GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - DECEMBER 2001 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 NOTE: The tracking information for Northwest Pacific Basin tropical cyclones is based primarily upon operational warnings from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center of the U.S. Air Force and Navy at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. Comparisons were made with track coordinates given in advisories from the meteorological services of Japan (JMA) and the Philippines (PAGASA). In general, whenever the center position differed by more than 40-50 nm from JTWC's, an entry was made in the Remarks column. Michael V. Padua, owner of the Typhoon 2000 webpage, sent me the PAGASA and JMA tracks for the cyclones, and Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sent me the tracks from the National Meteorological Center of China (NMCC) and the Hong Kong Observatory (HKO). A special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for their assistance. The 1-min avg MSW were taken from the JTWC advisories while the 10-min avg MSW and central pressure estimates were obtained from JMA's advisories. The 10-min MSW estimates from the other centers follow the primary tracks in a separate table. NOTE: Typhoon Vamei (32W) briefly re-intensified in the Bay of Bengal, prompting the issuance of three warnings by JTWC. A new number (05B) was assigned, but the name was retained in the JTWC warnings. The entire track for Vamei is included in the section for NWP basin tracks. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm KAJIKI (30W / 0124 / QUEDAN) 04 - 09 Dec Super Typhoon FAXAI (31W / 0125) 10 - 26 Dec Typhoon VAMEI (32W / 0126 / 05B) 26 - 31 Dec ************************************************************************* Storm Name: KAJIKI Cyclone Number: 30W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: QUEDAN JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0124 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 DEC 04 0000 9.4 N 131.6 E 30 PAGASA Warning 01 DEC 04 0600 10.1 N 129.4 E 1002 25 30 PAGASA: 9.4 N, 131.6 E 01 DEC 04 1200 10.1 N 128.3 E 1004 25 30 PAGASA: 11.8 N, 128.3 E 01 DEC 04 1800 10.1 N 127.3 E 1002 25 30 PAGASA: 11.0 N, 127.8 E 01 DEC 05 0000 10.2 N 126.2 E 1002 30 30 PAGASA: 10.8 N, 127.1 E 01 DEC 05 0600 10.7 N 124.9 E 998 30 35 Over Leyte island 01 DEC 05 1200 10.8 N 123.7 E 998 35 35 Near Cebu and Negros 01 DEC 05 1800 11.2 N 122.8 E 996 30 40 Over eastern Panay 01 DEC 06 0000 11.3 N 121.7 E 998 35 35 In Sulu Sea 01 DEC 06 0600 11.3 N 121.4 E 998 35 35 01 DEC 06 1200 11.7 N 120.4 E 998 35 35 01 DEC 06 1800 11.9 N 119.4 E 998 35 35 Near Calamian Group 01 DEC 07 0000 12.0 N 117.9 E 998 35 35 01 DEC 07 0600 12.3 N 116.6 E 996 35 35 01 DEC 07 1200 13.2 N 115.3 E 996 35 35 NMCC: 12.8 N, 116.2 E 01 DEC 07 1800 12.7 N 114.3 E 996 35 35 JMA: 13.3 N, 115.0 E 01 DEC 08 0000 12.9 N 113.8 E 996 30 35 01 DEC 08 0600 13.3 N 112.7 E 996 30 35 01 DEC 08 1200 13.5 N 112.0 