GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - OCTOBER 2004 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm MATTHEW (14) 08 - 11 Oct Subtropical Storm NICOLE (15) 10 - 11 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MATTHEW Cyclone Number: 14 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 OCT 08 1800 24.1 N 94.2 W 1001 35 04 OCT 09 0000 24.5 N 93.8 W 1000 40 04 OCT 09 0600 25.3 N 93.2 W 1002 35 04 OCT 09 1200 26.3 N 92.8 W 1003 30 04 OCT 09 1800 26.9 N 92.1 W 997 35 04 OCT 10 0000 27.2 N 91.4 W 998 35 04 OCT 10 0600 28.1 N 91.2 W 1001 35 04 OCT 10 1200 29.4 N 90.9 W 1001 35 04 OCT 10 1500 29.9 N 90.8 W 1001 30 Inland 04 OCT 10 2100 30.7 N 91.0 W 1001 17 HPC advisories 04 OCT 11 0300 31.9 N 91.3 W 1003 17 04 OCT 11 0900 33.8 N 92.3 W 1005 22 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NICOLE Cyclone Number: 15 Basin: ATL (System was a subtropical storm throughout its life) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 OCT 10 0000 31.0 N 65.0 W 1000 40 OPC warning 04 OCT 10 0600 31.2 N 65.8 W 1000 40 First NHC advisory 04 OCT 10 1200 31.6 N 66.6 W 1002 40 04 OCT 10 1800 32.0 N 66.7 W 1000 40 04 OCT 11 0000 32.8 N 65.6 W 995 40 04 OCT 11 0600 34.2 N 64.2 W 994 40 04 OCT 11 1200 35.6 N 62.0 W 988 40 04 OCT 11 1800 38.5 N 60.5 W 988 45 Final advisory Note: Nicole apparently merged with a developing extratropical storm to its north soon after issuance of the final NHC advisory. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude 140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm KAY (14E) 04 - 06 Oct Tropical Storm LESTER (15E) 11 - 13 Oct Tropical Depression (16E) 25 - 26 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: KAY Cyclone Number: 14E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 OCT 04 1800 13.8 N 111.4 W 1006 30 04 OCT 05 0000 14.0 N 112.8 W 1006 30 04 OCT 05 0600 14.1 N 114.0 W 1006 30 04 OCT 05 1200 14.6 N 115.3 W 1003 40 04 OCT 05 1800 15.1 N 116.1 W 1006 30 04 OCT 06 0000 15.4 N 116.7 W 1006 25 04 OCT 06 0600 15.9 N 116.9 W 1007 25 04 OCT 06 1200 16.1 N 117.1 W 1007 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: LESTER Cyclone Number: 15E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 OCT 11 1800 14.4 N 96.6 W 1006 30 04 OCT 12 0000 14.8 N 97.0 W 1006 30 04 OCT 12 0600 15.0 N 97.7 W 1006 30 04 OCT 12 1200 15.5 N 98.7 W 1006 30 04 OCT 12 1800 16.1 N 99.2 W 1005 30 04 OCT 13 0000 16.5 N 99.8 W 1004 35 04 OCT 13 0600 16.7 N 100.3 W 1000 40 04 OCT 13 1200 16.8 N 100.5 W 1002 45 04 OCT 13 1800 16.5 N 100.8 W 1005 35 04 OCT 13 2100 16.5 N 101.0 W 1005 25 Dissipated ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 16E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 OCT 25 1800 22.3 N 108.8 W 1004 30 04 OCT 26 0000 23.8 N 108.5 W 1004 30 04 OCT 26 0600 24.3 N 108.5 W 1005 30 04 OCT 26 1200 25.8 N 108.8 W 1006 20 Inland ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me each month a table comparing the maximum intensities assigned to each cyclone from all the