GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - MAY 2003 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude 140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm ANDRES (01E) 20 - 26 May ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ANDRES Cyclone Number: 01E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAY 20 0000 9.6 N 103.1 W 1006 30 03 MAY 20 0600 9.7 N 104.2 W 1006 30 03 MAY 20 1200 9.8 N 105.2 W 1004 35 03 MAY 20 1800 9.8 N 106.1 W 1004 35 03 MAY 21 0000 9.7 N 107.3 W 1004 35 03 MAY 21 0600 9.7 N 108.7 W 1004 35 03 MAY 21 1200 9.8 N 110.0 W 1004 35 03 MAY 21 1800 10.4 N 111.9 W 1004 35 03 MAY 22 0000 10.5 N 113.5 W 1004 35 03 MAY 22 0600 10.7 N 115.1 W 1002 40 03 MAY 22 1200 11.2 N 116.9 W 1002 40 03 MAY 22 1800 11.5 N 118.8 W 1004 35 03 MAY 23 0000 11.8 N 120.7 W 1004 35 03 MAY 23 0600 12.2 N 122.4 W 1002 40 03 MAY 23 1200 12.5 N 124.1 W 1002 40 03 MAY 23 1800 13.0 N 126.0 W 1003 35 03 MAY 24 0000 13.4 N 127.6 W 1005 35 03 MAY 24 0600 13.7 N 129.0 W 1005 35 03 MAY 24 1200 14.0 N 130.5 W 1005 35 03 MAY 24 1800 14.4 N 131.8 W 1002 40 03 MAY 25 0000 14.6 N 133.3 W 1005 35 03 MAY 25 0600 14.8 N 134.6 W 1007 30 03 MAY 25 1200 14.7 N 136.0 W 1008 30 03 MAY 25 1800 14.1 N 137.9 W 1009 25 03 MAY 26 0000 14.1 N 139.2 W 1009 25 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me each month tracks obtained from warnings issued by the National Meteorological Center of China (NMCC), the Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan (CWBT) and the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so reliably provide. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm (03W / BATIBOT) 17 - 20 May Typhoon CHAN-HOM (04W / 0303) 18 - 28 May Tropical Storm LINFA (05W / 0304 / CHEDENG) 25 - 31 May Tropical Storm NANGKA (06W / 0305 / DODONG) 31 May - 04 Jun ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 03W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: BATIBOT JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAY 17 0600 7.1 N 130.5 E 1004 30 JMA Warning 03 MAY 17 1200 7.3 N 128.0 E 1004 30 " 03 MAY 17 1800 7.3 N 127.9 E 1004 25 30 03 MAY 18 0000 7.9 N 128.0 E 1004 25 30 03 MAY 18 0600 7.7 N 129.9 E 1002 30 30 JMA: 8.6 N, 130.3 E 03 MAY 18 1200 8.1 N 130.0 E 1004 30 30 03 MAY 18 1800 8.6 N 130.0 E 1002 30 30 03 MAY 19 0000 9.1 N 130.8 E 1002 35 30 03 MAY 19 0600 9.7 N 131.6 E 1002 35 30 PAGASA: 9.0 N, 130.4 E 03 MAY 19 1200 10.3 N 132.7 E 1002 30 30 PAGASA: 9.3 N, 129.9 E 03 MAY 19 1800 10.7 N 131.1 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 9.7 N, 134.1 E 03 MAY 20 0000 11.8 N 131.1 E 1006 30 30 PAGASA: 10.8 N, 128.6 E 03 MAY 20 0600 12.8 N 130.8 E 1004 25 30 PAGASA: 11.2 N, 128.5 E 03 MAY 20 1200 13.0 N 130.0 E 1008 25 PAGASA: 11.0 N, 130.0 E Note: The JMA and JTWC center position coordinates were surprisingly close for such a weak, diffuse system. PAGASA's coordinates were consistently well to the west of the other two during the period they were issuing warnings on Tropical Depression Babibot. At 1800 UTC on 19 May, PAGASA's position was 9.8N, 129.2E, or 5 degrees west of JMA's coordinates. NMCC and HKO did not issue warnings on this system. The MSW (10-min avg) assigned by both PAGASA and CWBT was 25 kts for the entire duration of the depression. