GARY PADGETT'S GLOBAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACKS - AUGUST 2004 !!!! IMPORTANT -- PLEASE SEE NOTE AT END OF FILE !!!! ************************************************************************* ATLANTIC (ATL) - North Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center located in Miami, Florida. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Hurricane ALEX (01) 31 Jul - 07 Aug Tropical Storm BONNIE (02) 03 - 14 Aug Hurricane CHARLEY (03) 09 - 16 Aug Hurricane DANIELLE (04) 13 - 24 Aug Tropical Storm EARL (05) 13 - 16 Aug Hurricane FRANCES (06) 25 Aug - 10 Sep Tropical Storm GASTON (07) 27 Aug - 02 Sep Tropical Storm HERMINE (08) 29 - 31 Aug ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ALEX Cyclone Number: 01 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 JUL 31 1800 30.3 N 78.3 W 1010 25 04 AUG 01 0000 31.0 N 78.8 W 1009 25 04 AUG 01 0600 31.8 N 79.0 W 1009 25 04 AUG 01 1200 31.9 N 79.2 W 1011 30 04 AUG 01 1800 31.7 N 79.1 W 1010 35 04 AUG 02 0000 31.5 N 79.2 W 1007 35 04 AUG 02 0600 31.4 N 79.5 W 992 35 04 AUG 02 1200 31.3 N 79.0 W 993 50 04 AUG 02 1800 31.8 N 78.7 W 993 50 04 AUG 03 0000 32.4 N 78.2 W 987 55 04 AUG 03 0600 33.0 N 77.4 W 983 65 04 AUG 03 1200 34.1 N 76.4 W 973 80 04 AUG 03 1800 35.3 N 75.2 W 972 85 Very near Cape Hatteras 04 AUG 04 0000 36.0 N 73.8 W 973 85 04 AUG 04 0600 36.8 N 72.0 W 973 80 04 AUG 04 1200 37.4 N 70.0 W 979 75 04 AUG 04 1800 37.7 N 68.3 W 970 90 04 AUG 05 0000 38.5 N 66.0 W 957 105 04 AUG 05 0600 39.5 N 63.1 W 957 105 04 AUG 05 1200 40.8 N 59.6 W 957 105 04 AUG 05 1800 42.7 N 55.0 W 970 90 04 AUG 06 0000 44.3 N 50.1 W 981 75 04 AUG 06 0600 46.1 N 44.2 W 984 65 04 AUG 06 1200 47.0 N 37.5 W 987 50 Last NHC advisory 04 AUG 06 1800 47.0 N 33.0 W 992 40 Extratropical/OPC wrngs 04 AUG 07 0000 47.0 N 27.0 W 997 35 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: BONNIE Cyclone Number: 02 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 03 1200 12.9 N 53.3 W 1009 25 04 AUG 03 1800 13.4 N 55.6 W 1009 25 04 AUG 04 0000 13.5 N 57.3 W 1009 25 04 AUG 04 0600 13.7 N 59.8 W 1010 30 In Windward Islands 04 AUG 04 1200 13.7 N 61.7 W 1011 30 04 AUG 04 1800 13.5 N 63.5 W 1011 30 Weakened to trop. wave 04 AUG 09 1800 23.0 N 88.6 W 1007 40 Regenerated 04 AUG 10 0000 23.2 N 88.9 W 1006 45 04 AUG 10 0600 23.4 N 89.7 W 1007 45 04 AUG 10 1200 24.0 N 90.5 W 1002 50 04 AUG 10 1800 24.4 N 90.6 W 1004 45 04 AUG 11 0000 24.7 N 90.5 W 1004 40 04 AUG 11 0600 25.2 N 90.6 W 1001 40 04 AUG 11 1200 25.7 N 90.5 W 1000 45 04 AUG 11 1800 26.4 N 89.6 W 1001 55 04 AUG 12 0000 27.0 N 88.8 W 1007 55 04 AUG 12 0600 27.7 N 88.1 W 1010 45 04 AUG 12 1200 29.0 N 86.1 W 1002 50 04 AUG 12 1800 30.2 N 84.0 W 1006 35 Inland in NW Florida 04 AUG 12 2100 31.1 N 83.0 W 1006 30 Final NHC advisory 04 AUG 13 0300 32.5 N 80.3 W 1008 30 HPC storm summaries 04 AUG 13 0900 34.1 N 78.1 W 1008 25 04 AUG 13 1500 36.5 N 76.1 W 1009 20 Nearing coast 04 AUG 13 1800 35.2 N 77.4 W 1009 25 OPC marine warnings 04 AUG 14 0000 40.8 N 72.3 W 1012 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CHARLEY Cyclone Number: 03 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 09 1200 11.4 N 59.2 W 1011 30 Near Windward Islands 04 AUG 09 1800 11.7 N 61.1 W 1010 30 04 AUG 10 0000 12.1 N 63.1 W 1010 30 04 AUG 10 0600 12.7 N 65.3 W 1007 35 04 AUG 10 1200 13.3 N 67.3 W 1005 40 04 AUG 10 1800 15.0 N 69.8 W 999 40 04 AUG 11 0000 15.7 N 71.8 W 999 55 04 AUG 11 0600 16.5 N 73.8 W 999 55 04 AUG 11 1200 16.3 N 75.4 W 996 55 04 AUG 11 1800 16.6 N 76.8 W 993 65 04 AUG 12 0000 17.5 