GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - FEBRUARY 2007 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* SOUTHWEST INDIAN OCEAN (SWI) - South Indian Ocean West of Longitude 90E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by Meteo France's Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre on Reunion Island (MFR), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for the basin. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from MFR and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Severe Tropical Storm ENOK (MFR-08 / 13S) 06 - 11 Feb Intense Tropical Cyclone FAVIO (MFR-09 / 14S) 12 - 23 Feb Intense Tropical Cyclone GAMEDE (MFR-10 / 15S) 20 Feb - 04 Mar Tropical Cyclone HUMBA (MFR-11 / 16S) 20 - 28 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ENOK Cyclone Number: 13S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 08 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 07 FEB 06 0000 18.6 S 50.9 E 30 JTWC satellite bulletin 07 FEB 06 0600 19.0 S 50.8 E 25 JTWC & AFWA sat. buls. 07 FEB 06 1200 19.2 S 50.9 E 25 " 07 FEB 06 1800 19.1 S 50.6 E 30 " 07 FEB 07 0000 19.5 S 50.2 E 30 " 07 FEB 07 0600 17.6 S 50.1 E 30 " 07 FEB 07 1200 17.1 S 50.1 E 25 07 FEB 07 1800 16.5 S 50.8 E 25 JTWC satellite bulletin 07 FEB 08 0000 16.2 S 51.0 E 30 " 07 FEB 08 0600 15.6 S 51.7 E 30 AFWA satellite bulletin 07 FEB 08 1200 15.7 S 51.7 E 30 JTWC & AFWA sat. buls. 07 FEB 08 1800 15.9 S 51.8 E 1001 25 Locally 30 kts 07 FEB 09 0000 15.6 S 52.5 E 35 AFWA satellite bulletin 07 FEB 09 0600 15.3 S 53.7 E 1000 35 25 " 07 FEB 09 1200 15.1 S 55.4 E 998 30 07 FEB 09 1800 15.2 S 57.0 E 983 50 50 07 FEB 10 0000 15.8 S 58.8 E 980 60 07 FEB 10 0600 17.0 S 61.0 E 980 55 55 JTWC: 16.9S/60.4E 07 FEB 10 1200 18.0 S 62.4 E 985 55 07 FEB 10 1800 19.1 S 63.2 E 987 45 50 07 FEB 11 0000 20.2 S 63.7 E 987 45 07 FEB 11 0600 21.8 S 64.2 E 992 35 40 07 FEB 11 1200 22.7 S 64.7 E 997 30 07 FEB 11 1800 23.4 S 64.6 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts SE semi. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: FAVIO Cyclone Number: 14S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 09 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 07 FEB 12 0000 10.3 S 70.0 E 1004 30 20 07 FEB 12 0600 11.2 S 69.9 30 JTWC & SAB sat. buls. 07 FEB 12 1200 11.7 S 69.6 E 1002 25 07 FEB 12 1800 11.6 S 69.4 E 1000 25 07 FEB 13 0000 11.7 S 69.6 E 1002 25 07 FEB 13 0600 12.2 S 69.9 E 1001 25 07 FEB 13 1200 12.5 S 69.4 E 1004 25 07 FEB 13 1800 12.8 S 69.0 E 1001 25 Locally 30 kts 07 FEB 14 0000 12.8 S 69.0 E 1001 25 " 07 FEB 14 0600 14.9 S 67.4 E 1001 25 Major relocation 07 FEB 14 1200 15.4 S 66.4 E 1000 35 25 Locally 30 kts 07 FEB 14 1800 15.4 S 66.1 E 998 30 07 FEB 15 0000 16.3 S 65.2 E 996 40 30 07 FEB 15 0600 17.7 S 64.0 E 995 35 07 FEB 15 1200 18.7 S 62.2 E 995 40 35 07 FEB 15 1800 19.7 S 61.6 E 995 35 07 FEB 16 0000 21.3 S 60.3 E 992 35 40 JTWC: 21.2S/61.2E 07 FEB 16 0600 22.1 S 59.8 E 990 40 07 FEB 16 1200 23.2 S 58.4 E 990 45 40 07 FEB 16 1800 23.9 S 57.5 E 990 40 07 FEB 17 0000 24.8 