GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - JANUARY 2002 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 NOTE: The tracking information for Northwest Pacific Basin tropical cyclones is based primarily upon operational warnings from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Comparisons were made with track coordinates given in advisories from the meteorological services of Japan (JMA) and the Philippines (PAGASA). In general, whenever the center position differed by more than 40-50 nm from JTWC's, an entry was made in the Remarks column. Michael V. Padua, owner of the Typhoon 2000 webpage, sent me the PAGASA and JMA tracks for the cyclones, and Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sent me the tracks from the National Meteorological Center of China (NMCC) and the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). A special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for their assistance. The 1-min avg MSW were taken from the JTWC advisories while the 10-min avg MSW and central pressure estimates were obtained from JMA's advisories. The 10-min MSW estimates from the other centers follow the primary tracks in a separate table. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm TAPAH (01W / 0201 / AGATON) 09 - 14 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: TAPAH Cyclone Number: 01W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: AGATON JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0201 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 JAN 09 1800 9.3 N 135.8 E 25 JTWC post-storm log 02 JAN 10 0000 9.3 N 135.0 E 25 " 02 JAN 10 0600 9.4 N 134.1 E 25 25 " 02 JAN 10 1200 9.6 N 133.5 E 30 30 First JTWC warning 02 JAN 10 1800 9.9 N 132.4 E 1006 30 30 JMA: 10.4 N, 131.8 E 02 JAN 11 0000 10.0 N 131.7 E 1004 30 30 02 JAN 11 0600 10.8 N 131.0 E 1004 30 30 02 JAN 11 1200 11.2 N 130.0 E 1002 35 30 02 JAN 11 1800 11.5 N 129.1 E 1002 35 30 02 JAN 12 0000 12.1 N 128.0 E 1002 40 30 02 JAN 12 0600 12.5 N 126.9 E 1000 45 35 02 JAN 12 1200 13.8 N 125.4 E 996 50 40 02 JAN 12 1800 14.3 N 124.6 E 1000 45 35 02 JAN 13 0000 14.9 N 123.8 E 1002 45 35 02 JAN 13 0600 15.5 N 123.1 E 1004 40 35 02 JAN 13 1200 16.8 N 122.5 E 1006 40 30 NMCC: 16.0 N, 122.4 E 02 JAN 13 1800 18.0 N 122.2 E 1008 30 25 JMA: 17.0 N, 122.0 E 02 JAN 14 0000 19.1 N 122.1 E 20 Note: The first two 10-min avg MSW values given above were taken from PAGASA's track--the remainder are from JMA. Below are tabulated the 10-min avg MSW estimates from PAGASA, NMCC and HKO. Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts (GMT) PAGASA NMCC HKO --------------------------------------------------- 02 JAN 10 0600 25 02 JAN 10 1200 30 02 JAN 10 1800 30 02 JAN 11 0000 30 02 JAN 11 0600 30 02 JAN 11 1200 30 02 JAN 11 1800 35 02 JAN 12 0000 40 02 JAN 12 0600 45 35 02 JAN 12 1200 50 40 02 JAN 12 1800 45 40 35 02 JAN 13 0000 45 35 35 02 JAN 13 0600 40 35 35 02 JAN 13 1200 35 35 30 02 JAN 13 1800 30 30 02 JAN 14 0000 25 25 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E NOTE: The tracking coordinates, 10-min avg MSW, and estimates of central pressure were obtained from the RSMC La Reunion's (MFR) advisories, while the 1-min avg MSW values were taken from JTWC's warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Severe Tropical Storm CYPRIEN (MFR 05 / 08S) 