GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - NOVEMBER 2008 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Hurricane PALOMA (17) 05 - 10 Nov ************************************************************************* Storm Name: PALOMA Cyclone Number: 17 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 NOV 05 1800 13.7 N 81.6 W 1004 25 08 NOV 06 0000 14.1 N 82.0 W 1004 30 08 NOV 06 0600 14.8 N 82.1 W 1004 30 08 NOV 06 1200 15.3 N 82.2 W 1000 35 Upgraded at 0900Z 08 NOV 06 1800 15.9 N 81.9 W 997 50 08 NOV 07 0000 16.9 N 81.7 W 987 65 08 NOV 07 0600 17.5 N 81.8 W 987 65 08 NOV 07 1200 18.1 N 81.7 W 981 70 08 NOV 07 1800 18.4 N 81.4 W 974 80 08 NOV 08 0000 18.9 N 81.1 W 962 100 08 NOV 08 0600 19.3 N 80.5 W 958 105 08 NOV 08 1200 19.7 N 79.6 W 943 120 CP 939 mb at 1111Z 08 NOV 08 1800 20.2 N 78.8 W 950 120 MSW 125 kts at 2100Z 08 NOV 09 0000 20.8 N 77.9 W 968 105 Inland in Cuba 08 NOV 09 0600 21.1 N 77.6 W 975 85 08 NOV 09 1200 21.1 N 78.0 W 985 60 08 NOV 09 1800 21.1 N 78.0 W 1004 30 08 NOV 10 0000 21.7 N 78.0 W 1007 25 08 NOV 10 0300 22.0 N 78.0 W 1007 25 Note: The MSW in the working "best track" has been upped to 125 kts at 08/1200 UTC. This was the intensity in the regular advisory issued at 08/2100 UTC, and makes Paloma the second most intense Atlantic November tropical cyclone after Hurricane Lenny of 1999, which peaked at 135 kts. The center of Paloma made landfall near Santa Cruz del Sur, Cuba, at approximately 08/2320 UTC with an estimated MSW of 110 kts, making it the third intense hurricane (Category 3+) to strike the island nation this season. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude 140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm POLO (18E) 02 - 05 Nov ************************************************************************* Storm Name: POLO Cyclone Number: 18E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 NOV 02 1800 8.5 N 109.1 W 1007 30 08 NOV 03 0000 8.8 N 110.7 W 1007 35 08 NOV 03 0600 8.8 N 111.9 W 1005 35 08 NOV 03 1200 8.7 N 112.7 W 1005 35 08 NOV 03 1800 9.1 N 113.7 W 1005 35 08 NOV 04 0000 9.4 N 115.0 W 1005 35 08 NOV 04 0600 9.5 N 116.1 W 1005 35 08 NOV 04 1200 9.7 N 117.0 W 1005 35 08 NOV 04 1800 10.0 N 118.1 W 1005 35 08 NOV 05 0000 9.6 N 119.4 W 1007 30 08 NOV 05 0300 9.6 N 120.0 W 1007 30 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). A special thanks to Michael for his efforts. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm MAYSAK (24W / 0819 / QUINTA-SIONY) 06 - 14 Nov Tropical Storm HAISHEN (25W / 0820) 15 - 21 Nov Tropical Storm NOUL (26W / 0821 / TONYO) 15 - 18 Nov ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MAYSAK Cyclone Number: 24W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: QUINTA-SIONYJMA Tropical Storm Number: 0819 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 NOV 06 0000 10.5 N 124.5 E 1002 25 PAGASA warnings 08 NOV 06 0600 11.5 N 123.0 E 1000 30 08 NOV 06 1200 12.0 N 121.7 E 1000 30 08 NOV 06 1800 12.5 N 120.0 E 1006 30 30 CP/MSW 10-min from JMA 08 NOV 07 0000 13.1 N 118.5 E 1006 35 30 08 NOV 07 0600 13.6 N 117.0 E 1002 35 35 08 NOV 07 1200 14.2 N 116.2 E 998 40 40 08 NOV 07 1800 15.1 N 115.5 E 998 40 40 JMA: 14.7N/115.9E 08 NOV 08 0000 15.1 N 114.8 E 990 45 45 JMA: 15.0N/115.6E 08 NOV 08 0600 15.8 N 114.5 E 990 45 45 JMA: 15.9N/115.1E 08 NOV 08 1200 17.0 N 115.1 E 985 55 50 08 NOV 08 1800 17.6 N 115.7 E 985 55 50 JMA: 17.8N/115.1E 08 NOV 09 0000 18.3 N 116.1 E 985 60 50 08 NOV 09 0600 18.3 N 116.2 E 985 50 50 08 NOV 09 1200 16.8 N 115.9 E 998 45 30 08 NOV 09 1800 15.6 N 116.1 E 1000 35 25 