GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - OCTOBER 2005 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (19) 30 Sep - 02 Oct Hurricane STAN (20) 01 - 05 Oct Tropical Storm TAMMY (21) 05 - 06 Oct Subtropical Depression (22) 08 - 09 Oct Hurricane VINCE (23) 09 - 11 Oct Hurricane WILMA (24) 15 - 26 Oct Tropical Storm ALPHA (25) 22 - 24 Oct Hurricane BETA (26) 27 - 31 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 19 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 SEP 30 1800 11.8 N 32.9 W 1007 25 05 OCT 01 0000 12.2 N 33.0 W 1006 30 05 OCT 01 0600 13.3 N 34.0 W 1006 30 05 OCT 01 1200 13.8 N 33.7 W 1008 30 05 OCT 01 1800 14.4 N 34.0 W 1008 30 05 OCT 02 0000 15.0 N 33.8 W 1008 30 05 OCT 02 0600 15.7 N 34.3 W 1008 30 05 OCT 02 1200 16.6 N 35.3 W 1009 25 05 OCT 02 1500 17.0 N 35.7 W 1009 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: STAN Cyclone Number: 20 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 01 1200 19.2 N 85.5 W 1007 25 05 OCT 01 1800 19.0 N 86.2 W 1007 30 05 OCT 02 0000 19.2 N 86.7 W 1004 30 05 OCT 02 0600 19.5 N 87.2 W 1004 40 05 OCT 02 1200 19.7 N 87.7 W 1003 35 Moving inland Yucatan 05 OCT 02 1800 20.4 N 88.9 W 1004 35 Inland 05 OCT 03 0000 20.7 N 89.9 W 1003 30 Downgr. at 0300Z 05 OCT 03 0600 20.5 N 91.0 W 1003 35 Upgr. at 0900Z 05 OCT 03 1200 20.4 N 91.9 W 1000 35 05 OCT 03 1800 20.1 N 92.1 W 996 45 05 OCT 04 0000 19.8 N 93.2 W 992 50 05 OCT 04 0600 19.2 N 94.1 W 982 60 05 OCT 04 1200 18.8 N 94.8 W 979 65 Upgr. at 0900Z 05 OCT 04 1800 17.9 N 95.4 W 988 55 70 kts at 1500Z/Inland 05 OCT 05 0000 17.5 N 96.6 W 1000 30 05 OCT 05 0600 17.0 N 97.1 W 1006 25 05 OCT 05 0900 16.9 N 97.3 W 1006 25 Note: Hurricane Stan's peak intensity of 70 kts occurred at 04/1500 UTC as it was about to make landfall in Mexico, and is not reflected in the 6-hourly synoptic-hour track points. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: TAMMY Cyclone Number: 21 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 05 0600 27.3 N 79.7 W 1004 30 05 OCT 05 1200 28.3 N 80.2 W 1004 35 Upgr. at 1130Z 05 OCT 05 1800 29.5 N 80.9 W 1003 40 05 OCT 06 0000 30.4 N 81.6 W 1001 45 Inland 05 OCT 06 0600 31.3 N 82.8 W 1004 35 Strong winds offshore 05 OCT 06 1200 31.7 N 85.0 W 1005 35 " 05 OCT 06 1500 31.7 N 85.5 W 1006 30 Final NHC advisory 05 OCT 06 2100 30.2 N 85.6 W 1004 13 Final HPC advisory ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 22 Basin: ATL (System was classified as a subtropical depression) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 08 1200 27.7 N 58.5 W 1008 30 05 OCT 08 1800 28.8 N 60.1 W 1009 30 05 OCT 09 0000 29.2 N 62.1 W 1009 30 05 OCT 09 0300 29.2 N 62.6 W 1010 25 Note: The remnants of Subtropical Depression 22 lingered in the western Atlantic for several days, eventually moving northwestward and northward off the U. S. Mid-Atlantic coast before merging with a frontal system. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: VINCE Cyclone Number: 23 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 09 1200 33.8 N 19.3 W 1001 45 05 OCT 09 1800 34.1 N 18.9 W 987 65 05 OCT 10 0000 34.3 N 18.3 W 987 65 05 OCT 10 0600 34.6 N 17.2 W 994 50 05 OCT 10 1200 34.7 N 15.3 W 1002 40 05 OCT 10 1800 35.4 N 12.8 W 1000 40 05 OCT 11 0000 36.0 N 10.6 W 998 40 05 OCT 11 0600 36.8 N 8.3 W 1002 30 Just south of Portugal 05 OCT 11 0900 37.2 N 7.1 W 1002 30 On coast of Spain Note: Vince is the first Atlantic tropical cyclone on record to make landfall in Europe while still classified as a tropical system. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: WILMA Cyclone Number: 24 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 15 1800 17.6 N 78.6 W 1004 25 05 OCT 16 0000 17.1 N 78.9 W 1003 25 05 OCT 16 0600 17.0 N 79.2 W 1003 30 05 OCT 16 1200 17.1 N 79.3 W 1003 30 05 OCT 16 1800 17.6 N 79.3 W 1002 30 05 OCT 17 0000 17.6 N 79.6 W 1001 30 05 OCT 17 0600 17.3 N 79.6 W 1000 30 05 OCT 17 1200 16.4 N 79.8 W 1000 35 Upgraded at 0900Z 05 OCT 17 1800 16.1 N 79.9 W 997 40 05 OCT 18 0000 15.7 N 79.9 W 989 45 05 OCT 18 0600 15.7 N 80.0 W 984 55 05 OCT 18 1200 16.2 N 80.3 W 980 60 05 OCT 18 1800 16.6 N 81.1 W 975 70 Upgraded at 1500Z 05 OCT 19 0000 16.6 N 81.8 W 954 85 05 OCT 19 0600 17.0 N 82.2 W 901 130 05 OCT 19 1200 17.3 N 82.8 W 882 150 See Note 05 OCT 19 1800 17.4 N 83.3 W 892 145 05 OCT 20 0000 18.0 N 84.0 W 892 140 05 OCT 20 0600 18.1 N 84.7 W 899 135 05 OCT 20 1200 18.3 N 85.2 W 910 125 05 OCT 20 1800 18.6 N 85.5 W 915 125 05 OCT 21 0000 19.1 N 85.8 W 923 130 05 OCT 21 0600 19.6 N 86.1 W 930 130 05 OCT 21 1200 20.1 N 86.4 W 930 125 05 OCT 21 1800 20.4 N 86.7 W 926 125 05 OCT 22 0000 20.7 N 86.8 W 930 120 Over Cozumel Island 05 OCT 22 0600 20.9 N 87.1 W 935 115 On coast of Yucatan P. 05 OCT 22 1200 21.1 N 87.0 W 943 110 Inland over NE Yucatan 05 OCT 22 1800 21.2 N 87.1 W 953 95 05 OCT 23 0000 21.6 N 87.0 W 959 85 Moving off Yucatan P. 05 OCT 23 0600 21.8 N 86.8 W 962 85 Over Gulf of Mexico 05 OCT 23 1200 22.4 N 86.1 W 961 85 05 OCT 23 1800 23.1 N 85.4 W 963 85 05 OCT 24 0000 23.9 N 84.4 W 958 95 05 OCT 24 0600 25.0 N 83.1 W 954 105 05 OCT 24 1200 26.2 N 81.0 W 951 100 Inland in SW Florida 05 OCT 24 1800 27.9 N 78.9 W 955 100 MSW 90 kts at 1500Z 05 OCT 25 0000 30.2 N 76.0 W 955 110 Over Atlantic Ocean 05 OCT 25 0600 33.3 N 72.0 W 965 100 05 OCT 25 1200 36.8 N 67.9 W 970 90 05 OCT 25 1800 40.3 N 64.5 W 976 75 05 OCT 26 0000 42.0 N 60.0 W 983 55 XTROP - OPC warnings 05 OCT 26 0600 44.0 N 57.0 W 984 50 05 OCT 26 1200 44.0 N 54.0 W 990 50 05 OCT 26 1800 45.0 N 52.0 W 993 45 Note: The minimum central pressure of 882 mb measured in Hurricane Wilma is the lowest ever measured in an Atlantic tropical cyclone, besting the previous record of 888 mb measured in Hurricane Gilbert on 13 September 1988. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ALPHA Cyclone Number: 25 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 22 1200 15.8 N 67.5 W 1007 30 05 OCT 22 1800 16.5 N 68.5 W 1007 30 05 OCT 23 0000 17.3 N 69.6 W 1005 35 Upgraded at 2100Z 05 OCT 23 0600 17.8 N 70.5 W 998 45 05 OCT 23 1200 18.6 N 72.2 W 1000 45 Inland over Hispaniola 05 OCT 23 1800 19.8 N 72.7 W 1004 30 Downgraded at 1500Z 05 OCT 24 0000 21.6 N 72.9 W 1004 30 Over Atlantic Ocean 05 OCT 24 0600 23.5 N 73.0 W 1004 30 05 OCT 24 1200 25.1 N 72.6 W 1004 30 05 OCT 24 1800 27.9 N 70.8 W 1004 30 05 OCT 24 2100 29.0 N 70.0 W 1004 30 Center dissipating Note: Tropical Storm Alpha, the 22nd named storm of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season, sets a new record, breaking the old record of 21 tropical storms/hurricanes established in 1933. