GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - MARCH 2002 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 NOTE: The tracking information for Northwest Pacific Basin tropical cyclones is based primarily upon operational warnings from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Comparisons were made with track coordinates given in advisories from the meteorological services of Japan (JMA) and the Philippines (PAGASA). In general, whenever the center position differed by more than 40-50 nm from JTWC's, an entry was made in the Remarks column. Michael V. Padua, owner of the Typhoon 2000 webpage, sent me the PAGASA and JMA tracks for the cyclones, and Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sent me the tracks from the National Meteorological Center of China (NMCC) and the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). A special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for their assistance. The 1-min avg MSW were taken from the JTWC advisories while the 10-min avg MSW and central pressure estimates were obtained from JMA's advisories. The 10-min MSW estimates from the other centers follow the primary tracks in a separate table. Systems Tracked --------------- Super Typhoon MITAG (02W / 0202 / BASYANG) 26 Feb - 08 Mar Tropical Depression (03W / CALOY) 19 - 25 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MITAG Cyclone Number: 02W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: BASYANG JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0202 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 FEB 26 1800 6.0 N 155.7 E 25 02 FEB 27 0000 6.1 N 155.3 E 25 02 FEB 27 0600 6.5 N 155.2 E 1002 35 30 02 FEB 27 1200 6.6 N 154.6 E 1002 35 30 02 FEB 27 1800 6.4 N 153.9 E 1000 35 30 02 FEB 28 0000 6.7 N 153.3 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 7.2 N, 153.9 E 02 FEB 28 0600 7.0 N 153.1 E 998 35 30 JMA: 7.2 N, 152.1 E 02 FEB 28 1200 7.2 N 152.0 E 998 40 35 JMA: 7.1 N, 151.4 E 02 FEB 28 1800 7.2 N 151.2 E 996 45 40 JMA: 7.3 N, 150.4 E 02 MAR 01 0000 7.1 N 149.4 E 990 45 45 JMA: 7.0 N, 148.8 E 02 MAR 01 0600 6.6 N 147.8 E 985 70 50 02 MAR 01 1200 6.5 N 147.0 E 985 70 50 02 MAR 01 1800 6.7 N 145.5 E 980 70 55 02 MAR 02 0000 6.9 N 144.2 E 975 70 60 02 MAR 02 0600 7.6 N 142.9 E 970 75 65 02 MAR 02 1200 8.0 N 141.2 E 965 80 70 02 MAR 02 1800 8.5 N 139.3 E 965 100 70 02 MAR 03 0000 8.9 N 137.7 E 965 100 70 40 nm SSW of Yap 02 MAR 03 0600 9.5 N 136.7 E 960 95 75 02 MAR 03 1200 10.2 N 135.3 E 960 100 75 02 MAR 03 1800 10.6 N 134.2 E 960 105 75 02 MAR 04 0000 10.8 N 133.1 E 950 115 80 02 MAR 04 0600 11.1 N 132.5 E 945 115 85 02 MAR 04 1200 11.8 N 132.0 E 945 115 85 02 MAR 04 1800 12.4 N 131.3 E 945 115 85 02 MAR 05 0000 13.2 N 130.5 E 940 115 90 02 MAR 05 0600 13.7 N 130.0 E 930 140 95 02 MAR 05 1200 14.2 N 129.9 E 930 140 95 02 MAR 05 1800 14.7 N 130.0 E 930 140 95 02 MAR 06 0000 15.4 