GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - JANUARY 2011 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE INFORMATION AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (NIO) - Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Occasionally some information may have been gleaned from the daily tropical weather outlooks and other bulletins issued by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. The reported maximum sustained winds are based on a 1-minute averaging period, which is used by all U. S. civilian and military weather services for tropical cyclone warnings. For synoptic observations in the North Indian Ocean region, both 10-minute and 3-minute average winds are employed, but IMD makes no attempt to modify the Dvorak scale for estimating tropical cyclone intensity; hence, a 1-minute average MSW is implied. Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2011 North Indian Ocean Cyclone Season: Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Disturbance (Invest 90B) 11 - 12 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NIO (NRL Invest 90B) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 JAN 11 0830 7.1 N 85.0 E SAB T2.0/2.0 11 JAN 11 1430 7.1 N 84.2 E SAB T2.0/2.0 11 JAN 11 2030 7.2 N 85.5 E SAB T2.0/2.0 11 JAN 12 0230 6.9 N 85.2 E SAB T1.5/2.0 11 JAN 12 0830 7.3 N 85.2 E SAB T1.0/2.0 11 JAN 12 1530 7.1 N 83.8 E SAB T1.0/1.5 Note: This system was not classified as a depression by the IMD. The Dvorak classifications from SAB suggest that it possibly might have been a 30-kt depression. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010-2011 Southwest Indian Ocean Cyclone Season: Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (MFR-03) 31 Dec - 03 Jan Tropical Disturbance (Invest 92S) 14 - 16 Jan Tropical Disturbance (MFR-04) 30 - 31 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 03 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 10 DEC 31 2100 12.1 S 85.7 E SAB: T2.0/2.0 11 JAN 01 0230 11.7 S 84.3 E SAB: T2.0/2.0 11 JAN 01 0830 11.7 S 83.3 E SAB: T1.5/2.0 11 JAN 01 1430 11.8 S 82.4 E SAB: T1.5/2.0 11 JAN 01 2030 11.8 S 81.5 E SAB: T2.0/2.0 11 JAN 02 0230 11.1 S 82.4 E SAB: T1.5/2.0 11 JAN 02 0600 10.7 S 80.9 E 999 25 MFR bulletins 11 JAN 02 1800 11.7 S 80.3 E 996 30 11 JAN 03 0000 11.7 S 79.9 E 996 30 11 JAN 03 0600 12.4 S 81.1 E 997 25 Locally 30 kts SW quad 11 JAN 03 1200 13.6 S 81.2 E 998 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SWI (NRL Invest 92S) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 JAN 14 2030 16.8 S 55.0 E SAB T2.0/2.0 11 JAN 15 0230 16.8 S 53.7 E SAB T2.5/2.5 11 JAN 15 0830 17.0 S 53.3 E SAB T2.0/2.5 11 JAN 15 1430 17.0 S 52.0 E SAB T2.0/2.5 11 JAN 15 2030 17.0 S 50.9 E SAB T2.5/2.5 11 JAN 16 0230 16.9 S 49.8 E SAB T2.0/2.5 11 JAN 16 0830 16.0 S 48.8 E Overland (Madagascar) Note: The above track for this system is based entirely on satellite classifications from SAB, which suggest a strong tropical depression or possibly minimal tropical storm. The system appeared to be quite well-organized in satellite imagery. It is a little surprising that MFR never issued any bulletins nor assigned a tropical disturbance number to the system. JTWC issued a TCFA at 15/0730 UTC but cancelled it when the system approached Madagascar. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 04 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 JAN 30 1800 29.1 S 52.3 E 998 25 Locally 30 kts SE quad 11 JAN 31 0000 29.7 S 51.1 E 998 25 30 kts NE & SE quads 11 JAN 31 0600 30.5 S 49.9 E 998 25 " Note: At 30/1800 UTC, MFR assigned a Dvorak rating of T2.0/2.0. The highest from SAB was T1.5/1.5. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST AUSTRALIA/SOUTHEAST INDIAN OCEAN (AUW) - Longitude 90E to 135E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Perth, Western Australia, and Darwin, Northern Territory. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010-2011 Australian Region Cyclone Season: Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone VINCE (09U / 06S) 11 - 23 Jan Severe Tropical Cyclone BIANCA (12U / 10S) 21 - 30 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: VINCE Cyclone Number: 06S Basin: AUW (Name assigned by Perth TCWC - Australian LOW 09U) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 JAN 11 0000 14.9 S 108.3 E 996 25 Locally 40 kts NW quad 11 JAN 11 0600 14.9 S 107.7 E 994 30 Locally 40 kts SW quad 11 JAN 11 1200 14.9 S 107.5 E 994 30 " 11 JAN 11 1800 14.9 S 107.5 E 990 30 " 11 JAN 12 0000 14.9 S 107.1 E 987 40 Named TC Vince 11 JAN 12 0600 14.9 S 107.5 E 987 40 11 JAN 12 1200 15.2 S 108.4 E 986 40 40 11 JAN 12 1800 15.3 S 109.1 E 986 40 11 JAN 13 0000 15.2 S 109.4 E 986 40 40 JTWC 15.6S/108.8E 11 JAN 13 0600 15.7 S 109.5 E 986 40 11 JAN 13 1200 15.9 S 110.3 E 986 40 40 11 JAN 13 1800 16.1 S 111.1 E 986 40 11 JAN 14 0000 16.3 S 112.5 E 990 35 40 11 JAN 14 0600 16.1 S 113.6 E 996 30 Locally 40 kts N quad 11 JAN 14 1200 16.3 S 114.5 E 35 JTWC warnings 11 JAN 15 0000 15.9 S 114.5 E 35 11 JAN 15 1200 15.8 S 114.1 E 35 11 JAN 16 0000 16.0 S 113.2 E 30 11 JAN 16 0600 16.3 S 112.7 E 1000 30 NRL data 11 JAN 16 1200 16.4 S 112.2 E 1000 30 11 JAN 16 1800 17.0 S 111.8 E 1000 30 11 JAN 17 0000 17.5 S 111.3 E 1000 30 11 JAN 17 0600 18.0 S 110.6 E 1000 30 11 JAN 17 1200 19.7 S 107.6 E 1000 Re-analysis data 11 JAN 17 1800 19.4 S 105.5 E 1001 11 JAN 18 0000 20.0 S 104.9 E 1001 11 JAN 18 0600 20.0 S 102.8 E 1001 11 JAN 18 1200 20.1 S 102.3 E 1001 11 JAN 18 1800 19.4 S 100.5 E 1002 11 JAN 19 0000 19.7 S 99.6 E 1002 11 JAN 19 0600 19.7 S 99.3 E 1003 11 JAN 19 1200 17.9 S 99.5 E 1002 11 JAN 19 1800 18.3 S 97.1 E 1004 11 JAN 20 0000 17.6 S 95.8 E 1002 11 JAN 20 0600 17.5 S 95.1 E 1003 11 JAN 20 1200 17.5 S 95.1 E 1002 11 JAN 20 1800 17.6 S 95.0 E 1004 11 JAN 21 0000 17.4 S 93.5 E 1002 11 JAN 21 0600 17.7 S 93.0 E 1003 11 JAN 21 1200 17.2 S 93.5 E 1002 11 JAN 21 1800 17.1 S 92.8 E 1004 11 JAN 22 0000 17.2 S 92.8 E 1003 11 JAN 22 0600 17.4 S 92.5 E 1004 11 JAN 22 1200 17.5 S 92.4 E 1004 11 JAN 22 1800 17.4 S 92.4 E 1007 11 JAN 23 0000 16.7 S 92.4 E 1006 11 JAN 23 0600 16.8 S 92.7 E 1007 Note: BoM ceased warnings at 14/0600 UTC, and JTWC's final warning was issued at 16/0000 UTC. Positions after this point are based upon NRL and NCEP re-analysis data sent to the author by Steve Young. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: BIANCA Cyclone Number: 10S Basin: AUW (Name assigned by Perth TCWC - Australian LOW 12U) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 JAN 21 0600 15.8 S 129.0 E 1001 Over land 11 JAN 21 1200 15.8 S 128.5 E 1002 " 11 JAN 21 1800 15.0 S 128.8 E 1002 " 11 JAN 22 0000 14.9 S 129.1 E 1003 " 11 JAN 22 0600 14.8 S 129.5 E 1000 Near coast 11 JAN 22 1200 14.8 S 129.3 E 1002 " 11 JAN 22 1800 14.5 S 128.8 E 1001 Over water 11 JAN 23 0000 14.3 S 128.8 E 1001 11 JAN 23 0600 14.3 S 129.2 E 998 11 JAN 23 1200 14.4 S 128.9 E 1001 11 JAN 23 1800 14.7 S 128.1 E 1000 11 JAN 24 0000 14.7 S 127.1 E 1000 20 11 JAN 24 0600 14.4 S 126.4 E 998 25 Back over land 11 JAN 24 1200 14.9 S 126.1 E 998 25 " 11 JAN 24 1800 15.4 S 125.3 E 997 25 Near coast 11 JAN 25 0000 16.1 S 124.3 E 997 25 " 11 JAN 25 0600 16.6 S 123.2 E 995 30 " 11 JAN 25 1200 17.3 S 121.9 E 994 35 30 Over water 11 JAN 25 1800 17.8 S 120.8 E 990 40 Named TC Bianca 11 JAN 26 0000 18.8 S 119.7 E 984 45 50 11 JAN 26 0600 19.4 S 118.2 E 980 55 55 11 JAN 26 1200 19.4 S 116.7 E 976 60 60 11 JAN 26 1800 19.4 S 115.9 E 970 60 65 11 JAN 27 0000 19.8 S 115.0 E 965 60 70 11 JAN 27 0600 20.2 S 114.0 E 962 65 75 11 JAN 27 1200 20.6 S 112.9 E 958 65 75 11 JAN 27 1800 21.7 S 111.6 E 950 90 85 11 JAN 28 0000 23.0 S 110.3 E 951 85 11 JAN 28 0600 23.9 S 108.9 E 950 115 85 11 JAN 28 1200 24.8 S 108.3 E 945 90 11 JAN 28 1800 26.2 S 107.7 E 965 75 75 11 JAN 29 0000 27.5 S 107.8 E 965 70 11 JAN 29 0600 28.9 S 108.2 E 970 65 65 JTWC: 29.4S/108.7E 11 JAN 29 1200 29.9 S 109.4 E 975 55 11 JAN 29 1800 30.8 S 110.8 E 985 45 45 11 JAN 30 0000 31.0 S 112.0 E 998 30 Ex-TC 11 JAN 30 0600 31.4 S 113.4 E 998 30 Note: Track from 21/0600 to 23/1800 UTC sourced from severe weather warnings issued by Darwin. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010-2011 Australian Region Cyclone Season: Systems Tracked --------------- Severe Tropical Cyclone ZELIA (10U / 07P / 05F) 13 - 19 Jan Tropical Cyclone ANTHONY (11U / 09P / 08F) 22 - 31 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ZELIA Cyclone Number: 07P Basin: AUE/SPA (Name assigned by Brisbane TCWC - Australian LOW 10U - Fiji TD 05F) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 JAN 13 0000 14.7 S 149.9 E 1000 25 11 JAN 13 0600 14.2 S 149.8 E 997 25 11 JAN 13 1200 13.5 S 149.6 E 996 30 11 JAN 13 1800 12.4 S 149.9 E 996 30 11 JAN 14 0000 12.5 S 150.7 E 995 35 30 11 JAN 14 0300 12.5 S 151.3 E 992 35 Named TC Zelia 11 JAN 14 0600 12.8 S 151.5 E 992 35 11 JAN 14 1200 13.8 S 152.2 E 989 55 40 JTWC: 13.1S/152.0E 11 JAN 14 1800 14.0 S 152.2 E 989 40 11 JAN 15 0000 14.6 S 152.3 E 987 55 45 11 JAN 15 0600 15.1 S 152.5 E 982 50 11 JAN 15 1200 15.5 S 153.1 E 975 60 65 11 JAN 15 1800 16.1 S 154.9 E 970 80 11 JAN 16 0000 17.5 S 156.8 E 965 85 80 11 JAN 16 0600 19.0 S 158.7 E 957 85 11 JAN 16 1200 20.6 S 160.7 E 957 90 85 Fiji warnings 11 JAN 16 1800 22.4 S 162.7 E 970 80 11 JAN 17 0000 24.9 S 165.0 E 970 75 80 11 JAN 17 0600 27.5 S 167.5 E 975 60 NZ warnings 11 JAN 17 1200 29.6 S 169.2 E 980 55 55 11 JAN 17 1800 33.3 S 169.4 E 990 45 45 NZ: 32S/170E 11 JAN 18 0000 35.0 S 170.0 E 988 40 NZ warnings/extratrop. 