N 78.2 W 993 65 04 AUG 12 0600 18.2 N 79.3 W 986 75 04 AUG 12 1200 19.2 N 80.6 W 983 75 Just E of Grand Cayman 04 AUG 12 1800 20.5 N 81.6 W 980 90 04 AUG 13 0000 21.6 N 82.2 W 975 90 Just E of Isle of Youth 04 AUG 13 0600 23.0 N 82.6 W 970 90 Inland over Cuba 04 AUG 13 1200 24.4 N 82.9 W 965 95 04 AUG 13 1800 26.1 N 82.4 W 954 125 See Note 04 AUG 14 0000 28.1 N 81.6 W 975 90 Inland over Florida 04 AUG 14 0600 30.2 N 80.8 W 994 75 Moving into Atlantic 04 AUG 14 1200 32.3 N 79.7 W 990 75 04 AUG 14 1800 34.5 N 78.1 W 1000 60 Inland in NC 04 AUG 15 0000 36.9 N 75.9 W 1012 45 04 AUG 15 0600 39.5 N 74.0 W 1012 35 04 AUG 15 1200 41.3 N 71.1 W 1016 35 Inland near Boston 04 AUG 15 1800 42.0 N 69.0 W 1020 25 OPC marine warnings 04 AUG 16 0000 43.0 N 68.0 W 1020 25 Note: A reconnaissance aircraft at 13/1956 UTC, shortly before the eye of Charley moved inland, recorded a minimum SLP of 941 mb and maximum flight-level winds of 148 kts. These correspond to a MSW of about 130 kts, and I've learned that most likely the landfall MSW for Charley will be set at 130 kts in post-analysis. In addition, observations from Cuba indicate that Charley was a 100-kt major hurricane at landfall in that nation. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: DANIELLE Cyclone Number: 04 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 13 1200 12.1 N 22.1 W 1009 30 04 AUG 13 1800 12.4 N 23.4 W 1009 30 04 AUG 14 0000 12.6 N 24.2 W 1009 35 04 AUG 14 0600 13.0 N 25.3 W 1004 40 04 AUG 14 1200 13.2 N 26.7 W 1000 45 04 AUG 14 1800 13.5 N 28.2 W 994 55 04 AUG 15 0000 13.9 N 29.3 W 987 65 04 AUG 15 0600 14.0 N 30.8 W 981 75 04 AUG 15 1200 14.7 N 32.1 W 981 75 04 AUG 15 1800 15.2 N 33.5 W 975 85 04 AUG 16 0000 16.0 N 34.8 W 970 90 04 AUG 16 0600 16.7 N 35.9 W 970 90 04 AUG 16 1200 17.7 N 37.2 W 970 90 04 AUG 16 1800 19.0 N 38.2 W 970 90 04 AUG 17 0000 20.3 N 38.9 W 970 90 04 AUG 17 0600 21.7 N 39.6 W 970 90 04 AUG 17 1200 23.3 N 40.0 W 970 90 04 AUG 17 1800 25.0 N 40.4 W 974 85 04 AUG 18 0000 25.9 N 40.6 W 978 80 04 AUG 18 0600 27.3 N 40.7 W 985 65 04 AUG 18 1200 28.1 N 39.8 W 994 55 04 AUG 18 1800 28.9 N 38.9 W 1005 45 04 AUG 19 0000 29.4 N 37.9 W 1007 40 04 AUG 19 0600 29.8 N 37.7 W 1007 40 04 AUG 19 1200 30.0 N 37.7 W 1007 35 04 AUG 19 1800 30.0 N 37.4 W 1007 35 04 AUG 20 0000 29.7 N 36.8 W 1008 35 04 AUG 20 0600 30.2 N 37.0 W 1010 35 04 AUG 20 1200 30.6 N 37.3 W 1009 35 04 AUG 20 1800 30.9 N 37.6 W 1009 30 04 AUG 21 0000 31.1 N 38.1 W 1009 30 04 AUG 21 0600 30.6 N 38.6 W 1009 30 04 AUG 21 1200 30.7 N 38.9 W 1009 25 Final NHC advisory 04 AUG 21 1800 31.0 N 39.0 W 1012 25 OPC marine warnings 04 AUG 22 0000 30.0 N 40.0 W 1014 25 04 AUG 22 0600 30.0 N 41.0 W 1015 25 04 AUG 22 1200 30.0 N 41.0 W 1016 25 04 AUG 22 1800 31.0 N 41.0 W 1015 25 04 AUG 23 0000 31.0 N 42.0 W 1015 20 04 AUG 23 0600 32.0 N 43.0 W 1016 25 04 AUG 23 1200 32.0 N 43.0 W 1016 25 04 AUG 23 1800 33.0 N 44.0 W 1018 25 04 AUG 24 0000 34.0 N 44.0 W 1021 25 04 AUG 24 0600 34.0 N 44.0 W 1018 25 04 AUG 24 1200 36.0 N 45.0 W 1020 25 04 AUG 24 1800 37.0 N 45.0 W 1020 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: EARL Cyclone Number: 05 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 13 1800 8.7 N 45.3 W 1009 30 04 AUG 14 0000 9.2 N 47.4 W 1009 25 04 AUG 14 0600 9.5 N 49.0 W 1009 30 04 AUG 14 1200 10.1 N 51.3 W 1009 30 04 AUG 14 1800 10.5 N 53.5 W 1006 30 04 AUG 15 0000 11.0 N 55.8 W 1006 35 Upgraded at 2100 UTC 04 AUG 15 0600 11.5 N 58.0 W 1005 40 04 AUG 15 1200 11.8 N 60.8 W 1009 40 Near Windward Islands 04 AUG 15 1800 12.1 N 62.8 W 1009 40 " 04 AUG 16 0000 12.5 N 64.4 W 1009 40 04 AUG 16 0600 13.0 N 66.3 W 1009 40 See Note Note: A reconnaissance flight into Earl on the morning of 16 August could find no closed low-level circulation and the cyclone was downgraded to an open tropical wave with 40-kt winds at 16/1500 UTC. There were no coordinates given for 1200 UTC in the Forecast/Advisory at 1500 UTC. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: FRANCES Cyclone Number: 06 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 25 0000 11.1 N 35.2 W 1009 25 04 AUG 25 0600 11.3 N 36.9 W 1008 30 04 AUG 25 1200 11.3 N 38.3 W 1008 30 04 AUG 25 1800 11.5 N 39.8 W 1005 35 04 AUG 26 0000 11.7 N 41.1 W 1005 35 04 AUG 26 0600 12.3 N 43.0 W 996 50 04 AUG 26 1200 12.8 N 44.3 W 990 60 04 AUG 26 1800 13.4 N 45.7 W 983 70 04 AUG 27 0000 13.8 N 46.8 W 980 75 04 AUG 27 0600 14.2 N 48.0 W 975 80 04 AUG 27 1200 14.7 N 48.6 W 970 90 04 AUG 27 1800 15.4 N 49.4 W 962 100 04 AUG 28 0000 16.0 N 50.1 W 962 100 04 AUG 28 0600 16.7 N 50.9 W 962 100 04 AUG 28 1200 17.2 N 51.6 W 958 105 04 AUG 28 1800 17.7 N 52.3 W 948 115 04 AUG 29 0000 18.1 N 53.0 W 948 115 04 AUG 29 0600 18.4 N 53.7 W 948 115 04 AUG 29 1200 18.5 N 54.3 W 948 115 04 AUG 29 1800 18.7 N 55.1 W 949 115 04 AUG 30 0000 18.8 N 55.8 W 954 110 04 AUG 30 0600 19.0 N 56.8 W 958 110 04 AUG 30 1200 19.2 N 58.1 W 956 105 04 AUG 30 1800 19.4 N 59.4 W 948 105 04 AUG 31 0000 19.6 N 60.7 W 945 110 04 AUG 31 0600 19.8 N 62.1 W 949 110 04 AUG 31 1200 19.9 N 63.3 W 950 115 04 AUG 31 1800 20.3 N 65.1 W 939 120 04 SEP 01 0000 20.6 N 66.3 W 939 120 04 SEP 01 0600 21.0 N 67.9 W 935 120 04 SEP 01 1200 21.4 N 69.1 W 937 120 04 SEP 01 1800 21.8 N 70.5 W 941 120 04 SEP 02 0000 22.3 N 71.4 W 939 120 04 SEP 02 0600 22.7 N 72.5 W 936 125 04 SEP 02 1200 23.2 N 73.5 W 939 125 04 SEP 02 1800 23.8 N 74.3 W 948 125 Near San Salvador I. 04 SEP 03 0000 24.2 N 74.9 W 948 120 04 SEP 03 0600 24.7 N 75.7 W 954 105 Over Cat Island 04 SEP 03 1200 25.3 N 76.3 W 957 105 Over Eleuthera Island 04 SEP 03 1800 25.7 N 77.2 W 959 100 Near S tip Great Abaco 04 SEP 04 0000 26.0 N 77.6 W 960 90 04 SEP 04 0600 26.4 N 77.9 W 960 90 04 SEP 04 1200 26.8 N 78.5 W 961 90 Over Grand Bahama I. 04 SEP 04 1800 26.8 N 79.2 W 962 90 04 SEP 05 0000 27.0 N 79.5 W 960 90 04 SEP 05 0600 27.2 N 80.3 W 963 90 04 SEP 05 1200 27.5 N 80.8 W 975 80 Center inland in FL 04 SEP 05 1800 27.8 N 81.7 W 975 65 04 SEP 06 0000 28.1 N 82.3 W 976 55 04 SEP 06 0600 28.6 N 83.3 W 981 55 Over Gulf of Mexico 04 SEP 06 1200 29.2 N 83.8 W 980 55 04 SEP 06 1800 30.2 N 84.1 W 982 55 04 SEP 07 0000 31.1 N 84.5 W 985 35 Inland once more 04 SEP 07 0300 31.3 N 84.6 W 985 30 Final NHC advisory 04 SEP 07 0900 32.0 N 85.1 W 992 17 HPC storm summaries 04 SEP 07 1500 32.4 N 85.3 W 996 17 04 SEP 07 2100 33.0 N 84.6 W 997 13 04 SEP 08 0300 33.9 N 83.8 W 998 13 04 SEP 08 0900 34.4 N 84.3 W 999 13 04 SEP 08 1500 36.1 N 82.9 W 1000 13 04 SEP 08 2100 38.1 N 82.0 W 1001 13 04 SEP 09 0300 39.3 N 80.7 W 1001 13 04 SEP 09 0900 41.4 N 79.4 W 1004 17 04 SEP 09 1500 43.3 N 77.1 W 1002 17 04 SEP 09 2100 44.8 N 74.6 W 1002 17 04 SEP 10 0300 46.5 N 71.5 W 1004 17 04 SEP 10 0600 46.0 N 71.0 W 1004 30 OPC marine warnings 04 SEP 10 1200 46.0 N 69.0 W 1005 30 See Note Note: At 10/1200 UTC Frances' remnant was the southwesternmost center of a complex LOW with the main center near 48N/65W, moving to the east- northeast at 40 kts. The post-Frances center was moving in the same direction at 30 kts. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: GASTON Cyclone Number: 07 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 27 1800 31.6 N 78.0 W 1014 25 04 AUG 28 0000 31.4 N 78.0 W 1012 25 04 AUG 28 0600 31.3 N 78.2 W 1011 25 04 AUG 28 1200 31.4 N 78.3 W 1009 30 04 AUG 28 1800 31.3 N 78.7 W 996 35 Upgraded at 1500 UTC 04 AUG 29 0000 31.5 N 79.1 W 994 55 04 AUG 29 0600 32.1 N 79.4 W 991 55 04 AUG 29 1200 32.8 N 79.6 W 992 60 04 AUG 29 1800 33.5 N 79.6 W 1000 40 Inland in SC 04 AUG 29 2100 33.9 N 79.6 W 1000 35 04 AUG 30 0000 34.2 N 79.4 W 998 30 Final NHC advisory 04 AUG 30 0300 34.5 N 79.4 W 998 30 HPC storm summaries 04 AUG 30 0900 35.2 N 79.0 W 997 30 04 AUG 30 1500 35.7 N 78.3 W 1001 25 04 AUG 30 2100 36.7 N 77.1 W 1001 25 Final HPC summary 04 AUG 31 0000 37.2 N 76.6 W 1001 35 NHC advisories 04 AUG 31 0600 38.0 N 74.8 W 1001 35 04 AUG 31 1200 39.1 N 72.9 W 1001 35 04 AUG 31 1800 40.1 N 70.1 W 999 35 04 SEP 01 0000 41.3 N 67.5 W 999 35 04 SEP 01 0600 41.7 N 63.5 W 999 45 Final NHC advisory/XTrp 04 SEP 01 1200 43.0 N 60.0 W 1000 45 OPC marine warnings 04 SEP 01 1800 45.0 N 56.0 W 998 45 04 SEP 02 0000 46.0 N 50.0 W 998 45 04 SEP 02 0600 48.0 N 45.0 W 996 45 04 SEP 02 1200 51.0 N 37.0 W 994 45 04 SEP 02 1800 51.0 N 32.0 W 994 40 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: HERMINE Cyclone Number: 08 Basin: ATL Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 29 1800 32.0 N 70.7 W 1008 35 04 AUG 30 0000 32.6 N 71.1 W 1005 40 04 AUG 30 0600 33.8 N 71.5 W 1000 45 04 AUG 30 1200 35.8 N 71.5 W 1007 45 04 AUG 30 1800 37.5 N 71.4 W 1008 45 04 AUG 31 0000 39.9 N 71.3 W 1010 35 04 AUG 31 0600 41.5 N 70.9 W 1013 35 Inland in MA 04 AUG 31 0900 42.4 N 69.9 W 1013 25 Final advisory/XTrp ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHEAST PACIFIC (NEP) - North Pacific Ocean East of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates, central pressure and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values were obtained from the operational forecast/advisories issued by the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida, for locations east of longitude 140W, and from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center in Honolulu, Hawaii, for locations west of longitude 140W. A 1-minute averaging period is the standard used by all U. S. civilian and military warning services for tropical cyclone warnings. Systems Tracked --------------- Tropical Storm ESTELLE (07E) 19 - 26 Aug Hurricane FRANK (08E) 23 - 26 Aug Tropical Depression (09E) 23 - 26 Aug Tropical Storm GEORGETTE (10E) 26 - 30 Aug Hurricane HOWARD (11E) 30 Aug - 05 Sep ************************************************************************* Storm Name: ESTELLE Cyclone Number: 07E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 19 0600 11.6 N 131.8 W 1008 30 04 AUG 19 1200 11.6 N 132.7 W 1008 30 04 AUG 19 1800 12.0 N 134.0 W 1008 30 04 AUG 20 0000 12.9 N 135.0 W 1007 30 04 AUG 20 0600 13.6 N 136.3 W 1006 35 04 AUG 20 1200 13.9 N 137.3 W 1005 35 04 AUG 20 1800 14.0 N 138.3 W 1000 45 04 AUG 21 0000 14.3 N 139.3 W 994 55 04 AUG 21 0600 14.6 N 140.4 W 992 55 04 AUG 21 1200 14.9 N 140.9 W 990 60 04 AUG 21 1800 15.3 N 141.2 W 990 60 04 AUG 22 0000 15.8 N 141.6 W 995 55 04 AUG 22 0600 16.1 N 142.1 W 996 50 04 AUG 22 1200 16.1 N 142.5 W 998 45 04 AUG 22 1800 16.2 N 142.8 W 998 35 04 AUG 23 0000 16.4 N 143.4 W 998 30 04 AUG 23 0600 16.4 N 144.2 W 1002 30 04 AUG 23 1200 16.3 N 145.1 W 1006 30 04 AUG 23 1800 16.2 N 145.9 W 1008 30 04 AUG 24 0000 15.7 N 147.0 W 1010 25 04 AUG 24 0600 15.7 N 148.2 W 1012 25 04 AUG 24 1200 15.3 N 149.2 W 1012 25 04 AUG 24 1800 14.9 N 150.2 W 1010 25 04 AUG 25 0000 14.8 N 151.1 W 1010 