30 Dec - 03 Jan Intense Tropical Cyclone DINA (MFR 06 / 10S) 17 - 26 Jan Tropical Cyclone EDDY (MFR 07 / 11S) 22 - 28 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CYPRIEN Cyclone Number: 08S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 05 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 DEC 30 0600 20.2 S 37.5 E 1003 25 Locally 30 kts 01 DEC 31 0600 19.8 S 38.2 E 1000 30 25 " 01 DEC 31 1200 19.8 S 38.4 E 1000 25 " 02 JAN 01 0000 19.9 S 40.5 E 998 30 Locally 35 kts E quad 02 JAN 01 0600 20.2 S 41.2 E 995 45 45 02 JAN 01 1200 21.0 S 42.0 E 980 55 02 JAN 01 1800 21.2 S 42.5 E 980 50 55 02 JAN 02 0000 21.3 S 42.9 E 980 55 02 JAN 02 0600 21.8 S 43.1 E 984 45 50 02 JAN 02 1200 22.5 S 43.3 E 987 45 02 JAN 02 1800 22.8 S 43.7 E 985 35 45 Locally 50 kts S quad 02 JAN 03 0000 23.0 S 44.0 E 30 Locally 35 kts S quad 02 JAN 03 0600 21.9 S 44.2 E 30 Note: Bulletin at 30/1200 UTC gave no coordinates for center. Cyprien had made landfall in western Madagascar by 02/1800 UTC. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: DINA Cyclone Number: 10S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 06 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 JAN 17 0600 8.8 S 75.4 E 1002 30 25 30-kt winds locally 02 JAN 17 1200 10.8 S 73.5 E 995 35 02 JAN 17 1800 11.7 S 71.7 E 990 55 45 JTWC: 11.5 S, 72.4 E 02 JAN 18 0000 12.7 S 70.6 E 988 45 02 JAN 18 0600 13.5 S 69.2 E 975 70 60 JTWC: 13.6 S, 69.9 E 02 JAN 18 1200 14.6 S 68.6 E 965 65 02 JAN 18 1800 15.6 S 67.7 E 965 85 70 02 JAN 19 0000 15.9 S 67.3 E 950 80 02 JAN 19 0600 16.2 S 66.8 E 950 90 80 02 JAN 19 1200 16.9 S 66.3 E 955 80 02 JAN 19 1800 17.3 S 65.6 E 955 105 80 02 JAN 20 0000 17.6 S 65.1 E 930 100 02 JAN 20 0600 18.0 S 64.1 E 910 130 115 02 JAN 20 1200 18.3 S 63.3 E 910 115 02 JAN 20 1800 18.5 S 62.5 E 910 130 115 02 JAN 21 0000 18.8 S 61.5 E 910 115 02 JAN 21 0600 18.9 S 60.5 E 920 120 105 02 JAN 21 1200 19.1 S 59.5 E 930 100 02 JAN 21 1800 19.3 S 58.5 E 925 120 100 02 JAN 22 0000 19.4 S 57.3 E 935 100 02 JAN 22 0600 19.6 S 56.7 E 930 120 100 02 JAN 22 1200 20.1 S 55.7 E 930 100 02 JAN 22 1800 20.3 S 54.8 E 930 115 100 02 JAN 23 0000 20.8 S 54.2 E 930 100 02 JAN 23 0600 21.3 S 53.6 E 940 115 90 02 JAN 23 1200 21.8 S 52.9 E 950 85 02 JAN 23 1800 22.8 S 52.9 E 955 100 80 02 JAN 24 0000 24.0 S 52.7 E 960 75 02 JAN 24 0600 24.9 S 52.1 E 966 80 75 JTWC: 25.3 S, 52.7 E 02 JAN 24 1200 26.3 S 52.0 E 972 60 02 JAN 24 1800 27.5 S 52.6 E 975 55 60 Final JTWC warning 02 JAN 25 0000 28.2 S 52.5 E 985 50 02 JAN 25 0600 29.5 S 53.1 E 985 50 02 JAN 25 1200 30.2 S 54.0 E 985 50 02 JAN 25 1800 30.7 S 55.0 E 985 50 Extratropical 02 JAN 26 0000 31.4 S 56.6 E 985 50 02 JAN 26 0600 32.0 S 58.0 E 988 45 02 JAN 26 1200 33.6 S 59.6 E 990 45 Final MFR warning Note: The first bulletin issued by La Reunion, at 16/1200 UTC, did not give any coordinates for the center. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: EDDY Cyclone Number: 11S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 07 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 JAN 22 1200 9.5 S 89.5 E 1005 25 02 JAN 23 0000 10.0 S 89.0 E 1002 25 02 JAN 23 0600 11.8 S 89.3 E 1002 25 Locally 30 kts 02 JAN 23 1200 11.4 S 88.9 E 1000 30 25 " 02 JAN 23 1800 11.8 S 90.1 E 998 30 02 JAN 24 0000 12.0 S 89.8 E 997 30 02 JAN 24 0600 12.2 S 88.3 E 997 30 30 02 JAN 24 1200 11.8 S 87.9 E 995 35 02 JAN 24 1800 13.2 S 88.4 E 995 30 35 02 JAN 25 0000 13.6 S 88.7 E 990 40 02 JAN 25 0600 14.8 S 88.6 E 990 45 40 02 JAN 25 1200 15.5 S 88.4 E 985 50 02 JAN 25 1800 16.0 S 88.9 E 980 55 55 02 JAN 26 0000 17.2 S 89.7 E 976 55 02 JAN 26 0600 18.2 S 89.7 E 966 65 70 02 JAN 26 1200 19.3 S 89.6 E 966 70 02 JAN 26 1800 20.1 S 89.5 E 965 65 65 02 JAN 27 0000 20.8 S 89.2 E 975 55 02 JAN 27 0600 21.2 S 88.6 E 980 60 55 02 JAN 27 1200 21.5 S 87.6 E 982 55 02 JAN 27 1800 22.1 S 86.6 E 985 40 50 02 JAN 28 0000 22.3 S 86.0 E 990 45 02 JAN 28 0600 22.6 S 84.4 E 997 30 30 02 JAN 28 1200 22.8 S 83.3 E 999 25 Locally 30 kts ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E NOTE: The tracking information presented below was obtained from operational warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Brisbane, Queensland, and Darwin, Northern Territory. Also, the central pressure estimates and 10-min avg MSW values were obtained from the Australian centres' warnings while the 1-min avg MSW was taken from JTWC warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone BERNIE (09P) 30 Dec - 06 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: BERNIE Cyclone Number: 09P Basin: AUE Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 DEC 30 2100 11.5 S 137.5 E 1006 See Note 01 DEC 31 0000 11.7 S 137.5 E 1007 01 DEC 31 0600 12.1 S 137.8 E 1004 01 DEC 31 1200 12.2 S 137.9 E 1005 01 DEC 31 1800 12.5 S 137.9 E 1003 01 DEC 31 2230 12.6 S 137.9 E 1003 30 First TC advice 02 JAN 01 0730 13.3 S 138.0 E 1001 30 02 JAN 01 1330 13.5 S 137.8 E 1001 25 30 02 JAN 01 1930 14.0 S 138.8 E 1001 30 02 JAN 01 2100 14.0 S 139.0 E 1001 30 First gale warning 02 JAN 02 0000 14.2 S 139.4 E 1001 30 02 JAN 02 0600 14.7 S 139.3 E 999 30 30 JTWC TCFA at 0800 UTC 02 JAN 02 1200 15.0 S 138.8 E 999 30 02 JAN 02 1800 15.0 S 138.8 E 999 30 02 JAN 02 2100 14.6 S 138.8 E 997 30 Relocated 02 JAN 03 0000 14.6 S 138.8 E 997 30 02 JAN 03 0600 15.0 S 138.9 E 992 30 35 JTWC: 14.3 S, 138.9 E 02 JAN 03 1200 15.2 S 138.9 E 987 45 02 JAN 03 1800 15.5 S 139.0 E 985 45 50 02 JAN 04 0000 15.6 S 139.0 E 985 50 02 JAN 04 0600 16.2 S 139.0 E 985 40 50 02 JAN 04 1200 16.9 S 138.7 E 990 40 02 JAN 04 1800 17.0 S 138.0 E 996 25 25 Inland 02 JAN 05 0000 16.7 S 138.4 E 996 02 JAN 05 0600 17.1 S 138.3 E 998 02 JAN 05 1200 17.4 S 138.0 E 1001 02 JAN 05 1800 17.9 S 137.7 E 1001 02 JAN 06 0000 18.5 S 137.5 E 1003 02 JAN 06 0600 18.8 S 137.4 E 1001 Note: Prior to the first Tropical Cyclone Advice issued by Darwin at 31/2230 UTC, the tracking information is taken from a tentative "best track" of Bernie sent to me by Jeff Callaghan. No MSW estimates were given. The entries above from 05/0000 UTC onward also were taken from the "best track". The remainder of the track sent by Jeff is given below: 01/0000Z 12.7S 137.9E 1003 hPa 01/0600Z 13.1S 138.0E 1001 hPa 01/1200Z 13.7S 138.6E 1001 hPa 01/1800Z 13.8S 138.8E 1001 hPa 02/0000Z 14.2S 139.2E 1001 hPa 02/0600Z 14.4S 139.2E 999 hPa 02/1200Z 14.5S 139.0E 999 hPa 02/1800Z 14.6S 139.0E 998 hPa 03/0000Z 14.6S 139.0E 997 hPa 03/0600Z 14.7S 138.9E 992 hPa 03/1200Z 15.0S 139.0E 987 hPa 03/1800Z 15.3S 139.1E 985 hPa 04/0000Z 15.5S 139.1E 985 hPa 04/0600Z 16.1S 139.0E 988 hPa 04/1200Z 16.5S 138.8E 993 hPa 04/1800Z 16.6S 138.6E 994 hPa ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for