11 JAN 18 0600 40.0 S 172.0 E 987 40 11 JAN 18 1200 44.0 S 174.0 E 980 40 11 JAN 18 1800 48.0 S 177.0 E 974 50 11 JAN 19 0000 50.0 S 180.0 E 971 50 11 JAN 19 0600 51.0 S 176.0 W 969 50 11 JAN 19 1200 51.0 S 172.0 W 974 50 ************************************************************************ Storm Name: ANTHONY Cyclone Number: 09P Basin: AUE/SPA (Name assigned by Brisbane TCWC - Australian LOW 11U - Fiji TD 08F) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 JAN 22 0600 16.2 S 146.5 E 999 Gale warning 11 JAN 22 1200 15.6 S 146.7 E 999 " 11 JAN 22 1800 15.3 S 147.6 E 996 " 11 JAN 22 2100 15.3 S 148.2 E 994 35 Named TC Anthony 11 JAN 23 0000 15.5 S 148.9 E 990 35 40 11 JAN 23 0600 15.7 S 150.9 E 988 45 11 JAN 23 1200 16.5 S 153.4 E 986 45 45 11 JAN 23 1800 16.7 S 155.3 E 991 40 11 JAN 24 0000 18.3 S 157.0 E 998 40 35 11 JAN 24 0600 18.5 S 158.4 E 995 35 11 JAN 24 1200 19.0 S 159.8 E 997 35 35 11 JAN 24 1800 19.0 S 160.1 E 988 40 11 JAN 25 0000 19.4 S 160.8 E 992 35 35 11 JAN 25 0400 19.6 S 160.7 E 994 30 Ex-TC 11 JAN 25 1200 19.4 S 160.0 E 996 30 35 Some peripheral gales 11 JAN 25 1800 19.2 S 159.6 E 996 35 11 JAN 26 0000 19.0 S 159.5 E 997 35 11 JAN 26 0600 18.9 S 158.5 E 996 35 11 JAN 26 1200 18.6 S 158.0 E 996 35 11 JAN 26 1800 18.8 S 156.7 E 996 35 11 JAN 27 0000 17.8 S 155.6 E 999 35 11 JAN 27 0600 17.4 S 154.8 E 998 35 11 JAN 27 1200 16.8 S 154.3 E 998 35 11 JAN 27 1800 16.1 S 154.4 E 995 35 11 JAN 28 0000 16.0 S 155.1 E 990 35 Regenerated as TC 11 JAN 28 0600 15.7 S 155.3 E 988 35 11 JAN 28 1200 16.1 S 155.2 E 997 35 11 JAN 28 1800 16.1 S 154.7 E 999 35 11 JAN 29 0000 15.5 S 154.7 E 996 35 11 JAN 29 0600 15.5 S 153.9 E 996 35 11 JAN 29 1200 15.9 S 153.4 E 996 35 11 JAN 29 1500 16.2 S 153.0 E 996 35 11 JAN 29 1800 17.1 S 152.0 E 988 35 11 JAN 30 0000 18.3 S 150.9 E 988 35 45 11 JAN 30 0300 18.8 S 150.2 E 988 50 11 JAN 30 0600 19.2 S 149.5 E 988 50 11 JAN 30 0800 19.6 S 149.1 E 984 55 11 JAN 30 1200 20.0 S 148.1 E 991 40 45 Crossing coast 11 JAN 30 1400 20.2 S 147.7 E 999 30 Ex-TC Inland 11 JAN 30 1800 18.5 S 147.2 E 1005 NCEP re-analysis data 11 JAN 31 0000 19.3 S 142.9 E 1008 " Notes: JTWC ceased warnings at 25/1200 UTC then issued five formation alerts prior to recommencing warnings at 30/0000 UTC. BoM issued a number of warnings at non-standard times as system approached QLD coast. ************************************************************************ ************************************************************************ SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Following is the link to the Wikipedia page for the 2010-2011 South Pacific Cyclone Season: Systems Tracked --------------- Severe Tropical Cyclone VANIA (03F / 05P) 05 - 18 Jan Severe Tropical Cyclone WILMA (06F / 08P) 19 - 30 Jan Tropical Depression (07F) 21 - 22 Jan Severe Tropical Cyclone YASI (09F / 11P / 14U) 26 Jan - 05 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: VANIA Cyclone Number: 05P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 03F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 JAN 05 2100 17.0 S 176.5 E 1004 11 JAN 06 0600 17.0 S 176.0 E 1003 11 JAN 06 1800 17.0 S 175.0 E 1003 11 JAN 06 2100 17.1 S 174.8 E 1003 11 JAN 07 0600 18.8 S 174.9 E 1001 11 JAN 07 1800 19.0 S 172.5 E 1001 11 JAN 07 2100 19.1 