applicable warning centers in the Northwest Pacific basin. A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so reliably provide. Systems Tracked --------------- Super Typhoon MA-ON (26W / 0422 / ROLLY) 03 - 10 Oct Typhoon TOKAGE (27W / 0423 / SIONY) 12 - 23 Oct Typhoon NOCK-TEN (28W / 0424 / TONYO) 14 - 27 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MA-ON Cyclone Number: 26W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: ROLLY JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0422 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 OCT 03 1200 16.4 N 134.7 E 1002 30 JMA warnings 04 OCT 03 1800 16.4 N 134.6 E 1002 30 04 OCT 04 0000 16.9 N 134.7 E 1000 30 30 04 OCT 04 0600 16.9 N 134.2 E 996 35 40 04 OCT 04 1200 16.8 N 134.2 E 994 35 40 04 OCT 04 1800 17.2 N 134.3 E 994 35 40 04 OCT 05 0000 18.0 N 134.3 E 994 35 40 04 OCT 05 0600 18.9 N 134.6 E 990 45 45 04 OCT 05 1200 19.6 N 134.7 E 990 45 45 04 OCT 05 1800 20.1 N 134.2 E 990 50 45 04 OCT 06 0000 20.5 N 133.4 E 985 55 50 04 OCT 06 0600 20.7 N 132.7 E 980 60 55 04 OCT 06 1200 20.9 N 132.2 E 975 70 60 04 OCT 06 1800 21.4 N 131.7 E 965 75 70 04 OCT 07 0000 21.8 N 131.0 E 955 75 75 04 OCT 07 0600 22.2 N 130.7 E 940 90 90 04 OCT 07 1200 22.8 N 130.6 E 930 115 95 04 OCT 07 1800 23.2 N 130.8 E 920 125 100 04 OCT 08 0000 23.8 N 131.4 E 920 140 100 04 OCT 08 0600 25.0 N 132.2 E 920 140 100 04 OCT 08 1200 27.0 N 133.1 E 920 140 100 04 OCT 08 1800 28.9 N 134.6 E 930 135 95 04 OCT 09 0000 31.5 N 136.0 E 940 115 85 04 OCT 09 0600 34.3 N 138.3 E 940 90 85 Nearing southern Honshu 04 OCT 09 1200 37.0 N 141.5 E 985 75 60 Exiting eastern Honshu 04 OCT 09 1800 39.3 N 145.6 E 992 50 50 JMA: 38.7N/145.1E 04 OCT 10 0000 40.0 N 150.0 E 996 40 JMA warnings/XTROP 04 OCT 10 0600 40.0 N 151.0 E 1004 40 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled by Huang Chunliang: ======================================================= == Typhoon 26W/MA-ON/0422/0423/ROLLY (Oct 3-9, 2004) == ======================================================= TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Super Typhoon 26W (MA-ON) 140 JMA Very Severe Typhoon 0422 (MA-ON) 100 PAGASA Typhoon ROLLY 100* NMCC Typhoon 0423 (MA-ON) 100 HKO Typhoon MA-ON (0422) ---# CWB Severe Typhoon 0422 (MA-ON) 105 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was finally classified as a tropical system by whatever TCWC. Note 2 (*): The MSW is merely the "peak" value based on the limited warnings released only when the storm was travelling within the restricted AOR, so it may have not been the real peak. Note 3 (#): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this typhoon, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: TOKAGE Cyclone Number: 27W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: SIONY JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0423 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 OCT 12 0600 13.1 N 149.6 E 1002 30 JMA warning 04 OCT 12 1200 13.6 N 148.3 E 1000 30 30 JMA: 13.4N/147.1E 