N 130.1 E 930 130 95 02 MAR 06 0600 16.0 N 130.4 E 930 125 95 02 MAR 06 1200 16.6 N 130.9 E 940 125 90 02 MAR 06 1800 17.1 N 131.5 E 950 115 80 02 MAR 07 0000 17.5 N 132.4 E 950 95 80 02 MAR 07 0600 17.9 N 133.5 E 960 75 70 JMA: 18.3 N, 133.6 E 02 MAR 07 1200 17.7 N 134.4 E 965 65 60 JMA: 18.4 N, 134.7 E 02 MAR 07 1800 18.0 N 134.9 E 980 55 50 JMA: 19.0 N, 135.4 E 02 MAR 08 0000 17.6 N 135.5 E 990 45 45 NMCC: 19.0 N, 136.3 E 02 MAR 08 0600 17.1 N 135.3 E 994 25 40 02 MAR 08 1200 16.8 N 135.0 E 1000 30 JMA warning Note: The 10-min avg MSW estimates given in the track above were all taken from JMA's warnings. The following table gives the 10-min avg MSW values estimated by NMCC and PAGASA: Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts (GMT) NMCC PAGASA ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 FEB 28 1200 35 02 FEB 28 1800 40 02 MAR 01 0000 45 02 MAR 01 0600 55 02 MAR 01 1200 55 02 MAR 01 1800 60 02 MAR 02 0000 60 02 MAR 02 0600 65 02 MAR 02 1200 70 02 MAR 02 1800 75 02 MAR 03 0000 75 02 MAR 03 0600 75 02 MAR 03 1200 80 02 MAR 03 1800 80 75 02 MAR 04 0000 90 85 02 MAR 04 0600 100 85 02 MAR 04 1200 100 85 02 MAR 04 1800 100 85 02 MAR 05 0000 100 90 02 MAR 05 0600 110 90 02 MAR 05 1200 110 95 02 MAR 05 1800 100 95 02 MAR 06 0000 100 95 02 MAR 06 0600 90 95 02 MAR 06 1200 90 95 02 MAR 06 1800 80 85 02 MAR 07 0000 60 80 02 MAR 07 0600 50 70 02 MAR 07 1200 45 60 02 MAR 07 1800 40 02 MAR 08 0000 35 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 03W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: CALOY JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 MAR 19 1200 7.0 N 133.5 E 25 02 MAR 19 1800 6.3 N 132.7 E 25 02 MAR 20 0000 6.7 N 131.4 E 1004 25 25 JMA: 8.0 N, 131.3 E 02 MAR 20 0600 7.0 N 130.0 E 1004 30 30 02 MAR 20 1200 7.3 N 129.2 E 1004 30 30 PAGASA: 8.0 N, 129.6 E 02 MAR 20 1800 6.9 N 128.6 E 1004 30 30 PAGASA: 8.0 N, 128.8 E 02 MAR 21 0000 6.8 N 127.6 E 1004 30 30 PAGASA: 8.1 N, 127.8 E 02 MAR 21 0600 7.2 N 126.9 E 1004 30 30 JMA: 8.6 N, 126.5 E 02 MAR 21 1200 8.0 N 126.1 E 1006 30 30 JMA: 8.7 N, 125.4 E 02 MAR 21 1800 8.2 N 125.2 E 1006 25 30 JMA: 9.2 N, 124.9 E 02 MAR 22 0000 9.8 N 124.0 E 1006 30 30 Over Bohol (near Cebu) 02 MAR 22 0600 10.3 N 123.0 E 1004 30 30 Over Negros 02 MAR 22 1200 10.7 N 122.2 E 1004 30 30 Over Panay 02 MAR 22 1800 11.0 N 120.5 E 1004 30 30 PAGASA: 11.0 N, 121.0 E 02 MAR 23 0000 11.4 N 119.3 E 1004 30 25 PAGASA: 11.2 N, 120.0 E 02 MAR 23 0600 11.3 N 118.1 E 1004 30 25 PAGASA: 11.3 N, 118.8 E 02 MAR 23 1200 11.3 N 116.9 E 1004 30 30 PAGASA: 12.0 N, 117.8 E 02 MAR 23 1800 11.1 N 115.8 E 30 02 MAR 24 0000 11.5 N 114.5 E 30 02 MAR 24 0600 11.9 N 114.0 E 25 02 MAR 24 1200 12.7 N 113.6 E 25 02 MAR 24 1800 13.6 N 113.7 E 25 02 MAR 25 0000 13.6 N 113.5 E 20 02 MAR 25 0600 14.2 N 113.5 E 25 02 MAR 25 1200 14.6 N 112.9 E 25 Note: For this depression the 10-min avg MSW estimates were taken