S 172.1 E 1001 11 JAN 08 0600 18.6 S 172.0 E 1000 11 JAN 08 1800 19.0 S 173.0 E 1000 11 JAN 08 2100 18.0 S 172.0 E 1000 11 JAN 09 0600 17.0 S 170.0 E 999 11 JAN 09 1800 18.0 S 169.0 E 998 35 11 JAN 10 0000 17.1 S 169.8 E 997 11 JAN 10 0600 17.4 S 170.1 E 997 35 11 JAN 10 1200 17.6 S 169.9 E 997 11 JAN 10 1800 18.6 S 170.0 E 995 35 11 JAN 11 0000 18.9 S 169.8 E 996 11 JAN 11 0600 19.3 S 169.6 E 994 35 11 JAN 11 1200 19.3 S 169.6 E 996 35 11 JAN 11 1800 19.1 S 169.4 E 990 35 30 11 JAN 11 2100 19.1 S 169.3 E 988 35 Named TC Vania 11 JAN 12 0000 19.2 S 169.3 E 988 35 11 JAN 12 0600 19.3 S 169.2 E 987 35 11 JAN 12 1200 19.3 S 169.0 E 987 45 35 11 JAN 12 1800 19.2 S 168.8 E 977 60 50 11 JAN 13 0000 19.8 S 168.3 E 975 55 11 JAN 13 0600 20.2 S 167.9 E 975 60 60 11 JAN 13 1200 20.6 S 167.7 E 970 65 11 JAN 13 1800 21.1 S 167.7 E 978 55 50 11 JAN 14 0000 21.6 S 167.4 E 978 50 11 JAN 14 0600 22.2 S 167.4 E 980 45 50 JTWC: 22.0S/166.6E 11 JAN 14 1200 22.5 S 167.3 E 982 45 11 JAN 14 1800 22.7 S 167.1 E 984 40 35 11 JAN 15 0000 24.4 S 167.0 E 988 30 Ex-TC/Peripheral gales 11 JAN 15 0600 26.3 S 166.1 E 35 JTWC's final warning 11 JAN 15 1200 26.8 S 165.5 E 1000 30 NRL data 11 JAN 15 1800 27.8 S 165.0 E 1000 30 11 JAN 16 0000 28.4 S 164.6 E 1000 30 11 JAN 16 0600 28.9 S 164.4 E 1000 30 11 JAN 16 1200 29.7 S 164.4 E 1000 30 11 JAN 16 1800 31.5 S 164.1 E 1000 30 11 JAN 17 0000 32.3 S 163.9 E 1000 30 11 JAN 17 0600 33.4 S 163.5 E 994 NCEP re-analysis data 11 JAN 17 1200 35.0 S 164.8 E 995 11 JAN 17 1800 35.5 S 166.5 E 993 Frontal 11 JAN 18 0000 38.1 S 167.9 E 992 11 JAN 18 0600 38.8 S 170.4 E 991 ************************************************************************ Storm Name: WILMA Cyclone Number: 08P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 06F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 JAN 19 0600 13.2 S 178.6 W 1004 11 JAN 19 2100 12.0 S 178.0 W 1004 11 JAN 20 0600 12.7 S 178.2 W 1002 11 JAN 20 2100 13.7 S 177.1 W 1003 11 JAN 21 0600 14.3 S 176.8 W 1003 11 JAN 21 0900 14.7 S 176.9 W 1001 11 JAN 21 1800 14.0 S 174.5 W 1001 11 JAN 21 2100 14.0 S 174.4 W 1001 11 JAN 22 0000 14.1 S 174.1 W 998 35 25 11 JAN 22 0600 14.2 S 173.7 W 998 40 25 JTWC: 12.8S/172.9W 11 JAN 22 1200 13.3 S 172.7 W 995 35 Named TC Wilma 11 JAN 22 1800 11.8 S 171.0 W 995 50 35 11 JAN 23 0000 11.6 S 170.3 W 995 40 11 JAN 23 0600 11.8 S 170.1 W 995 50 40 11 JAN 23 1200 12.8 S 171.0 W 994 40 11 JAN 23 1800 14.0 S 171.0 W 990 50 40 11 JAN 24 0000 15.0 S 171.2 W 990 40 11 JAN 24 0600 15.9 S 171.1 W 985 55 50 11 JAN 24 1200 16.9 S 171.5 W 985 50 11 JAN 24 1800 18.8 S 173.0 W 970 65 65 11 JAN 25 0000 20.6 S 175.3 W 970 65 11 JAN 25 0600 21.5 S 177.2 W 965 85 70 11 JAN 25 1200 22.4 S 179.9 W 965 80 11 JAN 25 1800 22.6 S 178.5 E 960 90 85 11 JAN 26 0000 22.9 S 177.2 E 950 90 11 JAN 26 0600 23.4 S 176.0 E 940 115 95 11 JAN 26 1200 23.6 S 175.1 E 940 100 11 JAN 26 1800 24.4 S 174.3 E 930 100 11 JAN 27 0000 24.9 S 173.7 E 930 100 100 11 JAN 27 0600 26.1 S 172.9 E 950 80 NZ warnings 11 JAN 27 1200 27.2 S 172.2 E 955 75 80 11 JAN 27 1800 27.9 S 171.7 E 975 60 11 JAN 28 0000 30.5 S 172.2 E 980 45 55 JTWC: 30.0S/171.6E 11 JAN 28 0600 32.5 S 172.7 E 978 55 11 JAN 28 1200 34.4 S 