04 OCT 12 1800 14.0 N 145.4 E 998 35 30 04 OCT 13 0000 14.2 N 143.8 E 994 45 40 04 OCT 13 0600 14.3 N 142.0 E 990 50 45 04 OCT 13 1200 14.1 N 140.3 E 985 60 50 04 OCT 13 1800 13.9 N 139.0 E 980 70 55 04 OCT 14 0000 13.7 N 138.1 E 980 80 55 04 OCT 14 0600 13.7 N 137.5 E 975 80 60 04 OCT 14 1200 13.9 N 136.5 E 970 80 65 04 OCT 14 1800 14.4 N 136.1 E 965 90 70 04 OCT 15 0000 14.8 N 135.6 E 955 100 75 04 OCT 15 0600 15.1 N 134.7 E 955 100 75 04 OCT 15 1200 15.5 N 134.4 E 955 100 75 04 OCT 15 1800 15.8 N 134.1 E 955 100 75 04 OCT 16 0000 16.4 N 134.0 E 955 100 75 04 OCT 16 0600 17.6 N 134.0 E 945 110 85 04 OCT 16 1200 18.3 N 133.1 E 940 120 85 04 OCT 16 1800 18.6 N 132.5 E 940 120 85 04 OCT 17 0000 19.1 N 132.0 E 940 125 85 04 OCT 17 0600 19.8 N 131.1 E 940 125 85 04 OCT 17 1200 20.1 N 130.1 E 940 115 85 04 OCT 17 1800 20.9 N 129.0 E 940 115 85 04 OCT 18 0000 21.7 N 128.2 E 945 105 80 04 OCT 18 0600 22.2 N 127.5 E 950 95 80 04 OCT 18 1200 23.0 N 126.9 E 950 95 80 04 OCT 18 1800 23.6 N 126.9 E 950 90 80 04 OCT 19 0000 24.8 N 127.2 E 950 80 80 04 OCT 19 0600 25.9 N 127.9 E 950 75 80 04 OCT 19 1200 27.3 N 128.8 E 950 70 80 04 OCT 19 1800 29.0 N 130.4 E 950 65 80 04 OCT 20 0000 31.4 N 132.1 E 950 60 80 04 OCT 20 0600 33.1 N 133.3 E 955 55 75 JMA: 33.4N/133.9E 04 OCT 20 1200 35.8 N 137.1 E 980 40 60 Over central Honshu 04 OCT 20 1800 37.2 N 139.7 E 990 30 50 JMA: 35.8N/139.9E 04 OCT 21 0000 36.0 N 143.0 E 992 50 JMA warnings/XTROP 04 OCT 21 0600 41.0 N 151.0 E 992 50 04 OCT 21 1200 44.0 N 156.0 E 992 50 04 OCT 21 1800 46.0 N 158.0 E 992 45 04 OCT 22 0000 47.0 N 163.0 E 992 45 04 OCT 22 0600 49.0 N 167.0 E 992 45 04 OCT 22 1200 51.0 N 172.0 E 992 45 04 OCT 22 1800 53.0 N 176.0 E 992 40 04 OCT 23 0000 57.0 N 178.0 W 986 40 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled by Huang Chunliang: ========================================================== == Typhoon 27W/TOKAGE/0423/0424/SIONY (Oct 12-20, 2004) == ========================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 27W (TOKAGE) 125 JMA Very Severe Typhoon 0423 (TOKAGE) 85 PAGASA Typhoon SIONY 95 NMCC Typhoon 0424 (TOKAGE) 100 HKO Typhoon TOKAGE (0423) ---# CWB Moderate Typhoon 0423 (TOKAGE) 85 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was finally classified as a tropical system by whatever TCWC. Note 2 (#): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this typhoon, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NOCK-TEN Cyclone Number: 28W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: TONYO JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0424 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 OCT 14 0000 8.7 N 162.5 E 1008 25 25 JMA: 10.0N/164.0E 04 OCT 14 0600 10.0 N 161.4 E 1004 30 25 JMA: 10.0N/163.0E 04 OCT 14 1200 10.4 N 160.5 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 11.7N/161.7E 04 OCT 14 1800 11.0 N 159.6 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 11.8N/161.7E 04 OCT 15 0000 11.8 N 159.0 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 