08 NOV 10 0000 15.6 N 116.5 E 1000 25 25 08 NOV 10 0600 15.0 N 117.0 E 1000 25 JMA bulletins 08 NOV 10 1200 14.0 N 118.0 E 1000 25 08 NOV 10 1800 12.0 N 116.0 E 1004 25 08 NOV 11 0000 12.0 N 116.0 E 1006 25 08 NOV 11 0600 11.0 N 115.0 E 1006 25 08 NOV 11 1200 11.0 N 115.0 E 1008 25 08 NOV 11 1800 10.0 N 115.0 E 1006 25 08 NOV 12 0000 11.0 N 116.0 E 1006 25 08 NOV 12 0600 10.0 N 115.0 E 1006 25 08 NOV 12 1200 10.0 N 115.0 E 1006 25 08 NOV 12 1800 11.0 N 115.0 E 1004 25 08 NOV 13 0000 11.0 N 113.0 E 1006 25 08 NOV 13 0600 12.0 N 113.0 E 1006 25 08 NOV 13 1200 12.0 N 112.0 E 1006 25 08 NOV 13 1800 11.0 N 111.0 E 1006 25 08 NOV 14 0000 10.0 N 110.0 E 1006 25 08 NOV 14 0600 10.0 N 109.0 E 1006 20 08 NOV 14 1200 10.0 N 108.0 E 1008 20 Note: During the post-warning period, JTWC's Dvorak rating increased to T1.5/2.0 at 12/1130 UTC, while SAB's analysis yielded T2.0/2.0 at 12/0830 UTC. PAGASA applied the name Quinta to this system originally, and warnings were dropped on 11 November. However, the next day warnings were re-initiated but the depression was renamed Siony. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: HAISHEN Cyclone Number: 25W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0820 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 NOV 15 0000 23.0 N 146.0 E 1012 25 JMA bulletins 08 NOV 15 0600 24.0 N 147.0 E 1010 25 08 NOV 15 1200 24.7 N 148.6 E 1010 30 08 NOV 15 1800 25.5 N 149.9 E 1006 30 35 08 NOV 16 0000 26.3 N 150.8 E 1006 40 35 08 NOV 16 0600 27.5 N 151.9 E 1006 35 35 08 NOV 16 1200 28.4 N 154.8 E 1006 35 35 JMA: 27.9N/153.5E 08 NOV 16 1800 29.0 N 155.6 E 1006 35 JMA warnings 08 NOV 17 0000 30.0 N 158.0 E 1006 30 08 NOV 17 0600 30.0 N 158.0 E 1008 30 08 NOV 17 1200 31.0 N 160.0 E 1010 35 Extratropical 08 NOV 17 1800 35.0 N 161.0 E 1008 35 08 NOV 18 0000 37.0 N 165.0 E 1008 35 08 NOV 18 0600 38.0 N 169.0 E 1006 35 08 NOV 18 1200 40.0 N 173.0 E 1002 40 08 NOV 18 1800 41.0 N 176.0 E 1002 40 08 NOV 19 0000 43.0 N 180.0 E 998 40 08 NOV 19 0600 43.0 N 178.0 W 994 40 08 NOV 19 1200 43.0 N 175.0 W 996 40 08 NOV 19 1800 42.0 N 172.0 W 993 50 OPC warnings 08 NOV 20 0000 41.0 N 170.0 W 996 50 08 NOV 20 0600 40.0 N 167.0 W 996 50 08 NOV 20 1200 40.0 N 165.0 W 998 50 08 NOV 20 1800 37.0 N 163.0 W 1001 45 08 NOV 21 0000 37.0 N 162.0 W 1005 35 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NOUL Cyclone Number: 26W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: TONYO JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0821 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 NOV 15 1800 9.0 N 116.0 E 1006 25 JMA bulletin 08 NOV 16 0000 10.1 N 115.6 E 1004 30 30 08 NOV 16 0600 10.3 N 114.3 E 1000 35 35 08 NOV 16 1200 10.6 N 113.3 E 996 35 35 08 NOV 16 1800 11.1 N 112.4 E 996 35 35 08 NOV 17 0000 11.4 N 111.4 E 996 40 40 08 NOV 17 0600 11.9 N 109.3 E 996 40 40 08 NOV 17 1200 12.2 N 107.4 E 1000 30 30 Inland 08 NOV 17 1800 13.0 N 105.0 E 1004 25 JMA bulletin 08 NOV 18 0530 12.9 N 103.8 E JTWC sat fix bulletin 08 NOV 18 1130 12.2 N 100.9 E " ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Occasionally some information may have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. For synoptic observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and 3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity; hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied. Systems Tracked --------------- Cyclonic Storm KHAI MUK (05B) 13 - 16 Nov Cyclonic Storm NISHA (06B) 25 - 28 Nov ************************************************************************* Storm Name: KHAI MUK Cyclone Number: 05B