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CHAN-HOM Cyclone Number: 04W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0303 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAY 18 1200 6.0 N 147.0 E 1006 25 JMA Warnings 03 MAY 18 1800 6.2 N 148.9 E 1004 30 " 03 MAY 19 0000 6.7 N 149.1 E 1006 25 30 JMA: 7.2 N, 150.3 E 03 MAY 19 0600 6.8 N 149.7 E 1004 35 30 JMA: 7.5 N, 149.3 E 03 MAY 19 1200 7.0 N 150.0 E 1002 35 30 JMA: 6.9 N, 148.6 E 03 MAY 19 1800 7.4 N 149.8 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 7.4 N, 147.5 E 03 MAY 20 0000 7.3 N 151.2 E 1004 35 30 03 MAY 20 0600 7.6 N 151.1 E 1000 35 30 03 MAY 20 1200 8.0 N 150.7 E 998 55 35 03 MAY 20 1800 8.6 N 150.0 E 996 55 40 JMA: 8.8 N, 150.7 E 03 MAY 21 0000 8.8 N 150.1 E 994 55 45 03 MAY 21 0600 9.2 N 150.3 E 990 55 50 03 MAY 21 1200 10.3 N 150.5 E 985 55 55 03 MAY 21 1800 11.1 N 150.9 E 985 60 55 03 MAY 22 0000 11.8 N 151.0 E 980 65 55 JMA: 11.3 N, 150.8 E 03 MAY 22 0600 12.7 N 151.1 E 980 65 55 03 MAY 22 1200 13.2 N 151.2 E 980 65 55 03 MAY 22 1800 14.2 N 151.3 E 975 65 60 03 MAY 23 0000 14.9 N 151.1 E 975 85 60 03 MAY 23 0600 15.6 N 151.1 E 965 95 70 03 MAY 23 1200 16.4 N 151.4 E 950 105 80 03 MAY 23 1800 17.4 N 151.6 E 940 115 85 03 MAY 24 0000 18.2 N 151.6 E 940 115 85 03 MAY 24 0600 19.4 N 152.1 E 940 115 85 03 MAY 24 1200 19.9 N 152.5 E 940 115 85 03 MAY 24 1800 21.1 N 153.8 E 940 115 85 03 MAY 25 0000 22.4 N 154.8 E 950 115 75 03 MAY 25 0600 23.6 N 155.7 E 955 90 70 03 MAY 25 1200 25.2 N 156.6 E 955 90 70 03 MAY 25 1800 26.9 N 157.6 E 960 65 70 03 MAY 26 0000 28.3 N 158.5 E 965 65 65 03 MAY 26 0600 29.6 N 160.5 E 975 55 60 JMA: 30.1 N, 160.6 E 03 MAY 26 1200 30.5 N 162.5 E 985 55 45 JMA: 31.8 N, 162.1 E 03 MAY 26 1800 32.0 N 164.2 E 985 45 45 JMA: 33.2 N, 164.9 E 03 MAY 27 0000 33.8 N 166.7 E 990 45 40 03 MAY 27 0600 34.8 N 169.5 E 996 35 JMA Warnings 03 MAY 27 1200 37.0 N 172.0 E 996 35 Extratropical 03 MAY 27 1800 36.0 N 174.0 E 1000 40 03 MAY 28 0000 36.0 N 177.0 E 1004 35 03 MAY 28 0600 35.0 N 178.0 E 1008 25 03 MAY 28 1200 35.0 N 179.0 W 1012 25 03 MAY 28 1800 35.0 N 176.0 W 1014 25 Note: The estimated 10-min avg MSW values from NMCC and CWBT are tabulated below. Typhoon Chan-hom remained outside the AORs of PAGASA and HKO. Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in knots (GMT) NMCC CWBT ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAY 19 0000 25 03 MAY 19 0600 25 03 MAY 19 1200 25 03 MAY 19 1800 25 03 MAY 20 0000 25 03 MAY 20 0600 30 03 MAY 20 1200 35 35 03 MAY 20 1800 35 40 03 MAY 21 0000 35 50 03 MAY 21 0600 45 50 03 MAY 21 1200 50 55 03 MAY 21 1800 60 55 03 MAY 22 0000 60 55 03 MAY 22 0600 60 60 03 MAY 22 1200 60 60 03 MAY 22 1800 60 60 03 MAY 23 0000 65 65 03 MAY 23 0600 70 70 03 MAY 23 1200 75 80 03 MAY 23 1800 75 85 03 MAY 24 0000 75 85 03 MAY 24 0600 75 85 03 MAY 24 1200 75 85 03 MAY 24 1800 75 85 03 MAY 25 0000 75 80 03 MAY 25 0600 75 75 03 MAY 25 1200 75 75 03 MAY 25 1800 70 75 03 MAY 26 0000 65 65 03 MAY 26 0600 65 60 03 MAY 26 1200 50 50 03 MAY 26 1800 50 45 03 MAY 27 0000 40 03 MAY 27 0600 