11.8N/161.4E 04 OCT 15 0600 11.9 N 158.7 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 11.5N/160.0E 04 OCT 15 1200 11.5 N 158.1 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 11.6N/159.3E 04 OCT 15 1800 10.8 N 159.7 E 1000 30 30 JMA: 11.7N/158.5E 04 OCT 16 0000 11.1 N 158.3 E 1000 30 30 JMA: 11.5N/157.5E 04 OCT 16 0600 11.0 N 156.5 E 1000 35 30 04 OCT 16 1200 10.9 N 155.3 E 996 40 35 04 OCT 16 1800 10.3 N 154.9 E 990 45 45 04 OCT 17 0000 10.6 N 154.4 E 990 50 45 04 OCT 17 0600 10.6 N 153.8 E 990 55 45 04 OCT 17 1200 10.8 N 153.2 E 990 60 45 04 OCT 17 1800 10.6 N 152.8 E 990 60 45 04 OCT 18 0000 10.3 N 152.5 E 985 65 50 04 OCT 18 0600 10.2 N 151.8 E 970 75 65 04 OCT 18 1200 10.1 N 150.9 E 965 85 70 04 OCT 18 1800 10.1 N 149.8 E 965 85 70 04 OCT 19 0000 9.8 N 148.5 E 965 85 70 04 OCT 19 0600 9.7 N 148.0 E 965 90 70 04 OCT 19 1200 9.8 N 147.1 E 965 90 70 04 OCT 19 1800 10.2 N 146.0 E 965 90 70 04 OCT 20 0000 10.7 N 145.1 E 955 95 75 04 OCT 20 0600 11.6 N 144.0 E 955 95 75 04 OCT 20 1200 12.1 N 142.6 E 955 95 75 04 OCT 20 1800 12.6 N 141.9 E 955 95 75 04 OCT 21 0000 13.4 N 140.7 E 955 95 75 04 OCT 21 0600 13.7 N 139.2 E 955 95 75 04 OCT 21 1200 14.1 N 138.3 E 960 90 70 04 OCT 21 1800 14.7 N 137.4 E 960 95 70 04 OCT 22 0000 15.3 N 136.5 E 960 95 70 04 OCT 22 0600 15.8 N 135.7 E 955 100 75 04 OCT 22 1200 16.4 N 134.8 E 955 100 75 04 OCT 22 1800 16.9 N 133.8 E 955 100 75 04 OCT 23 0000 17.4 N 132.3 E 945 110 85 04 OCT 23 0600 18.0 N 130.9 E 945 110 85 04 OCT 23 1200 18.6 N 129.3 E 945 105 85 04 OCT 23 1800 19.3 N 127.7 E 945 105 85 04 OCT 24 0000 20.0 N 126.0 E 945 105 85 04 OCT 24 0600 20.6 N 124.5 E 945 105 85 04 OCT 24 1200 21.7 N 123.2 E 950 105 80 04 OCT 24 1800 22.7 N 122.4 E 950 100 80 04 OCT 25 0000 24.2 N 122.3 E 970 90 70 04 OCT 25 0600 25.5 N 122.0 E 985 85 60 Just off NE Taiwan 04 OCT 25 1200 26.1 N 122.1 E 992 65 55 04 OCT 25 1800 27.4 N 123.2 E 994 60 50 JMA: 27.9N/123.8E 04 OCT 26 0000 28.3 N 126.0 E 996 50 JMA warnings 04 OCT 26 0600 29.0 N 130.0 E 1002 45 Extratropical 04 OCT 26 1200 30.0 N 134.0 E 1004 40 04 OCT 26 1800 31.0 N 138.0 E 1006 40 04 OCT 27 0000 31.0 N 142.0 E 1010 35 04 OCT 27 1800 32.0 N 151.0 E 1012 35 No data: 0600 and 1200Z Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled by Huang Chunliang: ============================================================ == Typhoon 28W/NOCK-TEN/0424/0425/TONYO (Oct 14-26, 2004) == ============================================================ TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 28W (NOCK-TEN) 110 JMA Very Severe Typhoon 0424 (NOCK-TEN) 85 PAGASA Typhoon TONYO 80 NMCC Typhoon 0425 (NOCK-TEN) 90 HKO Typhoon NOCK-TEN (0424) 85 CWB Moderate Typhoon 0424 (NOCK-TEN) 85 Note: In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was finally classified as a tropical system by whatever TCWC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Occasionally some information may have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. For synoptic observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and 3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity; hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied. Systems Tracked --------------- Severe Cyclonic Storm ONIL (03A / ARB0402) 01 - 09 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ONIL Cyclone Number: 03A Basin: NIO IMD Cyclonic Storm Number: ARB0402 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 OCT 01 0000 18.5 N 67.0 E 30 IMD warning 04 OCT 01 1200 20.0 N 66.2 E 30 04 OCT 02 0000 21.0 N 67.0 E 40 04 OCT 02 1200 22.2 N 67.8 E 35 04 OCT 03 0000 23.6 N 69.6 E 20 Inland (see note) 04 OCT 04 1800 21.2 N 67.1 E 25 Relocated 04 OCT 05 1800 19.4 N 67.8 E 25 04 OCT 06 1800 18.6 N 68.1 E 25 04 OCT 07 1800 18.0 N 68.8 E 25 04 OCT 08 1800 19.1 N 68.7 E 25 04 OCT 09 1800 21.0 N 70.1 E 25 Note: The LLCC of Onil apparently never actually made landfall on the 3rd, but halted right at the coast and then began to drift southwest- ward. By the 10th of October the remnants had drifted inland about 190 nm northwest of Mumbai (Bombay), India. There is also a chance that Onil was more intense than indicated in the JTWC warnings--SAB ranked the cyclone at T3.5/3.5 (55 kts) on 1 and 2 October. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (MFR-02 / 02S) 25 - 29 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 02S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 02 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 OCT 25 0600 8.5 S 61.1 E 1004 25 30 kts S semicircle 04 OCT 25 1200 8.4 S 59.9 E 1004 25 04 OCT 25 1800 8.6 S 58.5 E 1001 25 04 OCT 26 0000 8.2 S 57.3 E 999 30 04 OCT 26 0600 8.2 S 56.8 E 1003 25 04 OCT 26 1200 8.4 S 55.4 E 1003 25 04 OCT 26 1800 8.9 S 53.8 E 1002 25 04 OCT 27 0000 8.9 S 52.2 E 996 35 30 04 OCT 27 0600 8.6 S 50.6 E 999 30 04 OCT 27 1200 8.8 S 49.4 E 999 35 30 04 OCT 27 1800 9.2 S 48.2 E 999 30 04 OCT 28 0000 9.5 S 47.2 E 999 35 30 04 OCT 28 0600 9.2 S 45.4 E 1002 30 04 OCT 28 1200 8.4 S 43.8 E 1002 35 30 04 OCT 28 1800 8.3 S 42.9 E 1004 25 30 kts S semicircle 04 OCT 29 0000 8.4 S 41.2 E 1005 25 25 04 OCT 29 0600 7.1 S 39.2 E 1007 25 04 OCT 29 1200 7.1 S 38.1 E 1008 20 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (01F) 28 - 30 Oct ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA/AUE Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 01F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 OCT 28 2100 7.0 S 163.0 E 1003 25 04 OCT 29 0900 7.0 S 164.0 E 1001 25 04 OCT 29 2100 7.0 S 163.0 E 1002 25 04 OCT 30 0600 9.0 S 161.0 E 1003 25 04 OCT 30 1800 9.0 S 159.0 E 1002 25 Note: This tropical LOW drifted westward in the early days of November into Brisbane's AOR. That warning centre mentioned the LOW in its daily tropical weather outlooks for several days but gave no coordinates. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Huang Chunliang huangchunliang@hotmail.com ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published: 12.12.04 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com