GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - NOVEMBER 2000 !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/ advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: http://199.10.200.33/jtwc.html In the near future I shall contact the other tropical warning centers to see if I can locate any links to sites where their "best tracks" might be archived. ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for Northeast Pacific Basin tropical cyclones is based upon operational advisories from the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for systems east of Longitude 140W; and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, Honolulu, Hawaii, for systems west of Longitude 140W. The MSW are based on a 1-min averaging period, which is used by all U.S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm ROSA (19E) 03 - 08 Nov ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ROSA Cyclone Number: 19E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 00 NOV 03 1800 10.3 N 89.8 W 1005 25 00 NOV 04 0000 10.7 N 90.8 W 1002 30 00 NOV 04 0600 10.8 N 92.0 W 1002 30 00 NOV 04 1200 10.8 N 92.8 W 1003 30 00 NOV 04 1800 10.3 N 94.4 W 1003 30 00 NOV 05 0000 10.4 N 95.2 W 1003 30 00 NOV 05 0600 10.5 N 96.2 W 1003 30 00 NOV 05 1200 10.8 N 97.0 W 1003 35 00 NOV 05 1800 11.1 N 98.1 W 1001 40 00 NOV 06 0000 11.4 N 98.7 W 1000 45 00 NOV 06 0600 12.0 N 98.9 W 994 55 00 NOV 06 1200 12.5 N 98.7 W 994 55 00 NOV 06 1800 13.0 N 98.8 W 993 55 00 NOV 07 0000 13.1 N 98.9 W 993 55 00 NOV 07 0600 13.4 N 98.9 W 997 50 00 NOV 07 1200 13.8 N 98.1 W 997 50 00 NOV 07 1800 14.5 N 97.4 W 1000 50 00 NOV 08 0000 15.0 N 97.0 W 1001 45 00 NOV 08 0600 15.5 N 96.4 W 1004 30 Inland 00 NOV 08 1200 16.3 N 95.9 W 1004 25 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 NOTE: The tracking information for Northwest Pacific Basin tropical cyclones is based primarily upon operational warnings from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Comparisons were made with track coordinates given in advisories from the meteorological services of Japan (JMA) and the Philippines (PAGASA). In general, whenever the center position differed by more than 40-50 nm from JTWC's, an entry was made in the Remarks column. The 1-min avg MSW were taken from the JTWC advisories while the 10-min avg MSW were obtained from PAGASA's advisories if the storm were in PAGASA's area of responsibility; otherwise, they were gleaned from JMA's advisories or high seas forecasts. In a few cases the 10-min MSW given by PAGASA and JMA did not agree; in those cases I reported the higher value. The estimates of central pressure were obtained from JMA's advisories. Michael V. Padua, owner of the Typhoon 2000 webpage sent me the PAGASA and JMA tracks for these systems--a special thanks to Michael for his assistance. Systems Tracked --------------- Typhoon BEBINCA (31W / 0021 / SENIANG) 31 Oct - 08 Nov Tropical Depression (32W) 08 - 09 Nov Tropical Storm RUMBIA (33W / 0022 / TOYANG) 27 Nov - 08 Dec ************************************************************************* Storm Name: BEBINCA Cyclone Number: 31W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: SENIANG JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0021 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 00 OCT 31 0000 8.9 N 133.3 E 1004 30 PAGASA Warning 00 OCT 31 0600 9.0 N 132.2 E 1002 35 " 00 OCT 31 1200 9.4 N 131.0 E 1002 35 " 00 OCT 31 1800 10.0 N 130.0 E 1002 35 " 00 NOV 01 0000 10.4 N 129.2 E 998 35 40 Named by JMA 00 NOV 01 0600 11.4 N 128.4 E 998 35 40 00 NOV 01 1200 12.1 N 126.9 E 992 45 45 00 NOV 01 1800 12.8 N 126.0 E 985 55 50 PAGASA: 60 kts 00 NOV 02 0000 13.4 N 124.9 E 985 60 50 PAGASA: 65 kts 00 NOV 02 0600 14.3 N 123.5 E 980 75 70 JMA: 55 kts 00 NOV 02 1200 14.5 N 122.5 E 970 85 70 00 NOV 02 1800 14.6 N 121.5 E 970 90 65 Over Luzon 00 NOV 03 0000 14.6 N 120.4 E 980 90 65 JMA: 55 kts 00 NOV 03 0600 15.0 N 119.6 E 990 80 65 JMA: 45 kts-Over water 00 NOV 03 1200 15.3 N 118.8 E 990 55 65 " 00 NOV 03 1800 15.7 N 118.5 E 990 50 60 " 00 NOV 04 0000 16.4 N 117.6 E 980 55 55 PAGASA: 60 KTS 00 NOV 04 0600 16.4 N 117.5 E 980 55 55 " 00 NOV 04 1200 17.0 N 117.1 E 980 55 55 " 00 NOV 04 1800 17.1 N 117.0 E 980 55 55 " 00 NOV 05 0000 17.0 N 116.9 E 980 55 55 Out of PAGASA's AOR 00 NOV 05 0600 17.7 N 117.1 E 980 55 55 00 NOV 05 1200 18.5 N 116.6 E 975 65 60 00 NOV 05 1800 19.2 N 116.6 E 975 65 60 00 NOV 06 0000 19.7 N 117.1 E 975 65 60 00 NOV 06 0600 20.1 N 117.0 E 980 65 55 00 NOV 06 1200 20.4 N 116.9 E 990 45 45 00 NOV 06 1800 20.4 N 116.6 E 996 35 40 00 NOV 07 0000 20.4 N 115.8 E 1004 25 25 00 NOV 07 0600 20.6 N 114.8 E 25 00 NOV 07 1200 20.7 N 113.7 E 25 00 NOV 07 1800 20.9 N 113.6 E 25 00 NOV 08 0000 21.4 N 113.0 E 20 Note: Position estimates between JTWC, JMA, and PAGASA were in exceptionally good agreement for Typhoon Bebinca/Seniang. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 32W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 00 NOV 08 0000 19.4 N 124.1 E 1008 25 30 00 NOV 08 0600 20.1 N 124.0 E 1004 25 30 00 NOV 08 1200 21.5 N 123.8 E 1004 25 30 00 NOV 08 1800 22.8 N 124.4 E 1004 25 30 00 NOV 09 0000 24.4 N 125.2 E 1004 30 30 00 NOV 09 0600 25.8 N 126.7 E 1006 30 30 00 NOV 09 1200 26.6 N 127.8 E 1008 30 25 00 NOV 09 1800 27.5 N 130.5 E 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: RUMBIA Cyclone Number: 33W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: TOYANG JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0022 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 00 NOV 27 0000 9.2 N 135.0 E 30 PAGASA Warning 00 NOV 27 0600 9.1 N 133.6 E 35 " 00 NOV 27 1200 9.2 N 132.5 E 35 " 00 NOV 27 1800 9.5 N 132.0 E 1000 40 JMA: 8.6 N, 132.2 E 00 NOV 28 0000 8.7 N 131.7 E 1000 30 45 PAGASA: 9.6 N, 130.9 E 00 NOV 28 0600 8.8 N 131.3 E 998 30 45 Named by JMA 00 NOV 28 1200 8.8 N 130.6 E 996 35 45 JMA: 35 kts 00 NOV 28 1800 8.3 N 130.5 E 990 50 50 JMA: 45 kts 00 NOV 29 0000 8.5 N 130.8 E 985 50 55 JMA: 8.6 N, 129.1 E 00 NOV 29 0600 8.6 N 130.2 E 990 50 45 00 NOV 29 1200 8.8 N 129.9 E 990 50 45 00 NOV 29 1800 9.3 N 128.6 E 990 50 45 00 NOV 30 0000 9.8 N 127.5 E 990 55 55 JMA: 45 kts (to 1800Z) 00 NOV 30 0600 9.8 N 127.6 E 990 55 55 JMA: 9.8 N, 127.0 E 00 NOV 30 1200 10.3 N 126.0 E 990 55 55 JMA: 10.1 N, 126.8 E 00 NOV 30 1800 11.1 N 125.2 E 990 55 45 JMA: 10.8 N, 126.2 E 00 DEC 