GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - MARCH 2008 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Intense Tropical Cyclone JOKWE (MFR-12 / 22S) 04 - 15 Mar Intense Tropical Cyclone KAMBA (MFR-13 / 23S) 07 - 12 Mar Tropical Storm LOLA (MFR-14 / 25S) 20 - 26 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: JOKWE Cyclone Number: 22S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 12 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 MAR 04 1800 11.7 S 54.5 E 1003 20 Locally 30 kts S semi. 08 MAR 05 0000 11.8 S 52.8 E 1000 35 25 JTWC: 11.9S/53.5E 08 MAR 05 0600 12.1 S 51.6 E 998 30 08 MAR 05 1200 12.0 S 50.6 E 995 50 35 Locally 40 kts S semi. 08 MAR 05 1800 12.0 S 50.0 E 990 45 Locally 50 kts S semi. 08 MAR 06 0000 12.2 S 49.2 E 990 50 45 08 MAR 06 0600 13.2 S 48.0 E 994 40 08 MAR 06 1200 13.8 S 46.7 E 975 75 65 08 MAR 06 1800 14.2 S 46.0 E 975 65 08 MAR 07 0000 14.7 S 44.7 E 980 75 60 JTWC: 14.8S/45.3E 08 MAR 07 0600 14.6 S 43.6 E 980 60 08 MAR 07 1200 14.4 S 42.8 E 975 85 65 08 MAR 07 1800 14.8 S 42.1 E 945 95 95 08 MAR 08 0000 15.1 S 41.2 E 930 105 08 MAR 08 0600 15.2 S 40.7 E 930 100 105 08 MAR 08 1200 15.8 S 40.3 E 960 85 Along Mozambique coast 08 MAR 08 1800 16.3 S 39.9 E 960 75 80 08 MAR 09 0000 16.6 S 39.7 E 960 80 08 MAR 09 0600 17.6 S 39.1 E 983 70 60 JTWC: 17.1S/39.4E 08 MAR 09 1200 18.1 S 38.9 E 985 50 Over water 08 MAR 09 1800 18.6 S 39.2 E 975 85 65 08 MAR 10 0000 19.7 S 39.4 E 960 75 08 MAR 10 0600 20.3 S 39.6 E 965 85 70 08 MAR 10 1200 21.2 S 39.8 E 960 75 08 MAR 10 1800 21.9 S 40.5 E 947 90 85 08 MAR 11 0000 22.8 S 40.9 E 940 90 08 MAR 11 0600 23.3 S 41.1 E 950 80 80 08 MAR 11 1200 24.3 S 41.5 E 960 70 08 MAR 11 1800 25.2 S 41.6 E 965 70 70 08 MAR 12 0000 25.1 S 40.8 E 970 60 08 MAR 12 0600 25.2 S 40.3 E 975 50 60 08 MAR 12 1200 25.8 S 40.0 E 980 55 08 MAR 12 1800 25.7 S 40.1 E 980 55 55 08 MAR 13 0000 25.4 S 40.0 E 972 60 08 MAR 13 0600 25.0 S 40.4 E 970 70 65 08 MAR 13 1200 25.3 S 40.6 E 975 55 08 MAR 13 1800 25.3 S 40.4 E 978 55 55 JTWC: 25.4S/40.8E 08 MAR 14 0000 25.2 S 40.3 E 984 50 08 MAR 14 0600 25.1 S 40.2 E 990 40 40 08 MAR 14 1200 25.1 S 40.1 E 994 35 08 MAR 14 1800 25.0 S 40.2 E 998 35 30 08 MAR 15 0000 24.7 S 40.0 E 1001 20 Locally 25 kts SW quad. *************************************************************************** Storm Name: KAMBA Cyclone Number: 23S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 13 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 MAR 07 0000 12.3 S 89.0 E 1000 25 08 MAR 07 0600 12.3 S 88.4 E 999 25 Locally 30 kts S semi. 08 MAR 07 1200 11.8 S 86.7 E 997 40 30 JTWC: 11.9S/87.2E 08 MAR 07 1800 11.7 S 88.4 E 997 30 Relocated back to east 08 MAR 08 0000 12.2 S 87.4 E 995 55 30 Locally 35 kts nr cntr 08 MAR 08 0600 12.6 S 86.5 E 995 30 " 08 MAR 08 1200 12.9 S 86.0 E 995 55 30 " 08 MAR 08 1800 13.0 S 86.1 E 995 30 " 08 MAR 09 0000 13.5 S 85.0 E 994 60 35 JTWC: 13.8S/84.5E 08 MAR 09 0600 14.0 S 83.0 E 987 45 Named by Mauritius 08 MAR 09 1200 14.7 S 82.1 E 985 65 50 08 MAR 09 1800 14.9 S 81.1 E 975 55 08 MAR 10 0000 15.8 S 79.3 E 965 80 65 08 MAR 10 0600 16.8 S 78.8 E 965 65 08 MAR 10 1200 18.2 S 78.5 E 940 110 90 08 MAR 10 1800 19.3 S 78.3 E 930 100 08 MAR 11 0000 20.8 S 78.2 E 934 90 95 08 MAR 11 0600 22.0 S 78.1 E 935 95 08 MAR 11 1200 23.6 S 78.1 E 960 80 75 JTWC: 23.1S/78.0E 08 MAR 11 1800 23.8 S 78.2 E 970 65 08 MAR 12 0000 24.5 S 79.2 E 980 45 55 JTWC: 25.3S/79.2E 08 MAR 12 0600 25.1 S 79.6 E 986 45 08 MAR 12 1200 25.6 S 80.3 E 1002 35 XTRP/See Note Note: The final MFR warning indicated that strongest winds near the center of the by-now extratropical circulation were 25-30 kts, but that winds 30-35 kts were occurring up to 300 nm from the center in the southern semicircle. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: LOLA Cyclone Number: 25S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 14 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 MAR 20 1200 14.5 S 63.0 E 999 15 25-30 kts far to south 08 MAR 21 0000 14.9 S 60.7 E 999 20 Locally 30 kts to south 08 MAR 21 1200 15.3 S 60.2 E 997 25 " 08 MAR 21 1800 15.6 S 59.9 E 996 35 30 Very locally 35 kts 08 MAR 22 0000 16.0 S 59.3 E 994 35 Gales in SE sector 08 MAR 22 0600 16.3 S 58.7 E 994 40 35 08 MAR 22 1200 16.1 S 58.5 E 994 35 08 MAR 22 1800 15.9 S 58.0 E 997 45 30 Locally 35 kts SW quad 08 MAR 23 0000 15.9 S 57.9 E 998 30 " 08 MAR 23 0600 16.2 S 57.3 E 998 40 30 Locally 35 kts S semi. 08 MAR 23 1200 16.6 S 57.2 E 998 25 Locally 30 kts S semi. 08 MAR 23 1800 16.7 S 56.4 E 998 40 25 " 08 MAR 24 0000 16.3 S 55.9 E 998 25 " 08 MAR 24 0600 14.9 S 55.9 E 998 30 25 " 08 MAR 24 1200 14.6 S 56.1 E 998 25 " 08 MAR 24 1800 14.7 S 56.4 E 999 25 " 08 MAR 25 0000 15.0 S 56.5 E 998 25 " 08 MAR 25 0600 15.5 S 55.8 E 997 30 08 MAR 25 1200 15.8 S 56.3 E 999 25 Locally 30 kts S semi. 08 MAR 25 1800 16.1 S 56.3 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts SE quad. 08 MAR 26 0000 17.4 S 56.7 E 1000 25 " 08 MAR 26 0600 18.2 S 56.7 E 1000 25 " 08 MAR 26 1200 17.7 S 56.5 E 1001 20 Final wrng/See note Note: The final MFR bulletin on ex-Lola indicated that in the area between Mauritius, St. Brandon and Tromelin winds were very locally reaching 30 kts under areas of strong convection. Latest visible imagery revealed a very ill-defined system with muliple LLCCs evident near 16.3S/57.3E, another near 17.7S/56.5E, and a third possibly located near 18.3S/58.9E. Neither of these was specified in the actual warning, but I selected the second for inclusion in the tabular track as it was closest to the previous warning position. ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone OPHELIA (21S) 27 Feb - 07 Mar Severe Tropical Cyclone PANCHO (26S) 24 - 30 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: OPHELIA Cyclone Number: 21S Basin: AUW (Name assigned by Perth TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 FEB 27 0600 15.1 S 130.1 E 1001 25 Overland 08 FEB 27 1200 15.2 S 129.5 E 1003 25 08 FEB 27 1800 15.3 S 129.2 E 1002 25 08 FEB 28 0000 15.2 S 129.1 E 1003 25 08 FEB 28 0600 14.9 S 128.9 E 1000 25 08 FEB 28 1200 15.1 S 128.4 E 1002 25 08 FEB 28 1800 15.1 S 127.8 E 1001 25 08 FEB 29 0000 14.7 S 127.5 E 1002 25 08 FEB 29 0600 14.6 S 126.5 E 1000 25 08 FEB 29 1200 15.1 S 126.4 E 1000 20 08 FEB 29 1800 15.3 S 125.8 E 998 25 08 MAR 01 0000 15.0 S 124.2 E 998 25 Entering Timor Sea 08 MAR 01 0600 15.5 S 123.6 E 994 35 30 08 MAR 01 1200 15.8 S 122.6 E 988 40 08 MAR 01 1800 16.0 S 122.1 E 982 45 50 08 MAR 02 0000 16.2 S 121.4 E 980 45 50 08 MAR 02 0600 16.5 S 120.7 E 976 60 55 08 MAR 02 1200 16.6 S 120.0 E 976 60 55 08 MAR 02 1800 16.8 S 119.2 E 972 65 60 08 MAR 03 0000 16.7 S 