25 04 AUG 25 0600 14.4 N 152.1 W 1010 25 04 AUG 25 1200 14.4 N 153.3 W 1010 25 04 AUG 25 1800 14.0 N 154.3 W 1010 25 04 AUG 26 0000 13.8 N 155.6 W 1011 20 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: FRANK Cyclone Number: 08E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 23 0600 16.7 N 110.3 W 1005 30 04 AUG 23 1200 17.3 N 111.3 W 1004 35 04 AUG 23 1645 17.8 N 112.2 W 992 55 Special advisory 04 AUG 23 1800 18.0 N 112.5 W 987 65 04 AUG 24 0000 18.9 N 113.2 W 987 65 04 AUG 24 0600 19.7 N 114.0 W 979 75 04 AUG 24 1200 20.5 N 114.5 W 979 75 04 AUG 24 1800 21.0 N 115.0 W 983 70 04 AUG 25 0000 21.7 N 115.5 W 987 65 04 AUG 25 0600 22.0 N 116.3 W 997 50 04 AUG 25 1200 22.0 N 117.0 W 997 50 04 AUG 25 1800 22.1 N 117.7 W 1002 40 04 AUG 26 0000 22.3 N 118.4 W 1006 30 04 AUG 26 0600 22.4 N 119.0 W 1007 25 04 AUG 26 1200 22.6 N 119.7 W 1007 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 09E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 23 1800 17.2 N 123.6 W 1008 25 04 AUG 24 0000 17.8 N 123.6 W 1006 25 04 AUG 24 0600 18.5 N 124.2 W 1005 25 04 AUG 24 1200 18.6 N 124.2 W 1005 30 04 AUG 24 1800 18.6 N 124.8 W 1005 30 04 AUG 25 0000 18.9 N 125.4 W 1005 30 04 AUG 25 0600 19.2 N 126.0 W 1007 25 04 AUG 25 1200 19.4 N 126.8 W 1007 25 04 AUG 25 1800 19.6 N 127.6 W 1008 25 04 AUG 26 0000 20.0 N 128.7 W 1009 25 04 AUG 26 0600 20.0 N 129.7 W 1009 25 04 AUG 26 1200 20.0 N 130.8 W 1009 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: GEORGETTE Cyclone Number: 10E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 26 1200 14.2 N 105.9 W 1006 30 04 AUG 26 1800 15.1 N 106.9 W 1005 35 04 AUG 27 0000 16.0 N 108.2 W 1003 40 04 AUG 27 0600 17.3 N 110.0 W 998 50 04 AUG 27 1200 18.0 N 111.3 W 998 50 04 AUG 27 1800 18.4 N 112.9 W 998 50 04 AUG 28 0000 18.6 N 114.4 W 1000 45 04 AUG 28 0600 18.6 N 115.4 W 1000 45 04 AUG 28 1200 18.7 N 116.6 W 1000 45 04 AUG 28 1800 18.8 N 117.4 W 997 50 04 AUG 29 0000 19.0 N 118.5 W 997 50 04 AUG 29 0600 19.1 N 120.0 W 1000 45 04 AUG 29 1200 19.2 N 120.2 W 1000 45 04 AUG 29 1800 19.5 N 121.3 W 1000 45 04 AUG 30 0000 19.8 N 122.5 W 1004 35 04 AUG 30 0600 20.0 N 123.5 W 1006 30 04 AUG 30 1200 20.0 N 124.4 W 1007 25 ************************************************************************* Storm Name: HOWARD Cyclone Number: 11E Basin: NEP Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 30 1800 12.4 N 103.6 W 1007 30 04 AUG 31 0000 13.2 N 104.7 W 1007 30 04 AUG 31 0600 13.8 N 105.6 W 1005 35 04 AUG 31 1200 14.2 N 106.5 W 1003 40 04 AUG 31 1800 14.5 N 107.9 W 994 55 04 SEP 01 0000 15.0 N 108.5 W 991 60 04 SEP 01 0600 15.6 N 109.5 W 987 65 04 SEP 01 1200 16.3 N 110.7 W 984 70 04 SEP 01 1800 16.6 N 111.6 W 980 75 04 SEP 02 0000 16.9 N 112.1 W 977 80 04 SEP 02 0600 17.4 N 112.7 W 960 100 04 SEP 02 1200 17.9 N 113.3 W 940 120 04 SEP 02 1800 18.3 N 113.9 W 940 120 04 SEP 03 0000 18.8 N 114.5 W 945 115 04 SEP 03 0600 19.2 N 114.9 W 955 105 04 SEP 03 1200 19.9 N 115.4 W 960 100 04 SEP 03 1800 20.8 N 115.9 W 975 85 04 SEP 04 0000 21.7 N 116.4 W 980 75 04 SEP 04 0600 23.0 N 116.5 W 987 65 04 SEP 04 1200 23.3 N 117.4 W 994 55 04 SEP 04 1800 23.9 N 118.1 W 995 50 04 SEP 05 0000 24.4 N 118.3 W 999 35 04 SEP 05 0600 25.1 N 118.8 W 1002 30 04 SEP 05 1200 25.5 N 118.8 W 1002 25 ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* NORTHWEST PACIFIC (NWP) - North Pacific Ocean West of Longitude 180 Sources of Information ---------------------- The track coordinates and 1-minute average maximum sustained wind values in general were taken from operational warnings issued by