35 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: LINFA Cyclone Number: 05W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: CHEDENG JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0304 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAY 25 0000 16.5 N 118.6 E 25 03 MAY 25 0600 16.4 N 118.4 E 1000 30 30 03 MAY 25 1200 16.3 N 118.2 E 1000 30 30 JMA: 17.3 N, 118.5 E 03 MAY 25 1800 16.2 N 118.4 E 1000 45 30 JMA: 17.1 N, 118.5 E 03 MAY 26 0000 16.1 N 118.2 E 994 45 35 03 MAY 26 0600 16.1 N 118.5 E 990 45 45 03 MAY 26 1200 16.0 N 119.1 E 990 45 45 JMA: 16.8 N, 119.2 E 03 MAY 26 1800 16.1 N 119.4 E 990 55 45 JMA: 16.7 N, 119.3 E 03 MAY 27 0000 16.1 N 119.8 E 985 55 50 JMA: 16.2 N, 119.2 E 03 MAY 27 0600 16.1 N 120.5 E 992 45 35 JMA: 16.5 N, 121.3 E 03 MAY 27 1200 16.4 N 121.7 E 992 35 35 03 MAY 27 1800 16.3 N 122.7 E 990 40 40 03 MAY 28 0000 16.7 N 122.9 E 992 25 40 JMA: 18.7 N, 123.6 E 03 MAY 28 0600 17.5 N 123.4 E 992 25 40 JMA: 19.3 N, 123.9 E 03 MAY 28 1200 18.3 N 124.0 E 990 25 40 JMA: 20.5 N, 124.6 E 03 MAY 28 1800 18.4 N 124.3 E 990 25 40 JMA: 20.9 N, 125.3 E 03 MAY 29 0000 22.3 N 125.8 E 990 30 40 03 MAY 29 0600 22.7 N 127.0 E 990 35 40 03 MAY 29 1200 23.1 N 128.0 E 985 40 45 JMA: 22.5 N, 128.2 E 03 MAY 29 1800 24.3 N 129.3 E 980 55 55 03 MAY 30 0000 25.6 N 130.2 E 980 55 55 03 MAY 30 0600 27.4 N 130.7 E 985 60 50 03 MAY 30 1200 29.8 N 131.3 E 980 55 50 03 MAY 30 1800 32.0 N 132.0 E 980 50 50 03 MAY 31 0000 34.0 N 134.0 E 988 45 JMA Wrng/Extratropical 03 MAY 31 0600 35.0 N 134.0 E 988 45 Inland 03 MAY 31 1200 36.0 N 135.0 E 992 40 Note: On 28 May the original center of Tropical Storm Linfa weakened east of Luzon as another LLCC about 2 degrees to the north-northeast became the dominant center. All the Asian TCWC's began following this new LLCC as of 28/0000 UTC while JTWC continued to track the old center through 28/1800 UTC. This is the reason for the large deltas in center position and intensity on the 28th. The 10-min avg MSW estimates from NMCC, PAGASA, HKO and CWBT are tabulated below. Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in knots (GMT) NMCC PAGASA HKO CWBT ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAY 25 0600 30 25 03 MAY 25 1200 35 25 30 03 MAY 25 1800 35 25 30 03 MAY 26 0000 30 40 35 35 03 MAY 26 0600 40 45 40 40 03 MAY 26 1200 40 45 45 45 03 MAY 26 1800 40 50 45 45 03 MAY 27 0000 40 55 50 50 03 MAY 27 0600 40 40 50 45 03 MAY 27 1200 40 40 40 45 03 MAY 27 1800 40 40 40 45 03 MAY 28 0000 40 40 40 40 03 MAY 28 0600 35 40 40 40 03 MAY 28 1200 35 40 35 40 03 MAY 28 1800 35 40 40 03 MAY 29 0000 35 40 40 03 MAY 29 0600 35 40 40 03 MAY 29 1200 40 40 45 03 MAY 29 1800 45 50 50 03 MAY 30 0000 45 55 03 MAY 30 0600 45 50 03 MAY 30 1200 45 50 03 MAY 30 1800 45 50 03 MAY 31 0000 45 45 Note: NMCC initially upgraded Linfa to tropical storm status with 35-kt winds at 26/0300 UTC. HKO's final warning on Linfa, still as a 35-kt tropical storm, was at 28/1500 UTC. The agency did upgrade the system back to severe tropical storm status after it had exited their AOR. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NANGKA Cyclone Number: 06W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: DODONG JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0305 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAY 31 0000 16.0 N 117.3 E 1000 25 PAGASA Warning 03 MAY 31 0600 16.5 N 117.0 E 998 30 " 03 MAY 31 1200 17.8 N 117.2 E 998 25 30 PAGASA: 17.0 N, 116.7 E 03 MAY 31 1800 17.2 N 116.8 E 998 30 30 03 JUN 01 0000 17.4 N 117.2 E 998 30 30 JMA: 17.3 N, 116.3 E 03 JUN 01 0600 17.6 N 117.2 E 996 35 35 JMA: 16.8 N, 117.2 E 03 JUN 01 1200 18.0 N 117.5 E 990 35 40 JMA: 18.4 N, 118.2 E 03 JUN 01 1800 19.2 N 118.5 E 985 40 50 03 JUN 02 0000 19.9 N 119.2 E 985 45 50 JMA: 20.5 N, 119.2 E 03 JUN 02 0600 20.6 N 120.0 E 985 50 55 03 JUN 02 1200 22.0 N 122.0 E 990 50 50 JMA: 21.3 N, 121.6 E 03 JUN 02 1800 22.4 N 123.1 E 992 30 45 03 JUN 03 0000 23.0 N 125.2 E 994 30 40 03 JUN 03 0600 23.7 N 127.5 E 992 45 JMA Warnings 03 JUN 03 1200 25.7 N 130.4 E 994 45 03 JUN 03 1800 27.4 N 134.6 E 994 45 03 JUN 04 0000 29.1 N 135.5 E 994 40 03 JUN 04 0600 30.0 N 136.0 E 994 40 Extratropical Note: The 10-min avg MSW estimates from NMCC, PAGASA, HKO and CWBT are tabulated below. Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in knots (GMT) NMCC PAGASA HKO CWBT ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAY 31 0000 25 03 MAY 31 0600 30 25 03 MAY 31 1200 30 25 03 MAY 31 1800 25 03 JUN 01 0000 30 25 25 03 JUN 01 0600 30 35 35 35 03 JUN 01 1200 45 40 40 35 03 JUN 01 1800 45 50 45 40 03 JUN 02 0000 45 55 50 40 03 JUN 02 0600 45 55 55 45 03 JUN 02 1200 50 55 50 45 03 JUN 02 1800 45 50 50 45 03 JUN 03 0000 40 50 40 40 03 JUN 03 0600 40 45 40 03 JUN 03 1200 40 40 03 JUN 03 1800 40 40 03 JUN 04 0000 35 40 Note: NMCC upgraded Nangka to a 35-kt tropical storm at 01/0900 UTC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Occasionally some information may have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. For synoptic observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and 3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity; hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied. Huang Chunliang sent me tracks for TC-01B which he'd compiled based on warnings from the India Meteorological Department and the Thai Meteorological Department. For reasons explained below, I've included those tracks in full following the JTWC track. A special thanks to Chunliang for sending me the information. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone (01B) 10 - 19 May ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 01B Basin: NIO (The first track below is the JTWC operational track) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAY 10 1200 7.9 N 89.6 E 30 03 MAY 11 0000 9.5 N 87.5 E 50 03 MAY 11 1200 10.6 N 86.9 E 60 03 MAY 12 0000 10.8 N 85.9 E 60 03 MAY 12 0600 11.0 N 86.1 E 55 03 MAY 12 1800 11.8 N 86.8 E 65 03 MAY 13 0600 12.5 N 86.1 E 65 03 MAY 13 1800 13.1 N 85.9 E 55 03 MAY 14 0600 14.4 N 86.0 E 50 03 MAY 14 1800 14.8 N 86.8 E 35 03 MAY 15 0600 15.2 N 86.4 E 35 03 MAY 15 1800 14.8 N 86.7 E 35 03 MAY 16 0600 14.5 N 86.5 E 45 03 MAY 16 1800 14.5 N 86.8 E 40 03 MAY 17 0600 14.0 N 87.0 E 40 03 MAY 17 1800 13.4 N 89.5 E 35 03 MAY 18 1800 16.5 N 93.1 E 35 No wrng issued 0600Z 03 