from PAGASA's warnings. JMA's bulletins covered the exact same times and their MSW was 30 kts for the entire period. Caloy's center was over eastern Mindanao at 21/1200 UTC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E NOTE: The tracking coordinates, 10-min avg MSW, and estimates of central pressure were obtained from the RSMC La Reunion's (MFR) advisories, while the 1-min avg MSW values were taken from JTWC's warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Very Intense Tropical Cyclone HARY (MFR 11 / 18S) 05 - 15 Mar Tropical Cyclone IKALA (MFR 12 / 20S) 22 - 31 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: HARY Cyclone Number: 18S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 11 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 MAR 05 0600 10.9 S 66.6 E 1003 25 02 MAR 05 1200 11.2 S 66.2 E 1002 25 02 MAR 05 1800 11.0 S 65.3 E 999 30 30 02 MAR 06 0000 11.3 S 64.0 E 999 35 30 JTWC: 11.2 S, 64.9 E 02 MAR 06 0600 11.2 S 63.2 E 995 35 02 MAR 06 1200 11.3 S 62.5 E 995 40 35 02 MAR 06 1800 11.4 S 61.0 E 991 40 02 MAR 07 0000 11.4 S 59.6 E 986 55 45 02 MAR 07 0600 11.2 S 58.6 E 984 50 02 MAR 07 1200 11.2 S 57.2 E 976 65 60 02 MAR 07 1800 11.5 S 56.5 E 974 60 02 MAR 08 0000 11.5 S 55.2 E 950 105 85 02 MAR 08 0600 11.2 S 54.2 E 935 95 02 MAR 08 1200 11.4 S 53.6 E 930 120 95 02 MAR 08 1800 11.3 S 52.8 E 915 110 02 MAR 09 0000 11.7 S 52.7 E 915 125 110 02 MAR 09 0600 12.4 S 52.2 E 920 110 02 MAR 09 1200 13.4 S 51.7 E 930 125 100 JTWC: 12.9 S, 51.9 E 02 MAR 09 1800 14.2 S 51.1 E 910 115 02 MAR 10 0000 14.8 S 50.7 E 905 140 120 02 MAR 10 0600 15.4 S 50.4 E 915 110 02 MAR 10 1200 16.2 S 50.4 E 930 135 95 On coast of Madagascar 02 MAR 10 1800 17.0 S 50.6 E 940 90 02 MAR 11 0000 18.1 S 50.7 E 945 115 85 02 MAR 11 0600 19.3 S 50.8 E 945 85 02 MAR 11 1200 20.7 S 51.6 E 945 115 85 02 MAR 11 1800 22.3 S 52.4 E 945 85 02 MAR 12 0000 23.5 S 53.0 E 945 100 85 02 MAR 12 0600 24.8 S 53.8 E 945 85 02 MAR 12 1200 26.2 S 54.7 E 945 95 85 02 MAR 12 1800 27.6 S 55.7 E 950 80 85 02 MAR 13 0000 28.8 S 56.7 E 968 70 70 JTWC: 28.3 S, 55.9 E 02 MAR 13 0600 29.1 S 56.8 E 980 55 02 MAR 13 1200 29.7 S 57.0 E 980 45 60 Extratropical 02 MAR 13 1800 30.0 S 58.3 E 980 60 02 MAR 14 0000 30.3 S 58.4 E 985 55 02 MAR 14 0600 30.9 S 58.7 E 985 55 02 MAR 14 1200 31.1 S 59.5 E 985 50 02 MAR 14 1800 32.1 S 60.6 E 985 50 02 MAR 15 0000 32.1 S 61.2 E 985 50 02 MAR 15 0600 32.2 S 61.6 E 985 40 02 MAR 15 1200 32.5 S 63.3 E 980 35 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: IKALA Cyclone Number: 20S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 12 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 MAR 22 1200 8.5 S 82.6 E 1004 25 02 MAR 22 1800 8.5 S 80.1 E 1003 25 25 Reaching 30 kts locally 02 MAR 23 0600 8.4 S 78.7 E 1002 25 " 02 MAR 23 1200 9.0 S 78.0 E 1002 25 " 02 MAR 23 1800 9.1 S 77.2 E 1002 25 25 " 02 MAR 24 0000 9.5 S 76.6 E 1002 