the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) of the U. S. Air Force and Navy, located at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. The central pressure and 10-minute average maximum sustained wind estimates for most systems were obtained from warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency (JMA), which is the World Meteorological Organization's Regional Specialised Meteor- ological Centre for the basin. In a few instances, information from warnings issued by other Asian warning centers may have been utilized. The center position coordinates from JMA and other centers were com- pared with those from JTWC and annotations made in the Remarks column when the differences in general amounted to 40-50 nm or more. Michael V. Padua of Naga City in the Philippines, owner of the Typhoon 2000 website, sends me cyclone tracks based upon warnings issued by the Japanese Meteorological Agency and the Philippines' Atmospheric, Geophysical & Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA). Also, Huang Chunliang of Fuzhou City, China, sends me each month a table comparing the maximum intensities assigned to each cyclone from all the applicable warning centers in the Northwest Pacific basin. A very special thanks to Michael and Chunliang for the assistance they so reliably provide. Systems Tracked --------------- Typhoon MERANTI (14W / 0412) 03 - 09 Aug Tropical Storm MALOU (15W / 0411) 04 - 06 Aug Tropical Depression 06 - 07 Aug Typhoon RANANIM (16W / 0413 / KAREN) 06 - 13 Aug Tropical Storm MALAKAS (17W / 0414) 10 - 13 Aug Typhoon MEGI (18W / 0415 / LAWIN) 14 - 22 Aug Super Typhoon CHABA (19W / 0416) 18 Aug - 03 Sep Typhoon AERE (20W / 0417 / MARCE) 19 - 31 Aug Tropical Storm (21W) 26 - 31 Aug Super Typhoon SONGDA (22W / 0418 / NINA) 27 Aug - 11 Sep ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MERANTI Cyclone Number: 14W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0412 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 03 1800 19.1 N 166.2 E 1000 30 30 JMA: 18.1N/165.5E 04 AUG 04 0000 19.9 N 165.9 E 1000 35 30 04 AUG 04 0600 22.3 N 165.7 E 1000 35 30 04 AUG 04 1200 23.8 N 166.1 E 998 35 35 JMA: 23.7N/165.3E 04 AUG 04 1800 24.6 N 165.5 E 996 35 40 04 AUG 05 0000 25.1 N 165.8 E 990 45 45 04 AUG 05 0600 26.2 N 166.0 E 980 55 55 04 AUG 05 1200 27.1 N 166.8 E 970 65 65 04 AUG 05 1800 27.8 N 167.4 E 960 90 75 04 AUG 06 0000 28.7 N 167.9 E 960 90 75 04 AUG 06 0600 29.6 N 168.6 E 960 90 75 04 AUG 06 1200 30.2 N 169.5 E 965 80 70 04 AUG 06 1800 31.5 N 170.4 E 975 50 60 04 AUG 07 0000 31.9 N 170.5 E 975 60 60 04 AUG 07 0600 32.7 N 171.0 E 980 55 55 JMA: 32.5N/171.6E 04 AUG 07 1200 33.7 N 171.9 E 980 55 55 04 AUG 07 1800 34.9 N 171.5 E 985 45 50 JMA: 34.7N/172.0E 04 AUG 08 0000 35.6 N 171.8 E 990 40 45 04 AUG 08 0600 37.3 N 172.0 E 990 40 45 04 AUG 08 1200 37.5 N 171.7 E 992 40 JMA warnings 04 AUG 08 1800 37.9 N 172.3 E 992 40 04 AUG 09 0000 39.3 N 172.2 E 994 40 04 AUG 09 0600 40.0 N 172.0 E 994 40 Extratropical 04 AUG 09 1200 41.0 N 172.0 E 1000 35 04 AUG 09 1800 41.0 N 172.0 E 1002 25 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: =================================================== == Typhoon 14W/MERANTI/0412/0413 (Aug 3-9, 2004) == =================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 14W (MERANTI) 90 JMA Severe Typhoon 0412 (MERANTI) 75 NMCC Typhoon 0413 (MERANTI) 70 HKO Typhoon MERANTI (0412) --* CWB Moderate Typhoon 0412 (MERANTI) --# Note 1 (*): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this storm, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. Note 2 (#): CWB data was insufficient for me when I was away in Shanghai. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MALOU Cyclone Number: 15W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0411 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 04 0000 29.4 N 138.3 E 1000 25 30 JMA: 29.8N/137.8E 04 AUG 04 0600 31.7 N 136.0 E 996 30 40 04 AUG 04 1200 33.5 N 134.9 E 994 30 40 04 AUG 04 1800 35.6 N 134.1 E 1000 30 35 Over Honshu 04 AUG 05 0000 37.6 N 134.9 E 1004 30 25 Over Sea of Japan 04 AUG 05 0600 39.0 N 136.2 E 1006 30 25 04 AUG 05 1200 40.0 N 138.0 E 1008 25 JMA warnings 04 AUG 05 1800 41.0 N 139.0 E 1008 25 04 AUG 06 0000 41.0 N 140.0 E 1010 25 04 AUG 06 0600 40.0 N 141.0 E 1010 25 Note: JMA downgraded Malou to a 30-kt tropical depression at 04/2100 UTC. This system was one of the infrequent instances where JMA upgraded to tropical storm status while JTWC's classification remained at depression status. Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ============================================================= == Tropical Storm 15W/MALOU/0411/0412 (JuL 31-Aug 6, 2004) == ============================================================= TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Tropical Depression 15W (MALOU) 30 JMA Typhoon 0411 (MALOU) 40 NMCC Tropical Storm 0412 (MALOU) 40 HKO Tropical Storm MALOU (0411) --* CWB Weak Typhoon 0411 (MALOU) --# Note 1 (*): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this storm, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. Note 2 (#): CWB data was insufficient for me when I was away in Shanghai. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: None Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 06 0600 21.1 N 151.1 E 1002 30 JMA warnings 04 AUG 06 1200 22.0 N 152.8 E 1004 30 04 AUG 06 1800 22.5 N 153.8 E 1002 30 04 AUG 07 0000 22.6 N 154.5 E 1002 30 04 AUG 07 0600 23.3 N 156.3 E 1002 30 04 AUG 07 1200 24.0 N 157.0 E 1004 25 Note: To my knowledge JMA was the only warning agency which classified this system as a tropical depression. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: RANANIM Cyclone Number: 16W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: KAREN JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0413 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 06 1200 17.0 N 130.5 E 1000 30 PAGASA warning 04 AUG 06 1800 16.3 N 132.0 E 998 30 JMA warnings 04 AUG 07 0000 16.1 N 131.2 E 998 30 04 AUG 07 0600 16.3 N 130.9 E 998 30 04 AUG 07 1200 16.0 N 130.5 E 998 30 04 AUG 07 1800 16.6 N 129.8 E 996 30 30 JMA: 16.1N/130.1E 04 AUG 08 0000 17.5 N 130.0 E 996 30 30 JMA: 17.0N/131.9E 04 AUG 08 0600 17.8 N 130.6 E 996 30 30 04 AUG 08 1200 18.2 N 130.4 E 992 35 40 04 AUG 08 1800 18.8 N 130.6 E 990 40 45 04 AUG 09 0000 19.5 N 130.5 E 985 45 50 04 AUG 09 0600 20.0 N 130.3 E 980 50 55 04 AUG 09 1200 20.5 N 130.0 E 980 50 55 04 AUG 09 1800 20.7 N 128.8 E 980 55 55 04 AUG 10 0000 21.3 N 128.1 E 975 60 60 04 AUG 10 0600 22.1 N 128.1 E 970 60 65 04 AUG 10 1200 22.4 N 127.4 E 970 65 65 04 AUG 10 1800 22.8 N 126.8 E 965 75 70 04 AUG 11 0000 23.2 N 126.3 E 965 75 70 04 AUG 11 0600 23.8 N 125.5 E 960 80 75 04 AUG 11 1200 24.5 N 125.1 E 950 85 75 04 AUG 11 1800 25.3 N 124.3 E 950 80 80 04 AUG 12 0000 26.5 N 123.8 E 950 90 80 04 AUG 12 0600 27.4 N 122.6 E 950 90 80 04 AUG 12 1200 28.1 N 121.2 E 955 90 75 04 AUG 12 1800 28.3 N 120.0 E 975 70 60 Inland in China 04 AUG 13 0000 28.5 N 118.9 E 985 60 45 04 AUG 13 0600 29.0 N 117.0 E 994 30 JMA