174.7 E 981 35 55 11 JAN 28 1800 36.0 S 177.0 E 978 50 11 JAN 29 0000 39.0 S 179.0 W 989 50 11 JAN 29 0600 44.0 S 176.0 W 972 50 11 JAN 29 1200 46.0 S 173.0 W 968 50 11 JAN 29 1800 48.0 S 170.0 W 961 50 11 JAN 30 0000 50.0 S 167.0 W 961 50 11 JAN 30 0600 53.0 S 162.0 W 960 50 11 JAN 30 1200 55.0 S 158.0 W 959 50 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 07F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 JAN 21 0600 21.8 S 163.0 E 998 25 Perip. gales SE quad 11 JAN 21 1200 22.9 S 166.9 E 998 25 " 11 JAN 21 1800 23.6 S 168.6 E 998 30 Perip. gales N to SW 11 JAN 22 0000 25.0 S 168.0 E 996 30 Perip. gales NE quad Note: The system entered Wellington's AOR after 22/0000 UTC and was declared an extratropical gale in the next warning. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: YASI Cyclone Number: 11P Basin: SPA/AUE Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 09F - Australian LOW 14U Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 JAN 26 2100 14.5 S 176.8 W 1005 11 JAN 27 0600 13.8 S 179.2 E 1004 11 JAN 27 2100 12.3 S 179.3 W 1004 11 JAN 28 0600 13.0 S 179.0 E 1003 11 JAN 28 1800 13.9 S 178.4 E 1003 11 JAN 28 2100 14.0 S 178.3 E 1003 11 JAN 29 0600 14.2 S 172.9 E 1003 11 JAN 29 1200 14.2 S 171.9 E 1003 11 JAN 29 1800 14.3 S 171.3 E 1003 35 Perip. gales S semi 11 JAN 30 0000 13.4 S 170.1 E 998 35 11 JAN 30 0300 13.4 S 169.9 E 995 35 Named TC Yasi 11 JAN 30 0600 13.3 S 169.3 E 994 35 11 JAN 30 1200 13.9 S 167.7 E 987 45 45 JTWC: 13.2S/167.6E 11 JAN 30 1800 13.6 S 165.9 E 987 45 11 JAN 31 0000 13.6 S 164.2 E 980 65 55 11 JAN 31 0300 13.6 S 163.4 E 975 60 BoM warnings 11 JAN 31 0600 13.8 S 162.5 E 970 75 11 JAN 31 1200 13.4 S 160.6 E 963 90 80 11 JAN 31 1800 13.6 S 158.4 E 960 85 11 FEB 01 0000 14.0 S 156.7 E 960 100 85 11 FEB 01 0600 14.4 S 154.9 E 960 85 11 FEB 01 1200 15.0 S 153.1 E 940 120 100 11 FEB 01 1800 15.7 S 151.7 E 924 115 11 FEB 02 0000 16.4 S 149.9 E 922 125 115 11 FEB 02 0600 17.1 S 148.1 E 930 110 11 FEB 02 1200 17.5 S 146.9 E 930 135 110 Close to Qld coast 11 FEB 02 1800 18.4 S 145.1 E 950 90 Over land 11 FEB 03 0000 19.5 S 142.9 E 980 60 50 JTWC: 19.3S/143.4E 11 FEB 03 0600 20.0 S 141.6 E 998 35 11 FEB 03 1200 20.8 S 140.0 E 991 30 Final BoM advice 11 FEB 03 1800 20.8 S 139.3 E 1000 30 NRL data 11 FEB 04 0000 21.6 S 138.5 E 1000 30 11 FEB 04 0600 22.3 S 137.9 E 1004 25 11 FEB 04 1200 23.3 S 137.5 E 1004 25 11 FEB 04 1800 24.3 S 136.1 E 1004 25 11 FEB 05 0000 24.6 S 135.4 E 1004 25 11 FEB 05 0600 25.2 S 135.0 E 1004 25 11 FEB 05 1200 25.4 S 135.4 E 1004 25 11 FEB 05 1800 25.6 S 135.3 E 1004 25 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ********** SPECIAL NOTE ********** I now have some assistants who are helping to prepare the monthly tropical cyclone files, and I'd like to thank them for their willing- ness to assist me. Kevin Boyle, of Stoke-on-Trent, UK, will be preparing the tracks for Northwest Pacific basin tropical cyclones during the most active part of the NWP season from June through December. Michael Bath, of McLeans Ridges, New South Wales, Australia, is now preparing the track files for Australian Region and South Pacific tropical cyclones. Also, Steve Young sends me tracks