S 56.0 E 990 35 40 07 FEB 17 0600 25.4 S 54.5 E 990 40 07 FEB 17 1200 25.5 S 53.2 E 990 40 45 07 FEB 17 1800 26.1 S 52.0 E 987 45 07 FEB 18 0000 25.9 S 50.3 E 987 45 45 07 FEB 18 0600 26.3 S 49.1 E 985 50 07 FEB 18 1200 26.6 S 48.1 E 980 45 55 07 FEB 18 1800 26.7 S 47.4 E 980 55 07 FEB 19 0000 26.6 S 46.6 E 970 60 60 07 FEB 19 0600 26.5 S 46.1 E 970 65 07 FEB 19 1200 26.6 S 45.3 E 964 65 70 07 FEB 19 1800 26.4 S 44.7 E 960 70 07 FEB 20 0000 25.8 S 43.7 E 955 80 80 07 FEB 20 0600 25.4 S 42.8 E 945 90 07 FEB 20 1200 25.2 S 41.8 E 935 105 100 07 FEB 20 1800 25.0 S 41.0 E 930 100 07 FEB 21 0000 24.5 S 39.9 E 930 125 100 07 FEB 21 0600 24.1 S 38.9 E 930 100 07 FEB 21 1200 23.8 S 38.1 E 940 100 95 07 FEB 21 1800 23.3 S 37.0 E 940 90 07 FEB 22 0000 23.0 S 36.2 E 940 110 90 07 FEB 22 0600 22.3 S 35.7 E 935 95 07 FEB 22 1200 21.7 S 35.0 E 935 90 90 07 FEB 22 1800 20.7 S 34.4 E 60 Inland in Mozambique 07 FEB 23 0000 20.1 S 34.1 E 55 40 07 FEB 23 0600 19.7 S 33.8 E 30 07 FEB 23 1200 19.1 S 32.6 E 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: GAMEDE Cyclone Number: 15S Basin: SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 10 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 07 FEB 20 1200 14.8 S 74.8 E 1000 25 Locally 30 kts to south 07 FEB 20 1800 14.8 S 73.9 E 998 30 07 FEB 21 0000 14.4 S 72.6 E 997 30 07 FEB 21 0600 14.2 S 70.8 E 993 35 40 07 FEB 21 1200 13.9 S 69.5 E 993 40 07 FEB 21 1800 13.8 S 68.5 E 990 45 40 JTWC: 14.2S/67.8E 07 FEB 22 0000 14.0 S 67.2 E 990 40 07 FEB 22 0600 14.3 S 65.0 E 980 65 55 07 FEB 22 1200 14.8 S 63.8 E 975 60 07 FEB 22 1800 15.3 S 62.9 E 976 80 60 07 FEB 23 0000 15.5 S 62.3 E 968 65 07 FEB 23 0600 16.1 S 60.6 E 966 90 70 07 FEB 23 1200 16.4 S 59.6 E 958 70 07 FEB 23 1800 16.7 S 58.7 E 956 100 75 07 FEB 24 0000 17.1 S 58.0 E 956 75 07 FEB 24 0600 17.6 S 57.3 E 955 90 75 07 FEB 24 1200 18.2 S 56.6 E 945 85 07 FEB 24 1800 18.4 S 55.9 E 945 90 85 07 FEB 25 0000 18.8 S 55.1 E 945 85 07 FEB 25 0600 18.7 S 54.2 E 955 90 80 07 FEB 25 1200 18.3 S 54.0 E 950 80 07 FEB 25 1800 18.5 S 53.9 E 935 105 95 07 FEB 26 0000 18.4 S 53.5 E 935 95 07 FEB 26 0600 18.4 S 53.0 E 935 95 95 07 FEB 26 1200 18.3 S 52.8 E 940 90 07 FEB 26 1800 18.3 S 52.8 E 940 90 90 07 FEB 27 0000 18.7 S 53.0 E 945 85 07 FEB 27 0600 19.5 S 52.9 E 950 85 85 07 FEB 27 1200 20.3 S 52.8 E 950 80 07 FEB 27 1800 21.3 S 52.7 E 958 75 75 JTWC: 21.1S/52.3E 07 FEB 28 0000 22.8 S 52.3 E 965 65 07 FEB 28 0600 23.9 S 51.5 E 965 75 65 07 FEB 28 1200 25.3 S 50.7 E 965 65 07 FEB 28 1800 26.5 S 50.4 E 964 75 70 07 MAR 01 0000 27.6 S 50.2 E 963 70 07 MAR 01 0600 28.5 S 49.9 E 966 70 65 07 MAR 01 1200 30.0 S 49.0 E 970 60 07 MAR 01 1800 30.1 S 48.6 E 980 50 60 07 MAR 02 0000 30.5 S 48.4 E 980 50 07 MAR 02 0600 31.6 S 48.8 E 980 50 50 07 MAR 02 1200 32.1 S 48.8 E 973 50 Extratropical 07 MAR 02 1800 32.2 S 49.4 E 973 45 Locally 50 kts S quads 07 MAR 03 0000 32.5 S 49.6 E 975 45 " 07 MAR 03 0600 33.2 S 50.0 E 980 45 07 MAR 03 1200 33.1 S 49.9 E 980 45 07 MAR 03 1800 33.0 S 50.0 E 980 45 07 MAR 04 0000 33.0 S 49.7 E 980 45 07 