South Pacific Basin tropical cyclones was taken from real-time operational warnings issued by the Nadi TCWC, Fiji for positions north of 25S and from the Wellington, New Zealand office for positions south of 25S. Warnings from JTWC were utilized for the purpose of making comparisons and for supplying information for times when the Nadi or Wellington warnings were unavailable. The 10-min avg MSW values were taken from the Fiji or New Zealand warnings while the 1-min avg MSW values were obtained from the JTWC warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (05F) 31 Dec - 07 Jan Tropical Depression (06F) 15 - 16 Jan Tropical Depression (07F) 20 - 27 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 05F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 DEC 31 2100 8.5 S 165.2 E 1002 30 Some associated gales 02 JAN 01 0000 8.8 S 166.0 E 1002 30 " 02 JAN 01 0600 9.0 S 166.2 E 1000 30 " 02 JAN 01 1200 9.2 S 166.5 E 998 30 " 02 JAN 01 1800 9.2 S 166.8 E 998 30 " 02 JAN 02 0000 10.6 S 168.4 E 998 30 " 02 JAN 02 0600 10.8 S 168.4 E 998 30 No gales mentioned 02 JAN 02 2000 10.0 S 168.6 E 998 30 Some associated gales 02 JAN 03 0000 11.0 S 168.7 E 998 30 " 02 JAN 03 0600 11.0 S 168.6 E 998 30 " 02 JAN 03 2300 11.3 S 167.7 E 1000 30 No associated gales 02 JAN 04 0600 11.5 S 167.5 E 1000 30 Some associated gales 02 JAN 04 1200 11.7 S 164.9 E 1000 30 " 02 JAN 04 1800 11.5 S 160.9 E 1002 30 " 02 JAN 04 2100 12.0 S 162.0 E 1002 30 No associated gales 02 JAN 05 0600 12.3 S 165.0 E 1002 30 " 02 JAN 05 1800 12.1 S 161.7 E 1001 30 " 02 JAN 06 0600 14.0 S 159.0 E 1002 30 " 02 JAN 07 0200 13.0 S 157.0 E 1005 25 Brisbane STWO Note: JTWC issued a TCFA for this system at 1130 UTC on 1 January but cancelled it at 02/0600 UTC. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 06F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 JAN 15 0600 20.0 S 159.0 E 1000 30 02 JAN 15 1200 21.0 S 162.0 E 1002 30 Some associated gales 02 JAN 15 1800 22.0 S 161.9 E 1000 30 " 02 JAN 16 0000 22.0 S 163.0 E 1000 30 " 02 JAN 16 0600 21.2 S 163.2 E 1000 30 " 02 JAN 16 2100 25.0 S 167.0 E 1000 25 Strongly sheared ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 07F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 02 JAN 20 2100 16.5 S 175.5 E 1000 30 See Note 02 JAN 21 0600 16.0 S 174.0 E 1000 30 02 JAN 21 1800 17.0 S 173.0 E 1000 30 02 JAN 22 0600 17.0 S 171.0 E 1000 30 02 JAN 22 1800 19.0 S 169.0 E 1000 30 02 JAN 23 2100 19.0 S 165.0 E 999 30 02 JAN 24 2100 19.0 S 165.0 E 998 30 02 JAN 25 2100 17.0 S 167.0 E 998 30 Relocated 02 JAN 26 2100 20.0 S 166.0 E 998 30 02 JAN 27 0600 23.9 S 164.0 E 997 30 02 JAN 27 2100 23.0 S 165.0 E 998 30 Note: The maximum winds directly associated with the depression were not given except at 25/2100 UTC. Separate gale warnings were being issued by Nadi from the 21st through the 24th and by Brisbane on the 24th and 25th for a zone of gales well south of the center between the large depression and a strong anticyclone. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/ advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: In the near future I shall contact the other tropical warning centers to see if I can locate any links to sites where their "best tracks" might be archived. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published 02.20.02 / Typhoon2000.ph