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: BETA Cyclone Number: 26 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 27 0000 11.0 N 81.4 W 1006 30 05 OCT 27 0600 11.3 N 81.7 W 1006 30 05 OCT 27 1200 11.4 N 81.3 W 1005 35 Upgraded at 0900Z 05 OCT 27 1800 11.5 N 81.4 W 997 50 05 OCT 28 0000 12.0 N 81.3 W 997 50 05 OCT 28 0600 12.2 N 81.2 W 994 55 05 OCT 28 1200 12.7 N 81.2 W 993 55 05 OCT 28 1800 13.1 N 81.1 W 993 55 05 OCT 29 0000 13.4 N 81.3 W 990 55 Over I. de Providencia 05 OCT 29 0600 13.6 N 81.4 W 987 65 05 OCT 29 1200 13.8 N 81.6 W 984 70 05 OCT 29 1800 13.8 N 82.1 W 981 80 05 OCT 30 0000 13.8 N 82.6 W 979 80 05 OCT 30 0600 13.3 N 83.1 W 960 100 05 OCT 30 1200 12.9 N 83.5 W 965 95 05 OCT 30 1800 12.7 N 84.1 W 990 65 Inland in Nicaragua 05 OCT 31 0000 12.7 N 84.9 W 1000 35 Downgraded at 2100Z 05 OCT 31 0300 12.7 N 85.3 W 1002 20 Final advisory Note: Hurricane Beta, the 13th hurricane of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season, has set a new record for the highest number of hurricanes in one season, beating the old record of 12 hurricanes set in 1969. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude 140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (16E) 15 - 20 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 16E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 15 0000 11.0 N 101.2 W 1008 30 05 OCT 15 0600 11.0 N 101.4 W 1008 30 05 OCT 15 1200 11.0 N 101.5 W 1008 25 05 OCT 15 1800 11.0 N 101.5 W 1008 25 05 OCT 16 0000 11.0 N 102.0 W 1008 25 05 OCT 16 0600 11.0 N 102.4 W 1007 30 05 OCT 16 1200 11.3 N 103.0 W 1006 30 05 OCT 16 1800 11.7 N 103.8 W 1006 30 05 OCT 17 0000 12.0 N 104.4 W 1006 30 See Note 05 OCT 17 0600 12.0 N 105.1 W 1007 30 05 OCT 17 1200 12.1 N 105.8 W 1007 25 05 OCT 17 1800 12.2 N 106.6 W 1007 25 05 OCT 18 0000 12.1 N 107.5 W 1007 25 Final advisory 05 OCT 19 1200 12.1 N 113.1 W 1007 25 Regenerated 05 OCT 19 1800 12.3 N 114.7 W 1006 30 05 OCT 20 0000 12.3 N 115.4 W 1007 25 05 OCT 20 0600 12.5 N 116.6 W 1007 25 05 OCT 20 1200 12.5 N 117.9 W 1007 25 05 OCT 20 1800 12.7 N 118.9 W 1009 25 Note: At 17/0000 UTC all satellite agencies classified the system at 35 kts, based on improved banding features and cloud tops colder than -70 C over the western half of the circulation. The decision was initially made to name the depression Tropical Storm Pilar, but shortly before advisory release time at 0300 UTC, shortwave infrared imagery revealed that the center had become sheared farther to the southeast of the banding feature and convective cloud tops had warmed considerably. Therefore, the forecaster decided to keep the cyclone as a tropical depression for the time being, but the weakening trend continued and it was never upgraded to a tropical storm. Since the Best Track always defines the track and intensity at synoptic hours (0000, 0600, 1200 and 1800 UTC), there is a possibility that the system could be treated as a tropical storm at 17/0000 UTC. However, NHC has never been known to name a system posthumously, so in all likelihood, if TC-16E is upgraded after the fact, it will remain unnamed. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me each month a table comparing the maximum intensities assigned to each cyclone from all the applicable warning centers in the Northwest Pacific basin. A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so reliably provide. Regarding the MSW comparison tables, Huang Chunliang has often stated: "In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most 'radical' TCWC. Also, all the storm names/numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was last ranked as a TD or a tropical system by whatever TCWC." Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (20W) 06 - 08 Oct Typhoon KIROGI (21W / 0520 / NANDO) 09 - 20 Oct Typhoon KAI-TAK (22W / 0521) 25 Oct - 02 Nov ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 06 0600 16.0 N 112.0 E 1008 25 JMA bulletins 05 OCT 06 1200 17.0 N 111.0 E 1006 25 05 OCT 06 1800 17.0 N 110.0 E 1008 25 05 OCT 07 0000 17.1 N 109.7 E 1006 30 05 OCT 07 0600 16.8 N 109.2 E 1006 30 05 OCT 07 1200 16.9 N 107.9 E 1006 30 30 JMA: 16.6N/108.4E 05 OCT 07 1800 16.8 N 106.6 E 1006 25 30 Inland in Vietnam 05 OCT 08 0000 16.0 N 106.0 E 1006 25 JMA bulletin Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: =================================================== == Tropical Depression 20W (October 06-08, 2005) == =================================================== TCWC STORM ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Tropical Depression 20W 30 JMA Tropical Depression 30 HKO Tropical Depression 30 CWB Tropical Depression --* TMD Tropical Depression 27 Note (*): CWB normally doesn't make any wind estimations for tropical depressions. Note: This system was numbered TD 0513 by the Guangzhou Regional Meteorologic Center (GRMC) as it was the 13th tropical system of 2005 to enter that agency's AOR. The peak MSW assigned by GRMC was 25 kts. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: KIROGI Cyclone Number: 21W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: NANDO JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0520 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 09 0600 23.0 N 137.0 E 1008 25 JMA bulletins 05 OCT 09 1200 22.5 N 136.0 E 1008 30 05 OCT 09 1800 22.7 N 135.9 E 1008 30 05 OCT 10 0000 22.9 N 134.5 E 1004 30 05 OCT 10 0600 22.5 N 133.8 E 1000 25 35 05 OCT 10 1200 22.2 N 133.4 E 1000 30 35 05 OCT 10 1800 21.7 N 133.5 E 990 35 45 05 OCT 11 0000 21.2 N 133.3 E 985 45 50 05 OCT 11 0600 21.0 N 133.0 E 975 55 60 05 OCT 11 1200 20.7 N 132.8 E 950 75 80 05 OCT 11 1800 20.5 N 132.7 E 940 105 85 05 OCT 12 0000 20.5 N 132.5 E 940 105 85 05 OCT 12 0600 20.7 N 132.2 E 935 115 90 05 OCT 12 1200 20.9 N 132.1 E 935 115 90 05 OCT 12 1800 21.1 N 131.9 E 935 100 90 05 OCT 13 0000 21.4 N 131.8 E 940 95 85 05 OCT 13 0600 21.5 N 131.7 E 940 90 85 05 OCT 13 1200 21.8 N 131.8 E 940 90 85 05 OCT 13 1800 22.1 N 131.8 E 940 95 85 05 OCT 14 0000 22.5 N 131.3 E 940 95 85 05 OCT 14 0600 22.9 N 131.2 E 950 90 80 05 OCT 14 1200 23.0 N 131.1 E 945 90 80 05 OCT 14 1800 23.1 N 131.1 E 945 95 80 05 OCT 15 0000 23.3 N 131.2 E 945 100 80 05 OCT 15 0600 23.6 N 131.3 E 945 100 80 05 OCT 15 