MAR 04 0600 32.5 S 49.7 E 980 45 07 MAR 04 1200 32.4 S 49.7 E 980 45 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: HUMBA Cyclone Number: 16S Basin: AUW/SWI MFR Tropical Disturbance Number: 11 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 07 FEB 20 2100 10.0 S 92.0 E 1000 30 BoM Perth warnings 07 FEB 20 2300 9.6 S 91.3 E 1004 30 07 FEB 21 0500 9.7 S 90.0 E 1002 30 07 FEB 21 1200 10.5 S 88.5 E 1001 35 25 MFR/Locally 30 kts to S 07 FEB 21 1800 10.8 S 86.5 E 1000 25 " 07 FEB 22 0000 10.9 S 85.5 E 999 35 25 " 07 FEB 22 0600 11.3 S 84.8 E 998 30 07 FEB 22 1200 11.8 S 83.9 E 997 35 30 07 FEB 22 1800 12.3 S 82.9 E 997 30 07 FEB 23 0000 12.8 S 82.5 E 997 45 30 07 FEB 23 0600 12.9 S 81.7 E 995 35 07 FEB 23 1200 13.8 S 81.4 E 987 55 45 07 FEB 23 1800 14.6 S 80.6 E 983 50 07 FEB 24 0000 15.3 S 79.8 E 983 65 50 07 FEB 24 0600 15.6 S 79.7 E 980 55 07 FEB 24 1200 16.4 S 79.5 E 975 65 60 07 FEB 24 1800 17.4 S 79.8 E 975 60 07 FEB 25 0000 18.4 S 79.4 E 966 70 65 07 FEB 25 0600 19.6 S 79.0 E 960 75 07 FEB 25 1200 20.1 S 78.2 E 960 70 75 JTWC: 20.5S/78.4E 07 FEB 25 1800 20.5 S 77.2 E 966 70 07 FEB 26 0000 21.8 S 77.6 E 974 45 60 JTWC: 22.2S/77.8E 07 FEB 26 0600 22.5 S 77.4 E 980 50 07 FEB 26 1200 23.2 S 77.4 E 980 50 50 JTWC: 23.9S/78.1E 07 FEB 26 1800 24.4 S 78.0 E 985 50 07 FEB 27 0000 25.2 S 78.7 E 985 50 Locally 60 kts to S 07 FEB 27 0600 26.0 S 78.9 E 990 45 Extratropical 07 FEB 27 1200 27.8 S 79.2 E 990 45 Locally 50 kts to S 07 FEB 27 1800 29.1 S 79.2 E 985 45 " 07 FEB 28 0000 29.8 S 78.9 E 975 45 " 07 FEB 28 0600 29.8 S 78.0 E 980 45 " 07 FEB 28 1200 29.8 S 78.3 E 980 45 " Note: The drop in the MSW at 21/1200 UTC reflects differing analyses by BoM Perth and RSMC La Reunion, respectively. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST AUSTRALIA/CORAL SEA (AUE) - Longitude 135E to 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Darwin, Northern Territory; Brisbane, Queensland; and Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Australian centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Cyclone NELSON (12P) 31 Jan - 07 Feb Monsoon LOW 05 - 08 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: NELSON Cyclone Number: 12P Basin: AUE (Name assigned by Brisbane TCWC) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 07 JAN 31 0600 11.3 S 135.6 E 1001 25 07 JAN 31 1200 11.0 S 136.6 E 1001 25 07 JAN 31 1800 11.1 S 137.1 E 1001 25 07 FEB 01 0000 11.1 S 137.4 E 1000 30 07 FEB 01 0600 11.6 S 138.0 E 998 30 07 FEB 01 1200 12.5 S 138.5 E 998 30 07 FEB 01 1800 13.7 S 139.2 E 998 25 07 FEB 02 0000 13.3 S 140.1 E 997 30 07 FEB 02 0600 14.0 S 138.0 E 998 25 07 FEB 02 1200 14.5 S 137.9 E 998 25 07 FEB 02 1800 14.5 S 138.1 E 998 25 07 FEB 03 0000 14.8 S 137.8 E 999 25 07 FEB 03 0600 14.9 S 137.7 E 998 25 07 FEB 03 1200 15.1 S 137.6 E 998 25 07 FEB 03 1800 15.5 S 137.9 E 998 25 07 FEB 04 0000 15.6 S 137.4 E 1000 25 07 FEB 04 0600 15.9 S 137.2 E 999 25 07 FEB 04 1200 15.7 S 137.1 E 999 25 07 FEB 04 1800 15.7 S 136.9 E 998 25 07 FEB 05 0000 15.8 S 137.2 E 999 25 07 FEB 05 0600 15.7 S 