MAY 19 0600 18.3 N 93.7 E 45 Near Myanmar coast 03 MAY 19 1800 20.0 N 94.1 E 40 Inland Note: Huang Chunliang compiled tracks based on operational warnings from both the India Meteorological Department (IMD) and the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD). Initially, I attempted to supplement the JTWC-based track with positions and intensities gleaned from the IMD and TMD tracks in a manner similar to the way I treat the multiple tracks I normally have available for Western Pacific cyclones, but because those tracks contained data points at irregular hours and not at the standard synoptic hours, and also because JTWC's track was at only 12-hourly intervals, it quickly became very messy and subjective (on my part). So I've simply included the tracks based on IMD's and TMD's operational warnings below (with minor editing). Track from the India Meteorological Department Warnings ------------------------------------------------------- Date/Time Status Press MSW/Gust Position MMDDHH (hpa) (kt)/CI Lat Lon ---------------------------------------------------- 051003 D 25 6.0 N 91.0 E 051012 DD 30 8.0 N 89.5 E 051018 DD 30 8.5 N 89.0 E 051103 CS 1000 10.0 N 87.5 E 051109 CS 1000 10.0 N 87.0 E 051112 SCS 10.5 N 86.5 E 051118 SCS 988 10.5 N 86.0 E 051121 SCS 11.0 N 86.0 E 051200 SCS 986 55/65 11.0 N 86.0 E 051203 SCS 986 55/65 11.0 N 86.0 E 051206 SCS 986 55/65 11.0 N 86.0 E 051209 SCS 986 55/65 11.0 N 86.0 E 051215 SCS 986 55/65 11.5 N 85.5 E 051218 VSCS 982 65/75 11.5 N 85.5 E 051221 VSCS 982 65/75 11.5 N 85.5 E 051300 VSCS 980 11.5 N 85.5 E 051303 VSCS 980 12.0 N 85.5 E 051309 VSCS 980 12.5 N 85.0 E 051312 VSCS 980 12.5 N 85.0 E 051315 VSCS 980 12.5 N 85.0 E 051318 VSCS 982 65/80/T4.0 13.0 N 85.0 E 051321 VSCS 980 65/80/T4.0 13.0 N 85.0 E 051403 VSCS 980 14.0 N 85.5 E 051409 SCS 986 14.5 N 85.5 E 051418 CS 990 15.0 N 85.5 E 051421 CS 15.0 N 85.5 E 051500 CS 990 15.0 N 85.5 E 051503 CS 990 15.0 N 86.0 E 051509 CS 994 15.0 N 86.0 E 051512 CS 15.5 N 86.5 E 051518 CS 994 15.5 N 86.5 E 051521 CS 15.5 N 86.5 E 051600 CS 994 35/45/T2.5 15.5 N 86.5 E 051603 CS 996 35/45/T2.5 15.5 N 86.5 E 051609 CS 994 15.5 N 86.5 E 051618 CS 994 15.5 N 86.5 E 051621 CS 15.5 N 86.5 E 051703 DD 30 14.5 N 86.5 E 051712 DD 30 14.5 N 87.0 E 051803 D 25 14.5 N 90.5 E 051903 DD 30 16.5 N 92.5 E 051912 CS 18.5 N 93.5 E Note: The status symbols are those employed by IMD: D - depression (MSW less than 28 kts) DD - deep depression (MSW 28-33 kts) CS - cyclonic storm (MSW 34-47 kts) SCS - severe cyclonic storm (MSW 48-63 kts) VSCS - very severe cyclonic storm (MSW greater than 63 kts) Track from the Thai Meteorological Department Warnings ------------------------------------------------------ Date/Time Status MSW Position MMDDHH (kt) Lat Lon --------------------------------------------- 051021 TD 30 9.5 N 87.5 E 051103 TC 35 9.5 N 87.7 E 051109 TC 40 10.3 N 87.4 E 051115 TC 50 10.6 N 86.7 E 051121 TC 50 10.6 N 86.3 E 051200 TC 50 10.8 N 86.0 E 051203 TC 50 10.8 N 86.0 E 051206 TC 50 11.0 N 85.8 E 051215 TC 50 11.2 N 85.5 E 051221 TC 50 11.8 N 86.5 E 051303 TC 60 13.3 N 86.5 E 051306 TC 60 12.3 N 86.5 E 051309 TC 60 12.5 N 86.5 E 051315 TC 60 