 18.7 N 132.2 W 992 55 04 SEP 16 1200 18.3 N 132.5 W 1003 40 04 SEP 16 1800 18.0 N 132.3 W 1006 30 04 SEP 17 0000 17.9 N 132.7 W 1006 30 04 SEP 17 0600 17.7 N 132.8 W 1007 30 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: JAVIER Cyclone Number: 13E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 10 1800 11.2 N 93.3 W 1005 30 04 SEP 11 0000 11.4 N 95.3 W 1004 30 04 SEP 11 0600 11.6 N 96.5 W 1003 30 04 SEP 11 1200 11.9 N 98.1 W 1002 35 04 SEP 11 1800 12.1 N 99.1 W 1001 40 04 SEP 12 0000 12.0 N 100.4 W 1000 45 04 SEP 12 0600 12.2 N 101.6 W 994 55 04 SEP 12 1200 12.5 N 102.4 W 991 60 04 SEP 12 1800 13.1 N 103.4 W 987 65 04 SEP 13 0000 13.7 N 103.9 W 979 75 04 SEP 13 0600 14.1 N 104.8 W 970 90 04 SEP 13 1200 14.7 N 105.4 W 957 105 04 SEP 13 1800 15.2 N 106.1 W 942 120 04 SEP 14 0000 15.9 N 106.8 W 930 130 04 SEP 14 0600 16.3 N 107.2 W 940 120 04 SEP 14 1200 16.6 N 107.5 W 940 120 04 SEP 14 1800 17.0 N 107.7 W 936 125 04 SEP 15 0000 17.4 N 108.0 W 936 125 04 SEP 15 0600 17.8 N 108.2 W 936 125 04 SEP 15 1200 18.2 N 108.6 W 940 120 04 SEP 15 1800 18.5 N 109.0 W 948 115 04 SEP 16 0000 18.9 N 109.4 W 950 110 04 SEP 16 0600 19.5 N 110.0 W 960 100 04 SEP 16 1200 19.4 N 110.4 W 960 100 04 SEP 16 1800 19.8 N 110.9 W 965 95 04 SEP 17 0000 20.6 N 111.1 W 960 100 04 SEP 17 0600 21.1 N 111.5 W 960 100 04 SEP 17 1200 21.5 N 112.1 W 962 95 04 SEP 17 1800 21.8 N 112.5 W 965 90 04 SEP 18 0000 22.4 N 112.4 W 970 75 04 SEP 18 0600 23.0 N 112.8 W 975 65 04 SEP 18 1200 23.3 N 113.2 W 990 50 04 SEP 18 1800 23.9 N 113.4 W 1000 35 04 SEP 19 0000 24.8 N 113.5 W 1001 30 04 SEP 19 0600 25.7 N 113.2 W 1001 30 04 SEP 19 1200 26.9 N 112.7 W 1003 25 04 SEP 19 1500 27.5 N 112.5 W 1003 25 Inland 04 SEP 19 2100 29.2 N 111.2 W 1004 25 HPC advisories 04 SEP 20 0300 30.1 N 109.E W 1008 17 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me each month a table comparing the maximum intensities assigned to each cyclone from all the applicable warning centers in the Northwest Pacific basin. A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so reliably provide. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm SARIKA (23W / 0419) 03 - 09 Sep Tropical Depression (TD04 per NMCC) 08 - 11 Sep Tropical Storm HAIMA (24W / 0420 / OFEL) 10 - 14 Sep Tropical Depression (PABLO) 14 - 18 Sep Tropical Depression (TD06 per NMCC) 15 - 16 Sep Typhoon MEARI (25W / 0421 / QUINTA) 20 Sep - 01 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: SARIKA Cyclone Number: 23W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0419 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 03 1800 14.0 N 156.0 E 1008 25 JMA bulletins 04 SEP 04 0000 15.0 N 153.5 E 1008 30 04 SEP 04 0600 15.9 N 152.8 E 1004 30 04 SEP 04 1200 16.5 N 151.6 E 1004 30 04 SEP 04 1800 16.6 N 150.3 E 1000 30 30 04 SEP 05 0000 17.1 N 148.7 E 985 45 50 04 SEP 05 0600 18.1 N 147.4 E 985 55 50 04 SEP 05 1200 18.7 N 145.7 E 980 60 55 04 SEP 05 1800 18.9 N 144.2 E 980 60 55 04 SEP 06 0000 19.6 N 142.8 E 980 60 55 04 SEP 06 0600 19.8 N 141.2 E 980 60 55 04 SEP 06 1200 20.1 N 139.5 E 980 60 55 04 SEP 06 1800 20.4 N 139.0 E 980 50 55 JMA: 20.2N/138.1E 04 SEP 07 0000 21.4 N 139.0 E 985 50 50 04 SEP 07 0600 23.0 N 137.9 E 992 45 40 04 SEP 07 1200 23.7 N 138.1 E 996 35 35 04 SEP 07 1800 24.8 N 137.7 E 996 30 35 04 SEP 08 0000 26.0 N 138.0 E 1000 30 04 SEP 08 0600 27.0 N 137.0 E 1008 25 04 SEP 08 1200 28.0 N 137.0 E 1010 25 04 SEP 08 1800 30.0 N 137.0 E 1010 25 04 SEP 09 0000 31.0 N 137.0 E 1012 25 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ================================================================ == Severe Tropical Storm 23W/SARIKA/0419/0420 (Sep 3-9, 2004) == ================================================================ TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Tropical Storm 23W (SARIKA) 60 JMA Typhoon 0419 (SARIKA) 55 NMCC Severe Tropical Storm 0420 (SARIKA) 60 HKO Severe Tropical Storm SARIKA (0420) --# CWB Weak Typhoon 0419 (SARIKA) 55 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the system was finally ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading 23W to TD status on the 3rd. It was also the agency that classified the system as a TD for the last time on the 9th.) Note 2 (#): HKO never issued any real-time warning on this typhoon, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None / NRL Invest Number: 96W / NMCC: TD04 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 08 1800 24.0 N 126.0 E 1006 25 04 SEP 09 0000 25.0 N 126.0 E 1008 25 04 SEP 09 0600 24.7 N 125.9 E 1004 30 04 SEP 09 1200 25.3 N 125.9 E 1004 30 04 SEP 09 1800 25.4 N 125.4 E 1004 30 04 SEP 10 0000 25.5 N 125.1 E 1004 30 04 SEP 10 0600 25.1 N 125.3 E 1002 30 04 SEP 10 1200 25.9 N 124.8 E 1002 30 04 SEP 10 1800 26.6 N 123.9 E 1002 30 04 SEP 11 0000 27.5 N 123.7 E 1002 30 04 SEP 11 0600 28.9 N 123.0 E 1002 30 04 SEP 11 1200 30.3 N 123.4 E 1004 30 04 SEP 11 1800 32.0 N 124.0 E 1004 25 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: =================================================== == Tropical Depression 96W/TD04 (Sep 8-12, 2004) == =================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JMA Tropical Depression 30 NMCC Tropical Depression 04 30+ CWB Tropical Depression --* Note 1: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was finally ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading the system to TD status on the 8th, while NMCC classified the system as a TD for the last time on the 12th.) Note 2: JTWC, HKO & SMG (Macao) classified 96W as a Tropical Disturbance/ Low Pressure Area only. Note 3 (+): From 10/0600 UTC through 11/1200 UTC, NMCC kept forecasting the TD to intensify into a TS, which never materialized, though. Note 4 (*): CWB normally doesn't make any wind estimations for tropical depressions. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: HAIMA Cyclone Number: 24W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: OFEL JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0420 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 10 1800 23.0 N 120.0 E 1002 25 On SW coast of Taiwan 04 SEP 11 0000 22.7 N 120.3 E 1002 30 Inland in Taiwan 04 SEP 11 0600 22.5 N 121.4 E 1000 30 Over water 04 SEP 11 1200 23.4 N 121.8 E 998 35 04 SEP 11 1800 24.4 N 122.1 E 996 40 04 SEP 12 0000 24.9 N 122.2 E 996 40 04 SEP 12 0600 25.3 N 122.1 E 996 40 04 SEP 12 1200 26.1 N 122.4 E 998 35 04 SEP 12 1800 26.4 N 121.9 E 998 30 35 04 SEP 13 0000 27.1 N 121.5 E 1000 30 35 04 SEP 13 0600 28.0 N 120.0 E 1004 30 25 JTWC: 28.0N/120.9E 04 SEP 13 1200 28.0 N 120.0 E 1010 25 25 Inland in China 04 SEP 13 1800 30.0 N 120.0 E 1010 25 04 SEP 14 0000 32.0 N 119.0 E 1008 25 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ==================================================================== == Tropical Storm 24W/HAIMA/0420/0421/TD05/OFEL (Sep 10-14, 2004) == ==================================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) --------------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Subtropical Storm/Trop. Depression 24W (HAIMA) 35/30 JMA Typhoon 0420 (HAIMA) 40 PAGASA Tropical Storm OFEL 35* NMCC Tropical Storm 0421 (HAIMA)/TD05# 35 HKO Tropical Storm HAIMA (0420) 35 CWB Weak Typhoon 0420 (HAIMA) 35 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the system was finally ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading 24W to TD status on the 10th. It was also the agency that classified the system as a TD for the last time on the 14th.) Note 2 (*): The MSW is merely the "peak" value based on the limited warnings released only when the storm was travelling within the restricted AOR, so it may have not been the real peak. Note 3 (#): The system was numbered "TD05" at 11/0600 UTC, when NMCC initiated their TC warnings. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: PABLO / NRL Invest Number: 92W Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 14 1800 7.0 N 131.0 E 1008 25 JMA bulletins 04 SEP 15 0000 8.1 N 128.5 E 1008 30 04 SEP 15 0600 8.1 N 126.6 E 1006 30 PAGASA: 8.2N/127.7E 04 SEP 15 1200 8.1 N 125.1 E 1008 30 PAGASA: 8.9N/126.7E 04 SEP 15 1800 9.2 N 123.9 E 1008 30 PAGASA: 10.4N/124.6E 04 SEP 16 0000 11.2 N 123.7 E 1012 30 PAGASA warnings 04 SEP 16 0600 11.2 N 120.4 E 1008 30 04 SEP 16 1200 12.0 N 119.0 E 1008 30 04 SEP 16 1800 12.5 N 118.0 E 1008 30 04 SEP 17 0000 12.8 N 116.7 E 1008 30 04 SEP 17 0600 13.5 N 115.7 E 1008 30 04 SEP 17 1200 14.0 N 115.0 E 1010 25 JMA bulletins 04 SEP 17 1800 14.0 N 114.0 E 1008 25 04 SEP 18 0000 13.0 N 112.0 E 1008 25 04 SEP 18 0600 15.0 N 111.0 E 1008 25 04 SEP 18 1200 15.0 N 109.0 E 1008 25 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ===================================================== == Tropical Depression 92W/PABLO (Sep 14-18, 2004) == ===================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JMA Tropical Depression 30 PAGASA Tropical Depression PABLO 30 CWB Tropical Depression --* TMD Tropical Depression 30 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was finally ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading the system to TD status on the 14th, while CWB classified the system as a TD for the last time on the 18th.) Note 2: JTWC, HKO, SMG (Macao) & GRMC (Guangzhou) classified 92W as a Tropical Disturbance/Low Pressure Area only. Note 3 (*): CWB normally doesn't make any wind estimations for tropical depressions. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None / NRL Invest Number: 93W / NMCC: TD06 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 15 0000 21.0 N 117.0 E 1008 25 04 SEP 15 0600 22.2 N 117.4 E 1006 30 04 SEP 15 1200 23.9 N 118.8 E 1006 30 04 SEP 15 1800 24.7 N 118.9 E 1008 30 04 SEP 16 0000 25.0 N 119.0 E 1012 25 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ==================================================== == Tropical Depression 93W/TD06 (Sep 15-16, 2004) == ==================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JMA Tropical Depression 30 NMCC Tropical Depression 06 30 CWB Tropical Depression --* Note 1: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was finally ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA, NMCC and CWB all upgraded the system to TD status at 15/0000 UTC with NMCC releasing the final TC bulletin at 16/0600 UTC.) Note 2: Only NMCC, GRMC, CWB & JMA classified the system as a Tropical Depression in real time, while JTWC, HKO, SMG (Macao) & TMD ranked it as a Tropical Disturbance/Low Pressure Area only. Note 3 (*): CWB normally doesn't make any wind estimations for tropical depressions. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MEARI Cyclone Number: 25W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: QUINTA JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0421 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 SEP 20 0000 12.8 N 145.1 E 1004 25 30 04 SEP 20 0600 12.6 N 144.4 E 1002 30 30 04 SEP 20 1200 12.6 N 143.5 E 1000 30 30 04 SEP 20 1800 12.9 N 142.3 E 998 30 35 04 SEP 21 0000 13.1 N 141.8 E 998 35 35 04 SEP 21 0600 13.5 N 141.4 E 994 45 40 04 SEP 21 1200 14.3 N 140.7 E 990 50 45 04 SEP 21 1800 14.3 N 140.0 E 990 55 45 04 SEP 22 0000 14.8 N 139.5 E 985 60 50 04 SEP 22 0600 15.6 N 138.9 E 980 60 55 04 SEP 22 1200 16.1 N 138.6 E 975 65 