Basin: NIO Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 NOV 13 1200 11.5 N 85.5 E 1002 25 IMD bulletin 08 NOV 13 1800 12.7 N 84.9 E 30 JTWC satellite bulletin 08 NOV 14 0000 12.9 N 84.8 E 1002 35 IMD: 30 kts 08 NOV 14 0600 13.4 N 85.1 E 40 08 NOV 14 1200 14.4 N 83.9 E 998 45 IMD: 35 kts 08 NOV 14 1800 14.4 N 83.3 E 45 08 NOV 15 0000 14.3 N 82.7 E 45 08 NOV 15 0600 14.2 N 82.4 E 1000 35 IMD: 30 kts 08 NOV 15 1200 14.3 N 81.6 E 40 IMD: 30 kts 08 NOV 15 1800 14.6 N 80.6 E 40 08 NOV 16 0000 14.8 N 79.8 E 35 Inland ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NISHA Cyclone Number: 06B Basin: NIO Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 NOV 25 0830 9.7 N 80.6 E 1001 30 IMD: 8.5N/81.0E-25 kts 08 NOV 25 1430 9.9 N 80.3 E 1001 35 IMD: 8.5N/81.0E-30 kts 08 NOV 25 1800 9.7 N 80.4 E 40 Initial JTWC warning 08 NOV 26 0000 9.9 N 80.0 E 1000 45 IMD-0300Z: 10.5N/80.0E 08 NOV 26 0600 10.3 N 80.2 E 50 JTWC satellite bulletin 08 NOV 26 1200 10.5 N 79.8 E 50 08 NOV 26 1800 11.1 N 80.2 E 50 08 NOV 27 0000 11.5 N 79.9 E 50 08 NOV 27 0600 11.7 N 79.4 E 50 Inland-Final JTWC wrng 08 NOV 27 1130 11.6 N 78.6 E 35 JTWC satellite bulletin 08 NOV 27 1730 12.1 N 77.7 E 30 " 08 NOV 27 2330 12.7 N 76.4 E 25 " 08 NOV 28 0830 13.9 N 76.1 E 20 " Note: The coordinates for the first two data points above were taken from satellite fix bulletins issued by SAB, with IMD's coordinates annotated in the Remarks column. I chose to use SAB's because they were more in line with JTWC's initial warning position. IMD's peak intensity for Nisha (that I'm aware of) was 45 kts. No MSW values were explicitly given for the inland JTWC positions following issuance of the final warning--I simply supplied those based on an average weakening trend. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm BERNARD (MFR-03 / 03S) 19 - 21 Nov ************************************************************************* Storm Name: BERNARD Cyclone Number: 03S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 03 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 NOV 19 0600 9.4 S 78.4 E 999 25 Locally 30 kts 08 NOV 19 1200 9.5 S 79.6 E 999 25 " 08 NOV 19 1800 9.6 S 80.9 E 998 35 30 08 NOV 20 0000 9.8 S 82.7 E 998 30 08 NOV 20 0600 9.7 S 84.2 E 997 40 30 Locally 35 kts NE quad 08 NOV 20 1200 10.5 S 87.1 E 994 35 Locally 40 kts NE quad 08 NOV 20 1800 10.2 S 89.2 E 998 25 30 JTWC: 11.1S/89.2E 08 NOV 21 0000 10.5 S 91.5 E 1003 20 Locally 30 kts N semi. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone ANIKA (02S) 19 - 21 Nov ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ANIKA Cyclone Number: 02S Basin: AUW (Name assigned by Perth TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 NOV 19 0000 10.3 S 96.4 E 995 40 08 NOV 19 0600 11.2 S 98.0 E 993 35 40 JTWC: 11.8S/97.7E 08 NOV 19 1200 11.9 S 99.0 E 995 40 08 NOV 19 1800 12.5 S 100.3 E 994 50 45 08 NOV 20 0000 13.2 S 101.5 E 991 50 08 NOV 20 0600 14.0 S 102.4 E 990 50 50 JTWC: 14.7S/102.3E 08 NOV 20 1200 15.1 S 103.9 E 991 50 50 JTWC: 15.7S/103.7E 08 NOV 20 1800 15.6 S 105.2 E 994 35 45 08 NOV 21 0000 15.8 S 106.3 E 1002 30 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov> The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: https://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc.php> SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/landsea/padgett/> http://australiasevereweather.com/cyclones/> http://www.typhoon2000.ph> http://mpittweather.com> PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Posted: 01.01.09 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com