01 0000 11.7 N 124.3 E 994 50 40 PAGASA: 30 kts 00 DEC 01 0600 12.1 N 122.9 E 994 50 40 " 00 DEC 01 1200 12.4 N 121.6 E 1000 45 30 JMA: 11.9 N, 122.2 E 00 DEC 01 1800 12.7 N 121.8 E 1002 35 25 JMA: 12.0 N, 122.0 E 00 DEC 02 0000 11.7 N 121.0 E 1004 30 25 Relocated 00 DEC 02 0600 11.4 N 120.9 E 1004 30 25 PAGASA: 12.0 N, 119.0 E 00 DEC 02 1200 11.5 N 119.9 E 25 25 PAGASA: 12.0 N, 117.2 E 00 DEC 02 1800 11.5 N 118.7 E 25 30 PAGASA: 12.2 N, 116.1 E 00 DEC 03 0000 11.3 N 117.9 E 30 00 DEC 03 0600 11.2 N 116.0 E 25 00 DEC 03 1200 11.5 N 114.3 E 25 00 DEC 03 1800 10.8 N 113.8 E 25 00 DEC 04 0000 9.8 N 114.2 E 20 00 DEC 04 0600 9.9 N 114.0 E 20 00 DEC 04 1200 9.7 N 113.9 E 20 00 DEC 04 1800 9.6 N 113.7 E 25 00 DEC 05 0000 9.4 N 113.4 E 25 00 DEC 05 0600 9.3 N 113.1 E 1000 25 30 JMA: 8.9 N, 111.5 E 00 DEC 05 1200 9.0 N 112.9 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 9.1 N, 111.4 E 00 DEC 05 1800 9.0 N 112.5 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 9.1 N, 111.0 E 00 DEC 06 0000 9.0 N 112.0 E 998 35 30 00 DEC 06 0600 9.5 N 111.7 E 1000 35 30 00 DEC 06 1200 9.9 N 110.8 E 1002 35 30 00 DEC 06 1800 9.7 N 110.0 E 1004 30 30 00 DEC 07 0000 10.0 N 109.3 E 1004 30 25 00 DEC 07 0600 9.7 N 108.1 E 25 00 DEC 07 1200 9.5 N 107.6 E 25 00 DEC 07 1800 9.2 N 106.4 E 25 00 DEC 08 0000 8.6 N 106.3 E 20 Note: Tropical Storm Rumbia/Toyang reached the Philippine archipelago around 1200 UTC on 30 November near the small island of Siargao, just northeast of Mindanao. By 1800 UTC on 1 December the center of the weakening storm had reached the vicinity of Mindoro, south of Manila. The 02/0000 UTC warning from JTWC downgraded the system to a depression and relocated the center over the Sulu Sea south of Mindoro. Warnings from JTWC were discontinued after 04/0000 UTC and resumed at 05/1200 UTC when the system re-intensified. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for North Indian Ocean Basin tropical cyclones is based upon operational warnings from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The MSW are based on a 1-min averaging period, which is used by all U.S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. Some information was also obtained from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone (03B) 26 Nov - 06 Dec ************************************************************************* Storm Name: 03B Cyclone Number: 03B Basin: NIO Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 00 NOV 26 0600 8.3 N 91.3 E 30 JTWC issued TCFA 00 NOV 26 1200 8.9 N 90.5 E 35 00 NOV 27 0000 10.3 N 89.1 E 35 00 NOV 27 1200 11.0 N 85.8 E 45 00 NOV 28 0000 11.6 N 83.6 E 55 00 NOV 28 1200 11.7 N 81.7 E 65 IMD: 11.5 N, 82.2 E 00 NOV 29 0000 11.4 N 80.8 E 65 00 NOV 29 1200 11.7 N 79.9 E 65 00 NOV 30 0000 11.6 N 78.4 E 45 Over land 00 NOV 30 1200 11.4 N 76.6 E 30 00 DEC 01 0600 11.5 N 74.4 E 30 Over water / See Note 00 DEC 02 1800 10.8 N 69.5 E JTWC Trop. WX Outlook 00 DEC 03 0600 11.2 N 66.8 E 35 Re-intensified 00 DEC 03 1800 10.8 N 64.4 E 30 00 DEC 04 0600 10.5 N 61.9 E 30 00 DEC 04 1800 9.6 N 59.4 E 25 00 DEC 05 0600 9.3 N 57.5 E 25 00 DEC 06 1800 8.8 N 55.8 E 20 JTWC Trop. WX Outlook Note: JTWC discontinued warnings