25 " 02 MAR 24 0600 10.6 S 76.0 E 999 30 30 02 MAR 24 1200 10.9 S 74.7 E 999 30 02 MAR 24 1800 11.7 S 73.5 E 997 40 30 JTWC: 11.3 S, 74.5 E 02 MAR 25 0000 11.5 S 72.8 E 997 30 Reaching 35 kts locally 02 MAR 25 0600 11.5 S 72.5 E 995 40 35 02 MAR 25 1200 11.4 S 72.4 E 992 40 02 MAR 25 1800 11.6 S 73.0 E 990 55 45 JTWC: 12.0 S, 72.6 E 02 MAR 26 0000 12.8 S 73.4 E 985 50 02 MAR 26 0600 13.4 S 73.7 E 978 65 55 02 MAR 26 1200 14.1 S 74.2 E 976 55 02 MAR 26 1800 15.0 S 74.5 E 968 75 65 02 MAR 27 0000 15.6 S 74.7 E 950 85 02 MAR 27 0600 16.1 S 75.4 E 945 105 85 02 MAR 27 1200 17.1 S 76.1 E 940 90 02 MAR 27 1800 18.0 S 76.7 E 945 105 85 JTWC: 17.4 S, 76.5 E 02 MAR 28 0000 18.2 S 77.3 E 955 80 02 MAR 28 0600 18.7 S 78.5 E 965 60 65 JTWC: 18.9 S, 77.9 E 02 MAR 28 1200 19.1 S 79.6 E 985 50 02 MAR 28 1800 20.1 S 80.5 E 985 45 50 02 MAR 29 0000 20.3 S 81.3 E 990 45 02 MAR 29 0600 20.7 S 82.0 E 995 45 02 MAR 29 1200 21.4 S 81.9 E 995 45 02 MAR 29 1800 21.5 S 81.0 E 995 45 Extratropical 02 MAR 30 0000 22.2 S 80.0 E 995 45 02 MAR 30 0600 23.7 S 79.7 E 995 45 02 MAR 30 1200 24.4 S 78.5 E 998 40 02 MAR 30 1800 25.3 S 77.1 E 999 35 02 MAR 31 0000 27.4 S 76.0 E 999 35 02 MAR 31 0600 28.8 S 76.0 E 999 40 02 MAR 31 1200 29.5 S 75.7 E 999 40 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E NOTE: The tracking information presented below was obtained from operational warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Brisbane, Queensland (west of 160E); from Nadi, Fiji (east of 160E and north of 25S); and from Wellington, New Zealand (east of 160E and south of 25S). Also, the central pressure estimates and 10-min avg MSW values were obtained from the Southern Hemisphere centres' warnings while the 1-min avg MSW estimates were taken from JTWC's warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone DES (17P / 12F) 04 - 07 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: DES Cyclone Number: 17P Basin: AUE/SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 12F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 MAR 04 1200 19.0 S 155.5 E 1001 30 02 MAR 04 1800 19.5 S 156.0 E 1001 30 02 MAR 05 0000 19.5 S 158.3 E 1000 30 Gales in S semicircle 02 MAR 05 0600 19.3 S 158.6 E 998 35 30 " 02 MAR 05 0900 19.4 S 159.5 E 993 40 02 MAR 05 1200 19.4 S 160.3 E 987 45 Nadi warning 02 MAR 05 1800 19.3 S 160.8 E 985 45 50 02 MAR 06 0000 20.0 S 162.2 E 985 50 02 MAR 06 0600 21.3 S 162.7 E 985 45 50 02 MAR 06 1200 22.0 S 163.8 E 985 50 02 MAR 06 1800 22.9 S 165.0 E 990 35 40 JTWC: 22.5 S, 164.4 E 02 MAR 06 2100 23.3 S 166.0 E 995 35 Downgraded to Trop Dep 02 MAR 07 0000 23.7 S 166.5 E 997 35 02 MAR 07 0600 24.3 S 168.5 E 997 35 35 Peripheral gales 02 MAR 07 1100 25.0 S 170.0 E 996 35 Wellington warning 02 MAR 07 1700 25.0 S 171.0 E 1000 35 02 MAR 07 2300 25.0 S 172.0 E 992 35 See Note Note: Des had become a severely sheared system by the time it was down- graded to a tropical depression at 06/2100 UTC. Gales noted in the warnings from that time forward were well-removed from the center. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for South Pacific Basin tropical cyclones was taken from real-time operational warnings issued by the Nadi TCWC, Fiji for positions north of 25S and from the Wellington, New Zealand office for positions south of 25S. Warnings from JTWC were utilized for the purpose of making comparisons and for supplying information for times when the Nadi or Wellington warnings were unavailable. The 10-min avg MSW values were taken from the Fiji or New Zealand warnings while the 1-min avg MSW values were obtained from the JTWC warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (13F / 19P) 13 - 16 Mar Tropical Depression (14F) 18 - 23 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 19P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 13F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 MAR 13 2100 16.7 S 161.0 E 1002 02 MAR 14 1800 20.3 S 164.4 E 35 JTWC warning 02 MAR 14 2100 19.7 S 166.0 E 1002 30 30-kt winds well to S 02 MAR 15 0600 21.5 S 169.3 E 1002 35 30 Some gales to south 02 MAR 15 1800 22.6 S 173.1 E 35 JTWC warning 02 MAR 15 2100 22.3 S 174.0 E 1002 30 02 MAR 16 0600 24.0 S 176.0 E 1002 30 30 JTWC: 23.3 S, 176.7 E Note: Fiji issued gale warnings in association with this depression from the 14th to the 16th for a band of gales well-removed from the center to the south. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 14F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 MAR 18 2100 15.0 S 170.0 W 1005 02 MAR 19 2100 15.3 S 169.0 W 1002 02 MAR 20 0600 16.0 S 169.0 W 1002 02 MAR 20 2100 16.0 S 171.0 W 1002 See Note 02 MAR 21 0600 21.0 S 172.0 W 1003 Relocated 02 MAR 21 2100 22.2 S 176.5 W 1002 02 MAR 22 2100 22.0 S 179.0 W 1004 02 MAR 23 2100 25.0 S 180.0 W 1004 Note: The Tropical Disturbance Summaries (TDS) issued by Nadi did not specify any maximum surface winds, so I have refrained from attempting to estimate any. Gale warnings were issued from 20/1900 through 22/0700 UTC for some associated peripheral gales created by the depression's proximity to a high-pressure system northeast of New Zealand. The TDS issued at 20/2100 UTC indicated that another similar tropical disturb- ance was located near 19.0S, 171.0W. It seems likely that this system was considered the dominant center for TD-14F from 21/0600 UTC forward, given the large jump in position between 20/2100 and 21/0600 UTC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/ advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: In the near future I shall contact the other tropical warning centers to see if I can locate any links to sites where their "best tracks" might be archived. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Revised 08.01.02 / Typhoon2000.ph / Typhoon2000.com