with data for the pre-warning and post-warning stages of tropical cyclones in all basins, prepared primarily from NCEP re-analysis data or else taken from NRL files. A very special thanks is due to Kevin, Michael and Steve for their assistance. ************************************************************************* SOURCES OF TROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION The purpose of this section is to list some websites where many and varied types of tropical cyclone information are archived. Many readers will know about these already, but for the benefit of those who don't, I wanted to include them. (1) Aircraft Reconnaissance Information --------------------------------------- Various types of messages from reconnaissance aircraft may be retrieved from the following FTP site: Information regarding how to interpret the coded reconnaissance messages may be found at the following URL: Links are also included to websites with further information about the U. S. Air Force 53rd Weather Reconnaissance Squadron and the NOAA Air- craft Operations Center. (2) Archived Advisories ----------------------- All the advisory products (public advisories, forecast/advisories, strike probabilities, discussions, various graphics) issued by TPC/NHC are archived on TPC's website. For the current year (using 2004 as an example), the archived products can be found at: Links to tropical products archives for earlier years are available at the following URL: JTWC warnings for past storms are archived on the NRL Monterrey website: On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left corner of the screen. I am not aware at the moment of any other TCWC which archives all its tropical cyclone warning/advisory products for public access, but if I learn of any, I will add them to this list. (3) Satellite Imagery --------------------- Satellite images of tropical cyclones in various sensor bands are available on the NRL Monterrey and University of Wisconsin websites, courtesy of Jeff Hawkins and Chris Velden and their associates. The links are: On the NRL site, the link to past years can be found in the upper left corner of the screen. For the CIMSS site, a link to data archives is located in the lower left portion of the screen. Additional tropical satellite imagery, along with looping ability for composite microwave imagery for the Western Hemisphere north of the equator, can be found at: (1) For the Eastern North Pacific: (2) For the Atlantic, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea: (4) Cyclone Tracking Information -------------------------------- There is a U. S. Navy site that tracks tropical cyclones at 6-hourly intervals which often includes pre and post-advisory positions. The link to the site is: Steve Young has compiled many of these tracks onto a single webpage which is very user-friendly: ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com Kevin Boyle michaelpace@btinternet.com Michael Bath mbath@ozemail.com.au SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Steve Young shy9@earthlink.net ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Posted: 04.14.11 for Typhoon2000.com, Typhoon2000.ph, Maybagyo.com