GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - MARCH 2001 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for the following system was supplied by Roger Edson of the University of Guam, formerly a forecaster with JTWC. No warnings were issued on this system by either JTWC or IMD, although JTWC mentioned the disturbance for several days in their Tropical Weather Outlooks. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone "OMICRON" 10 - 15 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: "Omicron" Cyclone Number: None Basin: NIO (Track provided by Roger Edson) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 MAR 10 0000 9.0 N 96.0 E 15 01 MAR 10 1200 9.5 N 95.5 E 1007 15 01 MAR 11 0000 10.0 N 95.0 E 15 01 MAR 11 1200 10.7 N 94.0 E 1006 20 01 MAR 12 0000 11.5 N 93.0 E 20 01 MAR 12 1200 12.0 N 93.0 E 1004 25 01 MAR 13 0000 12.5 N 93.0 E 25 01 MAR 13 1200 13.0 N 93.0 E 1004 30 01 MAR 14 0000 13.5 N 93.0 E 35 01 MAR 14 1200 14.7 N 92.8 E 1004 30 01 MAR 15 0000 16.0 N 92.5 E 30 01 MAR 15 1200 16.5 N 94.5 E 1004 25 Note: The central pressure estimates were taken from the daily STWOs issued by JTWC. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E NOTE: The tracking coordinates, 10-min avg MSW, and estimates of central pressure were obtained from the RSMC La Reunion's (MFR) advisories, while the 1-min avg MSW values were taken from JTWC's warnings. A very special thanks to Patrick Hoareau of Rennes, France, for sending me the track for Tropical Cyclone Dera already typed in the correct format with only minimal editing required. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone DERA (MFR 08 / 15S) 05 - 13 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: DERA Cyclone Number: 15S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 08 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 MAR 05 1200 10.8 S 51.0 E 1003 25 25 Winds locally to 30 kts 01 MAR 05 1800 11.9 S 50.0 E 1003 25 01 MAR 06 0000 13.1 S 49.4 E 25 LLCC over land 01 MAR 06 0600 13.0 S 49.1 E 1006 25 20 01 MAR 07 0600 14.5 S 43.5 E 1002 25 LLCC over water 01 MAR 07 1200 14.9 S 41.4 E 1002 30 25 01 MAR 08 0600 16.3 S 40.2 E 1002 30 25 01 MAR 08 1200 17.2 S 39.8 E 1000 25 01 MAR 08 1800 17.5 S 39.5 E 1000 25 01 MAR 09 0000 18.6 S 40.2 E 999 30 25 Winds locally to 30 kts 01 MAR 09 0600 19.6 S 40.3 E 997 30 01 MAR 09 1200 21.1 S 40.6 E 980 55 50 01 MAR 09 1800 22.1 S 40.9 E 972 60 01 MAR 10 0000 22.9 S 40.6 E 972 60 60 01 MAR 10 0600 23.6 S 40.5 E 966 70 01 MAR 10 1200 24.3 S 40.5 E 960 65 75 01 MAR 10 1800 25.3 S 40.7 E 960 75 01 MAR 11 0000 25.9 S 40.6 E 960 70 75 01 MAR 11 0600 26.6 S 40.2 E 960 75 01 MAR 11 1200 27.3 S 40.2 E 966 65 70 01 MAR 11 1800 28.3 S 40.4 E 966 70 01 MAR 12 0000 29.5 S 40.9 E 968 75 65 01 MAR 12 0600 31.8 S 42.0 E 964 70 01 MAR 12 1200 34.5 S 43.4 E 964 70 70 Becoming extratropical 01 MAR 12 1730 37.6 S 46.0 E JTWC Satellite Bulletin 01 MAR 13 0000 42.2 S 50.8 E 55 JTWC Warning (final) ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E NOTE: The tracking information presented below was obtained from operational warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at Perth, Western Australia. Also, the central pressure estimates and 10-min avg MSW values were obtained from Perth's warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical LOW 16 - 17 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUW Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 MAR 16 0400 9.9 S 105.8 E 1002 30 See Note 01 MAR 16 1000 10.4 S 105.3 E 1002 30 01 MAR 16 1600 10.4 S 104.6 E 1002 30 01 MAR 16 2200 10.4 S 103.9 E 1002 30 01 MAR 17 0400 9.8 S 103.0 E 1002 30 01 MAR 17 0900 9.8 S 102.8 E 1003 25 Weakening Note: MSW values not explicitly stated in the High Seas warnings. These values represent reasonable estimates based upon the central pressure. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E NOTE: The tracking information presented below was obtained in part from High Seas gale warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre at Brisbane, Queensland. Additional information was gleaned from a report and tracking chart forwarded to me by Jeff Callaghan of the Brisbane TCWC. A big thanks to Jeff for sending me this information. Systems Tracked --------------- Subtropical Cyclone 04 - 08 Mar ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUE (Subtropical system which developed some features of tropical cyclones.) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 MAR 04 1800 29.7 S 159.0 E 997 30 01 MAR 04 2300 28.8 S 158.3 E 995 40 01 MAR 05 0600 28.3 S 158.2 E 996 40 01 MAR 05 1200 28.0 S 158.1 E 996 40 01 MAR 05 1800 27.7 S 158.0 E 996 40 System stationary 01 MAR 06 0000 27.5 S 157.5 E 995 40 01 MAR 06 0600 27.3 S 157.1 E 995 45 01 MAR 06 1200 27.3 S 156.7 E 995 40 01 MAR 06 1800 27.3 S 156.3 E 995 40 01 MAR 07 0000 27.3 S 156.0 E 997 40 01 MAR 07 0600 27.4 S 155.8 E 997 40 System stationary 01 MAR 07 1200 27.5 S 155.6 E 998 40 01 MAR 07 1800 27.8 S 155.2 E 998 35 01 MAR 08 0000 28.6 S 154.8 E 01 MAR 08 0400 28.8 S 154.3 E 01 MAR 08 0600 28.8 S 153.9 E 997 54 See Note 01 MAR 08 0800 28.6 S 153.5 E 50 Inland Note: The final Brisbane gale warning I had saved was for 07/1800 UTC. Jeff Callaghan sent me a plotted track of the cyclone and a report he'd written. The positions following 07/1800 UTC were taken from this track. There were no wind or pressure estimates given so I did not attempt to supply any. However, Jeff's report indicated that at 08/0615 UTC the Evans Head AWS recorded a maximum 10-min mean wind of 54 kts, gusting to 75 kts. The lowest pressure of 996.6 mb occurred at 08/0652 UTC; the 10-min mean wind at that time was still 54 kts. At 08/0809 UTC the station was reporting 50-kt mean winds, gusting to 59 kts. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/ advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: In the near future I shall contact the other tropical warning centers to see if I can locate any links to sites where their "best tracks" might be archived. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Revised: 06.08.01 / Typhoon2000.com