65 04 SEP 22 1800 16.6 N 138.0 E 975 65 65 04 SEP 23 0000 17.1 N 137.5 E 970 75 65 04 SEP 23 0600 17.8 N 136.8 E 960 90 75 04 SEP 23 1200 18.4 N 135.9 E 960 100 75 04 SEP 23 1800 18.6 N 135.1 E 950 105 80 04 SEP 24 0000 19.3 N 134.3 E 945 115 85 04 SEP 24 0600 20.1 N 133.4 E 940 120 90 04 SEP 24 1200 20.5 N 132.6 E 940 120 90 04 SEP 24 1800 21.3 N 131.9 E 940 120 90 04 SEP 25 0000 22.2 N 131.1 E 940 120 90 04 SEP 25 0600 23.7 N 130.1 E 945 115 85 04 SEP 25 1200 24.5 N 129.1 E 950 110 80 04 SEP 25 1800 25.2 N 127.9 E 950 105 80 04 SEP 26 0000 25.6 N 126.6 E 950 90 80 04 SEP 26 0600 25.8 N 125.6 E 945 90 80 04 SEP 26 1200 25.9 N 125.1 E 945 100 80 04 SEP 26 1800 26.0 N 124.8 E 945 105 80 04 SEP 27 0000 26.1 N 124.8 E 945 105 80 04 SEP 27 0600 26.5 N 124.8 E 945 105 80 04 SEP 27 1200 26.8 N 125.6 E 950 90 80 04 SEP 27 1800 27.3 N 126.0 E 950 85 80 04 SEP 28 0000 28.0 N 126.7 E 960 75 70 04 SEP 28 0600 28.8 N 127.3 E 965 75 65 04 SEP 28 1200 30.0 N 128.0 E 965 75 65 04 SEP 28 1800 30.9 N 129.1 E 965 70 65 04 SEP 29 0000 31.5 N 130.5 E 970 70 60 Over S Kyushu 04 SEP 29 0600 32.7 N 133.0 E 980 60 55 Just S of Shikoku 04 SEP 29 1200 33.9 N 134.6 E 990 55 50 JMA: 34.9 N/135.7E 04 SEP 29 1800 37.1 N 137.4 E 994 35 45 N coast central Honshu 04 SEP 30 0000 39.0 N 141.2 E 996 45 JMA wrngs/N Honshu 04 SEP 30 0600 39.0 N 143.0 E 1000 50 Extratropical 04 SEP 30 1200 39.0 N 145.0 E 1000 45 04 SEP 30 1800 38.0 N 147.0 E 1008 35 04 OCT 01 0000 36.0 N 148.0 E 1008 35 04 OCT 01 0600 36.0 N 150.0 E 1006 35 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ========================================================== == Typhoon 25W/MEARI/0421/0422/QUINTA (Sep 19-30, 2004) == ========================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 25W (MEARI) 120 JMA Very Severe Typhoon 0421 (MEARI) 90 PAGASA Typhoon QUINTA 90 NMCC Typhoon 0422 (MEARI) 100 HKO Typhoon MEARI (0421) 95 CWB Moderate Typhoon 0421 (MEARI) 90 Note: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was finally classified as a tropical system by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading 25W to TD status on the 19th, while both JMA & NMCC classified it as a tropical system for the last time at 30/0000 UTC.) ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. NOTE: The early portion of the track for Tropical Cyclone Phoebe through 0000 UTC on 2 September is based on warnings from Meteo France La Reunion (MFR). Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone PHOEBE (01S / MFR-01) 31 Aug - 04 Sep ************************************************************************* Storm Name: PHOEBE Cyclone Number: 01S Basin: SWI/AUW MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 01 / Name assigned by Perth TCWC Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 31 0600 4.0 S 87.9 E 1002 25 MFR bulletins 04 AUG 31 1200 4.4 S 88.6 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts S quads 04 AUG 31 1800 5.1 S 89.0 E 999 30 04 SEP 01 0000 5.8 S 89.6 E 999 30 04 SEP 01 0600 6.0 S 91.0 E 999 30 04 SEP 01 1200 6.5 S 90.7 E 999 30 04 SEP 01 1800 7.5 S 90.6 E 999 30 04 SEP 02 0000 7.9 S 90.7 E 997 35 30 04 SEP 02 0400 8.3 S 91.4 E 995 40 BoM Perth warnings 04 SEP 02 1000 8.7 S 91.7 E 990 45 40 04 SEP 02 1600 9.5 S 91.7 E 990 40 04 SEP 02 2200 10.1 S 92.0 E 984 50 04 SEP 03 0000 9.2 S 92.6 E 985 55 50 JTWC: 10.3S/92.0E 04 SEP 03 0400 9.3 S 92.9 E 990 40 04 SEP 03 1000 9.9 S 93.2 E 995 35 40 Final Perth warning 04 SEP 04 0000 9.7 S 93.0 E 35 JTWC warnings 04 SEP 04 1200 10.2 S 92.7 E 30 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Huang Chunliang huangchunliang@hotmail.com ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published: 10.29.04 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com