E 1002 30 30 01 DEC 08 1800 13.4 N 111.4 E 1002 25 25 JMA: 13.0 N, 113.0 E 01 DEC 09 0000 12.7 N 111.5 E 25 Note: The information for 04/0600 through 04/1800 UTC was taken from the JMV file prepared by JTWC. The first JTWC warning was issued on TD-30W at 05/0000 UTC. Center position coordinates from the various warning agencies agreed rather well, especially notable for a weak tropical storm. The 10-min avg MSW values given above were taken from JMA's warnings. The corresponding estimates from NMCC, HKO, and PAGASA are tabulated below: Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts (GMT) NMCC HKO PAGASA -------------------------------------------------- 01 DEC 04 0000 30 01 DEC 04 0600 30 01 DEC 04 1200 35 01 DEC 04 1800 35 01 DEC 05 0000 40 01 DEC 05 0600 35 25 45 01 DEC 05 1200 35 30 45 01 DEC 05 1800 35 30 45 01 DEC 06 0000 35 30 45 01 DEC 06 0600 35 30 45 01 DEC 06 1200 35 30 45 01 DEC 06 1800 35 30 45 01 DEC 07 0000 35 30 45 01 DEC 07 0600 35 35 45 01 DEC 07 1200 35 35 40 01 DEC 07 1800 35 35 01 DEC 08 0000 35 35 01 DEC 08 0600 35 35 01 DEC 08 1200 35 35 01 DEC 08 1800 30 01 DEC 09 0000 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: FAXAI Cyclone Number: 31W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0125 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 DEC 10 1200 4.8 N 155.0 E 20 From JMV File 01 DEC 10 1800 5.0 N 155.4 E 25 " 01 DEC 11 0000 5.6 N 155.8 E 25 " 01 DEC 11 0600 5.8 N 155.5 E 25 " 01 DEC 11 1200 5.4 N 155.4 E 25 " 01 DEC 11 1800 5.8 N 155.3 E 25 First JTWC Warning 01 DEC 12 0000 4.8 N 157.0 E 1006 25 25 JMA: 4.0 N, 158.0 E 01 DEC 12 0600 4.5 N 159.2 E 1004 25 30 01 DEC 12 1200 5.2 N 159.4 E 1004 30 30 01 DEC 12 1800 5.6 N 159.4 E 1004 35 30 01 DEC 13 0000 6.1 N 160.8 E 1006 25 30 JMA: 6.2 N, 160.0 E 01 DEC 13 0600 5.0 N 162.3 E 1006 25 25 JMA: 4.0 N, 160.0 E 01 DEC 13 1200 4.5 N 163.1 E 1008 25 25 JMA: 3.0 N, 161.0 E 01 DEC 13 1800 4.7 N 162.1 E 1006 25 25 01 DEC 14 0000 5.1 N 162.4 E 1006 30 25 01 DEC 14 0600 5.3 N 162.2 E 1006 30 25 JMA: 5.0 N, 161.0 E 01 DEC 14 1200 5.2 N 162.2 E 1004 30 25 JMA: 5.0 N, 161.0 E 01 DEC 14 1800 5.1 N 162.0 E 1002 30 25 01 DEC 15 0000 5.0 N 162.0 E 1002 35 25 JMA: 5.0 N, 163.0 E 01 DEC 15 0600 5.0 N 162.2 E 1000 35 25 01 DEC 15 1200 5.2 N 162.6 E 1002 35 25 01 DEC 15 1800 5.3 N 161.9 E 1000 35 25 01 DEC 16 0000 5.3 N 161.1 E 1000 35 30 01 DEC 16 0600 5.3 N 161.7 E 1000 35 30 01 DEC 16 1200 5.5 N 161.6 E 1000 35 30 01 DEC 16 1800 5.6 N 161.6 E 998 35 35 01 DEC 17 0000 5.6 N 161.6 E 998 35 35 01 DEC 17 0600 5.9 N 161.4 E 996 40 40 01 DEC 17 1200 6.0 N 161.2 E 996 45 40 01 DEC 17 1800 5.9 N 161.1 E 992 55 40 01 DEC 18 0000 6.0 N 161.0 E 992 55 40 01 DEC 18 0600 5.8 N 161.1 E 992 55 40 01 DEC 18 1200 5.8 N 161.4 E 990 55 40 01 DEC 18 1800 5.7 N 162.1 E 990 55 40 NMCC: 5.7 N, 161.3 E 01 DEC 19 0000 6.2 N 162.1 E 990 60 45 01 DEC 19 0600 6.2 N 162.3 E 990 55 45 01 DEC 19 1200 6.2 N 162.3 E 990 55 45 01 DEC 19 1800 6.3 N 162.3 E 990 50 45 01 DEC 20 0000 6.9 N 161.7 E 