12.5 N 85.5 E 051321 TC 50 13.0 N 85.5 E 051400 TC 50 13.0 N 85.5 E 051403 TC 50 13.8 N 85.5 E 051409 TC 50 14.8 N 86.5 E 051415 TC 50 14.8 N 86.5 E 051421 TC 40 15.0 N 87.0 E 051503 TC 40 15.0 N 86.1 E 051509 TC 40 15.3 N 86.4 E 051512 TC 40 15.3 N 86.5 E 051521 TC 40 15.0 N 86.8 E 051603 TC 40 15.0 N 86.8 E 051609 TC 40 15.0 N 86.8 E 051615 TC 40 15.0 N 86.8 E 051621 TC 40 15.0 N 86.8 E 051703 TC 40 15.0 N 87.0 E 051709 TC 40 15.5 N 88.0 E 051712 TC 40 15.5 N 88.0 E 051715 TC 40 15.5 N 88.0 E 051721 TC 35 15.2 N 88.0 E 051803 TC 35 15.3 N 89.0 E 051806 TC 35 15.5 N 91.0 E 051809 TC 35 15.5 N 91.0 E 051815 TC 35 15.8 N 92.2 E 051821 TC 35 16.7 N 93.0 E 051900 TC 35 17.5 N 93.5 E 051903 TC 35 18.0 N 94.0 E 051906 TC 35 18.0 N 93.5 E 051909 TC 35 18.3 N 93.5 E 051918 TC 35 19.5 N 94.0 E 051921 TC 35 19.5 N 94.0 E ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone MANOU (MFR-16 / 28S) 02 - 10 May ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MANOU Cyclone Number: 28S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 16 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAY 02 1200 11.0 S 65.0 E 20 30-35 kts away from ctr 03 MAY 03 0600 11.5 S 64.5 E 1002 25 " 03 MAY 03 1200 13.5 S 63.5 E 1000 35 25 " 03 MAY 03 1800 14.3 S 62.5 E 1000 25 " 03 MAY 04 0000 15.3 S 61.4 E 998 50 30 03 MAY 04 0600 15.3 S 61.1 E 992 35 03 MAY 04 1200 15.6 S 60.6 E 995 45 35 03 MAY 04 1800 16.1 S 59.8 E 995 35 03 MAY 05 0000 15.8 S 59.2 E 995 45 35 03 MAY 05 0600 15.8 S 59.0 E 993 35 03 MAY 05 1200 16.1 S 58.4 E 993 40 35 03 MAY 05 1800 16.4 S 57.7 E 993 35 03 MAY 06 0000 16.6 S 57.0 E 993 35 35 03 MAY 06 0600 17.2 S 55.9 E 993 35 03 MAY 06 1200 17.3 S 55.0 E 993 35 03 MAY 06 1800 17.8 S 54.3 E 993 40 35 03 MAY 07 0000 18.3 S 53.4 E 992 35 03 MAY 07 0600 18.5 S 52.2 E 991 45 40 03 MAY 07 1200 18.6 S 51.3 E 990 40 03 MAY 07 1800 18.7 S 51.0 E 987 55 45 03 MAY 08 0000 18.7 S 50.0 E 984 50 03 MAY 08 0600 19.0 S 49.9 E 962 65 70 03 MAY 08 1200 19.1 S 49.4 E 952 80 03 MAY 08 1800 19.2 S 49.1 E 952 75 80 Near Madagascar coast 03 MAY 09 0000 19.4 S 49.2 E 955 80 " 03 MAY 09 0600 19.6 S 49.1 E 970 75 65 " 03 MAY 09 1200 19.6 S 49.0 E 980 60 " 03 MAY 09 1800 20.3 S 49.2 E 985 55 50 03 MAY 10 0000 20.2 S 49.2 E 990 40 03 MAY 10 0600 20.9 S 48.8 E 998 40 30 03 MAY 10 1200 21.9 S 48.8 E 998 30 03 MAY 10 1800 22.9 S 48.9 E 1001 30 25 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical LOW 08 - 11 May ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUW Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 03 MAY 08 0400 8.0 S 93.0 E 1003 03 MAY 09 0400 11.0 S 95.0 E 1003 03 MAY 10 0400 11.0 S 97.0 E 1003 03 MAY 11 0400 12.0 S 100.0 E 1003 Note: No MSW were given by Perth for this tropical LOW. No gale warnings were issued and the potential for development was assessed as low each day, so likely maximum winds did not exceed 20-25 kts. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/ advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Huang Chunliang huangchunliang@hotmail.com ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published: 07.02.03 Revised: 10.17.03 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com