1200 23.8 N 131.8 E 945 100 80 05 OCT 15 1800 24.0 N 132.4 E 945 100 80 05 OCT 16 0000 24.3 N 132.9 E 945 100 80 05 OCT 16 0600 24.7 N 133.4 E 940 125 85 05 OCT 16 1200 25.3 N 133.9 E 940 125 85 05 OCT 16 1800 25.8 N 134.2 E 940 120 85 05 OCT 17 0000 26.5 N 134.6 E 945 110 85 05 OCT 17 0600 27.7 N 135.0 E 950 110 80 05 OCT 17 1200 28.6 N 135.5 E 955 95 75 05 OCT 17 1800 29.2 N 136.1 E 955 90 75 05 OCT 18 0000 30.0 N 136.7 E 955 90 75 05 OCT 18 0600 30.9 N 137.7 E 955 90 75 05 OCT 18 1200 31.9 N 139.2 E 960 75 75 05 OCT 18 1800 32.7 N 140.5 E 985 55 55 JMA: 32.4N/140.1E 05 OCT 19 0000 33.4 N 142.2 E 1000 45 45 JMA: 32.6N/142.0E 05 OCT 19 0600 34.0 N 144.0 E 1000 40 XTROP/JMA bulletins 05 OCT 19 1200 35.0 N 145.0 E 1008 35 05 OCT 19 1800 35.0 N 145.0 E 1012 35 05 OCT 20 0000 36.0 N 146.0 E 1016 35 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ========================================================= == Typhoon 21W/KIROGI/0520/NANDO (October 09-19, 2005) == ========================================================= TCWC STORM ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 21W (KIROGI) 125 JMA Very Severe Typhoon 0520 (KIROGI) 90 NMCC Typhoon 0520 (KIROGI) 100 HKO Typhoon KIROGI (0520) --* CWB Moderate Typhoon 0520 (KIROGI) 90 PAGASA Typhoon NANDO 90 Note (*): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this typhoon, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: KAI-TAK Cyclone Number: 22W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0521 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 25 0600 9.0 N 138.0 E 1006 25 JMA bulletins 05 OCT 25 1200 9.0 N 136.0 E 1008 25 05 OCT 25 1800 8.0 N 132.0 E 1008 20 Low-pressure area 05 OCT 26 0000 9.0 N 130.0 E 1010 20 05 OCT 26 0600 11.0 N 128.0 E 1006 20 05 OCT 26 1200 11.0 N 126.0 E 1008 20 05 OCT 26 1800 14.0 N 125.0 E 1008 20 05 OCT 27 0000 14.0 N 124.0 E 1010 20 05 OCT 27 0600 12.0 N 118.0 E 1008 20 05 OCT 27 1200 12.0 N 118.0 E 1010 20 05 OCT 27 1800 12.0 N 117.0 E 1008 20 05 OCT 28 0000 12.0 N 116.0 E 1008 20 05 OCT 28 0600 12.7 N 115.1 E 1004 30 Tropical depression 05 OCT 28 1200 12.8 N 114.5 E 1004 30 05 OCT 28 1800 12.7 N 113.6 E 1002 30 30 05 OCT 29 0000 12.5 N 113.1 E 1000 35 35 05 OCT 29 0600 12.8 N 112.8 E 990 45 50 05 OCT 29 1200 12.9 N 112.5 E 985 50 50 05 OCT 29 1800 13.3 N 112.9 E 985 55 50 05 OCT 30 0000 14.0 N 112.9 E 975 65 60 05 OCT 30 0600 14.1 N 112.2 E 970 75 65 05 OCT 30 1200 14.1 N 112.1 E 950 90 80 05 OCT 30 1800 14.4 N 111.8 E 950 90 80 05 OCT 31 0000 14.7 N 111.6 E 950 90 80 05 OCT 31 0600 14.8 N 111.5 E 960 85 70 05 OCT 31 1200 15.0 N 111.0 E 965 75 65 05 OCT 31 1800 14.9 N 110.5 E 970 75 60 05 NOV 01 0000 15.1 N 109.9 E 970 70 60 05 NOV 01 0600 15.8 N 108.9 E 970 65 60 05 NOV 01 1200 16.3 N 108.4 E 980 65 55 05 NOV 01 1800 17.1 N 107.7 E 985 60 50 05 NOV 02 0000 17.6 N 106.8 E 990 55 40 05 NOV 02 0600 18.9 N 105.8 E 998 45 35 Inland in Vietnam 05 NOV 02 1200 20.1 N 105.4 E 1004 35 25 JMA: 19.0N/105.0E Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ============================================================ == Typhoon 22W/KAI-TAK/0521 (October 25-November 2, 2005) == ============================================================ TCWC STORM ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 22W (KAI-TAK) 90 JMA Severe Typhoon 0521 (KAI-TAK) 80 NMCC Typhoon 0521 (KAI-TAK) 80 HKO Typhoon KAI-TAK (0521) 80 CWB Moderate Typhoon 0521 (KAI-TAK) 80 TMD Typhoon KAI-TAK 80 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Occasionally some information may have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. For synoptic observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and 3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity; hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone (03B) 02 - 03 Oct Tropical Cyclone (04B) 26 - 28 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 03B Basin: NIO IMD Cyclonic Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 02 0600 19.4 N 86.0 E 35 05 OCT 02 1800 20.7 N 87.4 E 35 05 OCT 03 0600 22.2 N 88.4 E 30 Moving inland Note: The India Meteorological Department did not classify this system even as a depression. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None (See Note #2) Cyclone Number: 04B Basin: NIO IMD Cyclonic Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 26 0300 12.0 N 84.5 E 25 IMD bulletins 05 OCT 26 1200 12.5 N 84.0 E 25 05 OCT 26 1800 12.5 N 84.0 E 30 05 OCT 27 0300 13.0 N 82.5 E 30 05 OCT 27 0600 13.0 N 81.5 E 30 05 OCT 27 1200 13.5 N 81.5 E 30 05 OCT 27 1800 14.5 N 81.8 E 35 JTWC warnings 05 OCT 28 0600 15.3 N 80.9 E 35 IMD-0300Z: 15.5N/80.0E 05 OCT 28 1800 16.1 N 79.3 E 30 Inland--See Note #1 Note #1: The IMD portion of the above track was supplied by Huang Chunliang. IMD tracked the remnants inland over South Andhra through 29/1200 UTC, but no coordinates were available. Note #2: I have learned from Soma Senroy, a contact I have within the IMD, that this system was named Baaz by Pakistan. However, the WMO operational plan for this region clearly states that RSMC New Delhi (IMD) is charged with assigning names to those systems reaching cyclonic storm (i.e., tropical storm) status, and IMD did not upgrade this system to cyclonic storm status. If I learn more about this anomaly, I will pass along the information in the October cyclone summary. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (MFR-02 / 01S) 12 - 15 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 01S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 02 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 05 OCT 12 0600 5.5 S 87.2 E 1005 25 Locally 30 kts to S 05 OCT 12 1200 5.2 S 86.6 E 1005 25 " 05 OCT 13 0600 6.5 S 86.2 E 1005 25 " 05 OCT 13 1200 7.8 S 85.5 E 1003 25 " 05 OCT 14 0000 9.5 S 83.5 E 1002 25 Locally 30-35 kts to S 05 OCT 14 0600 10.3 S 82.2 E 998 30 Locally 35-40 kts to S 05 OCT 14 1200 11.0 S 81.9 E 998 35 30 " 05 OCT 14 1800 11.4 S 81.2 E 997 30 " 05 OCT 15 0000 13.1 S 80.8 E 997 35 30 " 05 OCT 15 0600 13.3 S 81.0 E 999 30 " 05 OCT 15 1200 13.7 S 80.4 E 1001 35 30 " 05 OCT 15 1800 13.9 S 79.6 E 1003 25 25 Locally 30-35 kts to S Note: The final JTWC position at 15/1800 UTC was 14.3S/80.4E. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Huang Chunliang huangchunliang@hotmail.com ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Posted: 11.08.05 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com