990 45 45 01 DEC 20 0600 7.7 N 160.7 E 985 55 50 01 DEC 20 1200 8.1 N 159.8 E 985 60 50 01 DEC 20 1800 8.7 N 158.8 E 980 65 55 01 DEC 21 0000 9.1 N 158.2 E 970 75 65 01 DEC 21 0600 9.7 N 157.7 E 965 80 70 01 DEC 21 1200 10.5 N 156.8 E 955 105 75 01 DEC 21 1800 10.9 N 155.9 E 945 120 85 01 DEC 22 0000 11.6 N 155.0 E 935 135 90 01 DEC 22 0600 12.3 N 153.9 E 925 140 95 01 DEC 22 1200 13.1 N 152.7 E 920 140 100 01 DEC 22 1800 13.9 N 151.5 E 920 150 100 01 DEC 23 0000 14.7 N 150.2 E 915 155 105 01 DEC 23 0600 15.6 N 149.1 E 920 150 100 01 DEC 23 1200 16.3 N 148.1 E 940 140 90 01 DEC 23 1800 17.3 N 147.2 E 950 125 80 01 DEC 24 0000 18.2 N 146.6 E 950 115 80 01 DEC 24 0600 19.1 N 146.2 E 950 115 80 01 DEC 24 1200 20.1 N 146.3 E 955 105 75 NMCC: 20.3 N, 146.8 E 01 DEC 24 1800 21.6 N 147.2 E 960 95 70 01 DEC 25 0000 23.3 N 149.0 E 965 85 65 01 DEC 25 0600 25.2 N 151.4 E 970 75 60 01 DEC 25 1200 27.1 N 153.9 E 980 70 55 JMA: 27.5 N, 154.4 E 01 DEC 25 1800 29.1 N 158.1 E 985 65 50 JMA: 29.6 N, 159.1 E 01 DEC 26 0000 31.8 N 162.3 E 990 45 Extratropical 01 DEC 26 0600 33.0 N 167.0 E 1000 35 01 DEC 26 1200 34.0 N 172.0 E 1008 35 Note: The NMCC coordinates for 25/1800 UTC were 30.2 N, 159.7 E. The data for the last three entries were taken from JMA's High Seas bulletins. Other than JTWC and JMA, the only other warning center issuing warnings on Super Typhoon Faxai was NMCC. The 10-min avg MSW estimates from NMCC are tabulated below: Date Time Estimated 10-min avg MSW in kts (GMT) NMCC -------------------------------------------------- 01 DEC 16 1800 35 01 DEC 17 0000 35 01 DEC 17 0600 35 01 DEC 17 1200 35 01 DEC 17 1800 40 01 DEC 18 0000 40 01 DEC 18 0600 40 01 DEC 18 1200 40 01 DEC 18 1800 40 01 DEC 19 0000 40 01 DEC 19 0600 40 01 DEC 19 1200 40 01 DEC 19 1800 40 01 DEC 20 0000 45 01 DEC 20 0600 45 01 DEC 20 1200 45 01 DEC 20 1800 50 01 DEC 21 0000 60 01 DEC 21 0600 70 01 DEC 21 1200 70 01 DEC 21 1800 80 01 DEC 22 0000 100 01 DEC 22 0600 110 01 DEC 22 1200 120 01 DEC 22 1800 120 01 DEC 23 0000 130 01 DEC 23 0600 110 01 DEC 23 1200 110 01 DEC 23 1800 100 01 DEC 24 0000 100 01 DEC 24 0600 100 01 DEC 24 1200 90 01 DEC 24 1800 80 01 DEC 25 0000 70 01 DEC 25 0600 60 01 DEC 25 1200 55 01 DEC 25 1800 50 01 DEC 26 0000 40 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: VAMEI Cyclone Number: 32W/05B Basin: NWP/NIO PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0126 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 DEC 26 1200 1.4 N 106.5 E 25 01 DEC 26 1800 1.5 N 105.8 E 35 01 DEC 27 0000 1.5 N 105.2 E 45 First JTWC Wrng on 32W 01 DEC 27 0600 1.5 N 104.4 E 75 40 01 DEC 27 1200 1.6 N 103.9 E 45 35 Inland in SE Malaysia 01 DEC 27 1800 1.7 N 103.1 E 40 35 01 DEC 28 0000 1.6 N 102.0 E 30 30 In Strait of Malacca 01 DEC 28 0600 1.7 N 101.4 E 30 25 Over Sumatra 01 DEC 28 1200 1.9 N 100.6 E 25 Final JTWC Wrng on 32W 01 DEC 29 1800 3.6 N 95.4 E 1005 20 STWO for North Indian 01 DEC 30 1800 5.3 N 90.8 E 1004 30 First JTWC Wrng on 05B 01 DEC 31 0600 5.0 N 90.9 E 35 01 DEC 31 1800 3.4 N 90.5 E 30 Final JTWC Wrng on 05B Note: No warning agencies other than JTWC and JMA issued warnings on Vamei. I have not included the central pressure estimates from JMA's warnings since all were 1008 mb or higher, while ship reports available to JTWC clearly indicated that the cyclone was a typhoon. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* SOUTH PACIFIC (SPA) - South Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 160E NOTE: The tracking and intensity information for South Pacific Basin tropical cyclones was taken from real-time operational warnings issued by the Nadi TCWC, Fiji for positions north of 25S and from the Wellington, New Zealand office for positions south of 25S. Warnings from JTWC were utilized for the purpose of making comparisons and for supplying information for times when the Nadi or Wellington warnings were unavailable. The 10-min avg MSW values were taken from the Fiji or New Zealand warnings while the 1-min avg MSW values were obtained from the JTWC warnings. Alipate Waqaicelua, Chief Forecaster at the Nadi TCWC, sent me the tracks for Tropical Cyclones Vicky and Waka, as well as for Trina in late November. A special thanks to Alipate for sending me this information. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Depression (02F) 08 - 15 Dec Tropical Cyclone VICKY (04F) 22 - 26 Dec Tropical Cyclone WAKA (03F / 07P) 19 Dec - 05 Jan ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 02F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 DEC 08 1800 18.0 S 179.0 W 1000 25 01 DEC 09 2100 18.0 S 179.0 E 1002 25 01 DEC 10 0600 17.5 S 179.0 E 1000 25 01 DEC 10 1800 17.0 S 178.0 E 1002 25 System now cold-cored 01 DEC 13 2100 19.0 S 175.0 E 1002 25 Redeveloped 01 DEC 14 1800 19.0 S 176.0 E 1002 25 01 DEC 15 0600 20.0 S 179.0 E 1002 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: VICKY Cyclone Number: None Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 04F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 DEC 22 1800 13.7 S 157.2 W 1004 25 01 DEC 23 0000 13.7 S 157.4 W 1004 25 01 DEC 23 0600 13.7 S 157.4 W 1004 25 01 DEC 23 1200 13.9 S 157.0 W 1004 25 01 DEC 23 1800 12.9 S 157.2 W 1003 25 Relocation 01 DEC 24 0000 12.6 S 156.9 W 998 30 JTWC issued TCFA 01 DEC 24 0600 12.8 S 157.0 W 995 35 01 DEC 24 1200 12.5 S 157.5 W 995 35 01 DEC 24 1800 13.7 S 157.2 W 995 35 01 DEC 25 0000 14.6 S 157.1 W 999 30 JTWC issued 2nd TCFA 01 DEC 25 0600 14.7 S 157.4 W 1002 25 01 DEC 25 1800 15.8 S 157.2 W 1002 25 Some associated gales 01 DEC 26 0000 16.4 S 157.5 W 1002 25 " 01 DEC 26 0600 17.1 S 157.5 W 1004 20 " 01 DEC 26 1200 17.1 S 157.5 W 1004 20 " Note: The associated gales noted after Vicky was downgraded were confined to a boundary well northeast of the center. JTWC did not issue any warnings on this system; hence, there are no 1-min avg MSW estimates. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: WAKA Cyclone Number: 07P Basin: SPA Fiji Tropical Disturbance Number: 03F Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 01 DEC 19 2100 11.0 S 171.0 E 1002 25 01 DEC 20 1200 11.5 S 172.0 E 1000 30 01 DEC 20 1800 11.5 S 172.3 E 1000 30 JTWC issued TCFA 01 DEC 21 0000 11.5 S 172.5 E 1000 30 01 DEC 21 0600 14.0 S 174.0 E 1000 30 Relocation 01 DEC 21 1200 14.4 S 174.5 E 1000 30 01 DEC 21 1800 14.5 S 174.8 E 1000 30 JTWC issued 2nd TCFA 01 DEC 22 0000 15.0 S 175.0 E 1000 30 01 DEC 22 0600 15.0 S 175.0 E 1000 30 01 DEC 22 1200 15.0 S 175.5 E 1000 30 01 DEC 22 2100 16.5 S 175.0 E 1004 25 JTWC cancelled TCFA 01 DEC 23 0600 16.5 S 179.5 E 1003 25 01 DEC 23 2100 17.0 S 179.0 W 1003 25 01 DEC 24 2100 15.0 S 176.5 W 1003 25 01 DEC 25 2100 14.0 S 177.0 W 1003 25 01 DEC 26 0600 14.0 S 177.0 W 1002 25 01 DEC 27 0000 12.5 S 177.5 W 1004 25 Some associated gales 01 DEC 27 0600 11.8 S 178.0 W 1002 25 " 01 DEC 27 1200 12.0 S 175.0 W 1002 25 " 01 DEC 27 1800 12.0 S 175.5 W 1001 25 " 01 DEC 28 0000 11.7 S 175.5 W 1001 25 " 01 DEC 28 0600 11.4 S 176.4 W 1001 25 " 01 DEC 28 1200 10.6 S 175.0 W 1001 25 " 01 DEC 28 1800 10.5 S 175.4 W 1000 30 " 01 DEC 29 0000 10.9 S 174.0 W 997 30 30 " 01 DEC 29 0600 11.4 S 174.5 W 995 35 Upgraded to TC Waka 01 DEC 29 1200 11.9 S 174.8 W 990 35 40 01 DEC 29 1800 12.5 S 175.7 W 985 50 01 DEC 30 0000 13.1 S 176.1 W 980 65 55 01 DEC 30 0600 13.4 S 176.0 W 975 60 01 DEC 30 1200 14.3 S 175.8 W 960 90 75 01 DEC 30 1800 15.0 S 175.8 W 955 80 01 DEC 31 0000 16.1 S 175.6 W 945 100 85 01 DEC 31 0600 17.3 S 174.6 W 940 90 01 DEC 31 1200 18.7 S 174.1 W 935 100 90 JTWC: 18.3 S, 174.2 W 01 DEC 31 1800 20.4 S 172.7 W 930 95 02 JAN 01 0000 21.9 S 171.5 W 940 90 90 JTWC: 22.1 S, 171.1 W 02 JAN 01 0600 23.9 S 169.6 W 950 80 02 JAN 01 1200 25.6 S 168.5 W 965 65 70 Wrngs from Wellington 02 JAN 01 1700 27.5 S 167.8 W 980 55 02 JAN 02 0000 29.5 S 168.0 W 980 50 55 02 JAN 02 0500 30.5 S 167.5 W 984 55 Extratropical 02 JAN 02 1100 31.0 S 167.0 W 984 55 02 JAN 02 1700 32.0 S 167.0 W 990 55 02 JAN 02 2300 32.0 S 167.0 W 990 50 02 JAN 03 0500 32.0 S 166.0 W 990 60 02 JAN 03 1100 32.0 S 166.0 W 990 55 02 JAN 03 1700 33.0 S 166.5 W 989 55 02 JAN 03 2300 33.5 S 165.5 W 990 50 02 JAN 04 0500 35.0 S 165.0 W 985 45 02 JAN 04 1100 36.0 S 164.0 W 985 45 02 JAN 04 1700 38.0 S 165.0 W 984 35 02 JAN 04 2300 40.0 S 163.5 W 986 35 02 JAN 05 0500 43.0 S 162.0 W 989 35 Note: The JTWC position at 01/1200 UTC was 25.6 S, 169.2 W. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! It has been brought to my attention that I should repeat in the cyclone tracks file the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries. The tropical cyclone tracks which I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/ advisories/advices/bulletins from the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: In the near future I shall contact the other tropical warning centers to see if I can locate any links to sites where their "best tracks" might be archived. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published 01.21.02 / Typhoon2000.ph