118.5 E 974 60 55 JTWC: 17.1S/118.1E 08 MAR 03 0600 16.5 S 117.4 E 982 60 50 08 MAR 03 1200 16.8 S 116.5 E 980 60 50 08 MAR 03 1800 17.0 S 115.6 E 982 55 50 08 MAR 04 0000 17.2 S 114.6 E 982 60 50 08 MAR 04 0600 17.2 S 113.6 E 982 60 50 JTWC: 17.6S/113.5E 08 MAR 04 1200 17.7 S 112.8 E 974 60 55 08 MAR 04 1800 18.2 S 112.2 E 974 50 55 08 MAR 05 0000 19.0 S 111.2 E 982 50 50 08 MAR 05 0600 19.7 S 110.5 E 982 45 50 08 MAR 05 1200 20.3 S 109.7 E 982 50 08 MAR 05 1800 21.0 S 109.1 E 990 40 40 JTWC: 21.6S/109.1E 08 MAR 06 0000 22.0 S 109.1 E 992 40 08 MAR 06 0600 23.2 S 109.0 E 992 40 40 08 MAR 06 1200 24.2 S 109.0 E 992 35 08 MAR 06 1800 24.8 S 109.5 E 995 35 35 08 MAR 07 0000 25.1 S 110.4 E 1000 30 Final Perth warning 08 MAR 07 0600 25.1 S 111.7 E 20 JTWC satellite bulletin ************************************************************************* Storm Name: PANCHO Cyclone Number: 26S Basin: AUW (System named by Perth TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 MAR 24 0200 12.3 S 102.9 E 998 30 08 MAR 24 0600 12.3 S 102.9 E 996 30 08 MAR 24 1200 12.9 S 103.3 E 996 35 30 08 MAR 24 1800 13.3 S 103.6 E 996 30 08 MAR 25 0000 14.2 S 104.0 E 996 40 30 08 MAR 25 0600 14.3 S 104.3 E 992 35 08 MAR 25 1200 14.7 S 103.8 E 986 50 45 08 MAR 25 1800 15.2 S 103.9 E 982 55 50 08 MAR 26 0000 15.3 S 104.4 E 972 55 08 MAR 26 0600 15.9 S 104.5 E 970 70 60 08 MAR 26 1200 17.1 S 105.0 E 966 65 08 MAR 26 1800 18.0 S 105.2 E 950 85 80 JTWC: 18.5S/105.5E 08 MAR 27 0000 19.0 S 105.9 E 938 90 08 MAR 27 0600 20.6 S 106.3 E 938 95 90 08 MAR 27 1200 21.7 S 106.8 E 938 90 08 MAR 27 1800 23.2 S 107.5 E 944 90 85 JTWC: 22.7S/107.5E 08 MAR 28 0000 23.5 S 108.0 E 950 80 08 MAR 28 0600 24.0 S 108.7 E 962 70 70 08 MAR 28 1200 25.1 S 109.4 E 972 60 08 MAR 28 1800 25.4 S 109.6 E 980 45 50 JTWC: 25.0S/109.8E 08 MAR 29 0000 25.2 S 110.1 E 990 40 08 MAR 29 0300 25.3 S 110.8 E 996 30 Final Perth warning 08 MAR 29 0600 25.4 S 111.3 E 35 Final JTWC warning 08 MAR 29 1800 25.7 S 111.4 E 40 Perth High Seas Fcst 08 Mar 30 0600 26.0 S 111.0 E 40 " Note: For the final two data points, taken from BoM Perth's High Seas Forecasts, the gale force winds were noted to be occurring in strong easterly flow between the ex-tropical cyclone and a HIGH to the south. ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (14F / 24P) 19 - 23 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 24P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 14F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 08 MAR 19 2100 17.4 S 163.6 E 1004 30 08 MAR 20 0600 18.3 S 163.5 E 1004 30 08 MAR 20 1800 18.9 S 164.2 E 1001 35 30 JTWC: 18.9S/163.6E 08 MAR 21 0000 20.1 S 164.2 E 998 30 08 MAR 21 0600 20.8 S 164.3 E 1000 35 30 Over N New Caledonia 08 MAR 21 1200 21.8 S 164.7 E 1002 30 Over water 08 MAR 21 1800 21.6 S 164.1 E 1002 30 30 JTWC: 21.6S/163.5E 08 MAR 22 0600 22.5 S 163.6 E 1004 25 08 MAR 22 1800 21.5 S 161.7 E 1004 25 Relocated 08 MAR 23 0600 21.0 S 161.0 E 1004 25 08 MAR 23 2100 22.0 S 162.0 E 1008 20 Note: Dvorak intensity estimates from JTWC, CPHC and Brisbane all reached T2.5/2.5 for this system, while the highest rendered by SAB was T2.0/2.0. I do not have available the Dvorak ratings from RSMC Nadi. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Posted: 04.02.08 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com