137.3 E 996 25 07 FEB 05 1200 15.7 S 137.7 E 998 25 07 FEB 05 1800 15.8 S 138.2 E 995 30 07 FEB 05 2100 15.8 S 139.0 E 992 35 07 FEB 06 0000 15.9 S 139.8 E 990 35 40 JTWC: 16.0S/139.2E 07 FEB 06 0600 16.1 S 140.5 E 990 40 07 FEB 06 1200 16.4 S 140.4 E 985 45 50 07 FEB 06 1800 16.5 S 141.3 E 980 55 07 FEB 07 0000 16.5 S 142.0 E 992 35 35 Inland 07 FEB 07 0300 16.4 S 142.3 E 995 30 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: AUE (NRL Invest 90P) Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 07 FEB 05 1800 16.8 S 147.4 E 1000 30 07 FEB 06 0000 16.7 S 147.6 E 999 30 07 FEB 06 0600 17.5 S 148.6 E 998 25 07 FEB 07 0300 17.0 S 146.5 E 999 30 Relocation or new LLCC 07 FEB 07 0600 17.5 S 147.0 E 996 40 07 FEB 07 1200 18.0 S 148.0 E 996 40 07 FEB 07 1800 18.2 S 148.1 E 995 45 07 FEB 08 0000 19.5 S 149.5 E 995 45 07 FEB 08 0600 20.4 S 151.7 E 995 45 Sec. LOW: 16.5S/148.2E 07 FEB 08 1200 20.7 S 152.0 E 996 40 07 FEB 08 1800 20.3 S 152.5 E 997 40 Note: System was not a tropical cyclone, but rather a monsoon LOW. The warning issued by BoM Brisband at 09/0000 UTC was a cancellation of the gale warning as winds had eased below 34 kts. No position was given. The series of gale warnings commencing at 05/1800 UTC were terminated at 06/0600 UTC. It seems likely that the low-level center referenced beginning at 07/0300 UTC was a new formation. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates as well as the central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were obtained from warnings issued by the Tropical Cyclone Warning Centres at Nadi, Fiji, and Wellington, New Zealand. The 1-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates were taken from warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The center position coordinates from JTWC were compared with those from the Southern Hemisphere centres and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (09F / 11P) 01 - 05 Feb ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 11P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 09F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 07 FEB 01 2100 10.0 S 177.0 E 1003 20 07 FEB 02 0600 11.0 S 178.0 E 1002 25 07 FEB 02 2100 11.8 S 175.0 E 1002 25 07 FEB 03 0000 12.2 S 175.2 E 1000 30 07 FEB 03 0600 12.9 S 176.6 E 1000 30 07 FEB 03 1200 13.4 S 175.7 E 1000 30 07 FEB 03 1800 15.0 S 176.0 E 1000 30 07 FEB 04 0000 16.2 S 178.4 E 998 35 30 JTWC: 14.8S/177.3E 07 FEB 04 0600 17.4 S 180.0 E 997 30 07 FEB 04 1200 18.0 S 179.5 W 997 35 30 JTWC: 17.9S/178.6W 07 FEB 04 1800 20.0 S 177.5 W 997 30 07 FEB 05 0000 22.1 S 174.9 W 997 30 30 JTWC: 20.7S/174.4W 07 FEB 05 0600 22.2 S 171.8 W 30 AFWA: 21.3S/173.1W 07 FEB 05 1200 22.3 S 168.9 W 25 AFWA: 20.6S/170.0W Note: The final two positions were the fixes provided in satellite bulletins from JTWC. The corresponding AFWA fix positions are given in the Remarks column. The final AFWA fix at 05/1731 UTC was 20.3S/167.5W. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Posted: 03.07.07 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com