at 0600 UTC on 1 December and resumed issuing them at 03/0600 UTC. I am missing, however, the warning for 01/0000 UTC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E NOTE: The tracking coordinates, 10-min avg MSW, and estimates of central pressure were obtained from the RSMC La Reunion's (MFR) advisories, while the 1-min avg MSW values were taken from JTWC's warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (MFR 02 / 02S) 11 - 20 Nov ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 02S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 02 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 00 NOV 11 0600 10.2 S 81.2 E 1005 25 JTWC issued TCFA 00 NOV 12 0000 10.9 S 79.2 E 30 JTWC Warning 00 NOV 12 0600 10.5 S 79.5 E 1002 25 00 NOV 12 1200 10.8 S 79.6 E 999 35 30 Gales in SW quadrant 00 NOV 12 1800 11.2 S 79.8 E 998 30 " 00 NOV 13 0000 10.7 S 79.6 E 998 30 30 JTWC: 9.8 S, 79.9 E 00 NOV 13 0600 10.0 S 80.2 E 998 30 00 NOV 13 1200 10.0 S 80.3 E 998 30 00 NOV 13 1800 9.9 S 80.4 E 1000 25 25 Local winds to 30 kts 00 NOV 14 1800 9.2 S 82.3 E 999 25 See Note 00 NOV 15 0000 8.8 S 82.5 E 998 30 00 NOV 15 0600 9.3 S 82.4 E 999 25 30 JTWC issued new TCFA 00 NOV 15 1200 9.3 S 82.5 E 1000 25 Local winds to 30 kts 00 NOV 16 0600 10.9 S 85.3 E 25 JTWC issued 2nd TCFA 00 NOV 16 1000 11.0 S 86.0 E 20 Locally 25 kts to SW 00 NOV 17 0600 10.8 S 86.7 E 1002 25 25 Locally 30 kts to south 00 NOV 18 0600 12.0 S 87.0 E 1000 25 25 Local winds to 30 kts 00 NOV 18 1200 12.6 S 86.2 E 1000 25 " 00 NOV 18 1800 12.8 S 86.2 E 1000 25 " 00 NOV 19 0000 13.6 S 83.8 E 1004 25 JTWC issued 5th TCFA 00 NOV 20 1000 15.6 S 78.2 E 15 Locally 25 kts to south Note: The temporal discontinuities in the track are real; i.e., they are not due to missing warnings--MFR did not issue regular warnings during much of the history of this depression because of its diffuse nature. The final TCFA issued by JTWC was cancelled at 19/1700 UTC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E NOTE: The tracking information presented below was obtained from operational warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at Perth, Western Australia. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical LOW 28 - 30 Nov ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUW Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 00 NOV 28 0700 11.0 S 106.5 E 1005 25 See Note 00 NOV 28 1000 11.0 S 106.5 E 1003 25 00 NOV 28 1600 11.6 S 107.3 E 1001 25 00 NOV 28 2200 11.6 S 108.6 E 1002 25 00 NOV 29 0400 10.9 S 109.7 E 1002 25 00 NOV 30 0400 10.7 S 110.9 E 1002 30 00 NOV 30 1000 10.5 S 110.5 E 1005 25 Note: The 10-min MSW values for the first five entries were obtained by converting the estimated peak gust values (70 kph) in the advices from Perth into 10-min avg sustained wind values by a 1.41 gust reduction factor. The final two entries were from High Seas Warnings issued by the Perth TCWC when it was thought at one point that the LOW might develop into a tropical cyclone. Those wind values are estimates based upon the central pressures. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* *************************************************************************