warning Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ========================================================== == Typhoon 16W/RANANIM/0413/0414/KAREN (Aug 6-14, 2004) == ========================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 16W (RANANIM) 90 JMA Severe Typhoon 0413 (RANANIM) 80 PAGASA Typhoon KAREN 75* NMCC Typhoon 0414 (RANANIM) 90 HKO Typhoon RANANIM (0413) 85 CWB Moderate Typhoon 0413 (RANANIM) 80 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade was adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the system was finally ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading 16W to TD status on the 6th, while NMCC classified it as a TD for the last time on the 14th.) Note 2 (*): The MSW is merely the "peak" value based on the limited warnings released only when the storm was travelling within the restricted AOR, so it may have not been the real peak. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MALAKAS Cyclone Number: 17W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0414 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 10 0600 23.7 N 154.3 E 998 30 JMA warnings 04 AUG 10 1200 23.8 N 155.6 E 998 30 04 AUG 10 1800 25.1 N 156.4 E 996 25 35 04 AUG 11 0000 26.7 N 158.1 E 994 35 40 04 AUG 11 0600 28.0 N 159.6 E 992 35 40 04 AUG 11 1200 29.3 N 161.0 E 992 35 40 04 AUG 11 1800 30.6 N 162.3 E 990 35 45 04 AUG 12 0000 31.6 N 163.7 E 990 35 45 04 AUG 12 0600 32.2 N 164.8 E 992 35 40 04 AUG 12 1200 32.9 N 166.7 E 992 40 04 AUG 12 1800 33.2 N 168.4 E 992 40 04 AUG 13 0000 33.6 N 170.7 E 992 40 04 AUG 13 0600 34.8 N 173.2 E 992 40 04 AUG 13 1200 35.5 N 176.0 E 994 35 04 AUG 13 1800 37.0 N 178.0 E 995 25 Extratropical Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: =========================================================== == Tropical Storm 17W/MALAKAS/0414/0415 (Aug 8-13, 2004) == =========================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Tropical Storm 17W (MALAKAS) 35 JMA Typhoon 0414 (MALAKAS) 45 NMCC Tropical Storm 0415 (MALAKAS) 40 HKO Tropical Storm MALAKAS (0414) --* CWB Weak Typhoon 0414 (MALAKAS) --# Note 1 (*): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this storm, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. Note 2 (#): CWB data was insufficient for me when I was away in Shanghai. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: MEGI Cyclone Number: 18W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: LAWIN JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0415 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 14 0000 15.0 N 142.9 E 25 04 AUG 14 0600 16.4 N 142.6 E 25 04 AUG 14 1200 16.7 N 140.8 E 25 04 AUG 14 1800 16.7 N 138.1 E 25 04 AUG 15 0000 17.5 N 136.5 E 25 04 AUG 15 0600 18.0 N 135.5 E 998 25 30 JMA: 17.9N/134.2E 04 AUG 15 1200 18.8 N 133.3 E 998 25 30 JMA: 18.0N/133.3E 04 AUG 15 1800 18.3 N 132.0 E 996 30 30 04 AUG 16 0000 18.4 N 131.6 E 996 30 30 04 AUG 16 0600 18.6 N 130.8 E 992 35 35 04 AUG 16 1200 19.7 N 129.5 E 992 40 35 04 AUG 16 1800 21.0 N 129.0 E 992 45 35 04 AUG 17 0000 23.4 N 127.9 E 990 45 40 04 AUG 17 0600 24.7 N 127.1 E 985 45 45 04 AUG 17 1200 26.3 N 126.3 E 980 55 50 04 AUG 17 1800 27.6 N 125.4 E 975 60 60 04 AUG 18 0000 28.5 N 125.2 E 970 65 65 04 AUG 18 0600 30.1 N 125.3 E 970 65 65 04 AUG 18 1200 31.2 N 126.3 E 970 65 65 04 AUG 18 1800 33.1 N 127.7 E 975 65 60 04 AUG 19 0000 35.6 N 129.4 E 970 60 65 Brushing South Korea 04 AUG 19 0600 37.6 N 132.3 E 970 55 65 04 AUG 19 1200 39.8 N 136.0 E 970 50 65 04 AUG 19 1800 40.6 N 139.1 E 980 55 JMA warnings 04 AUG 20 0000 41.2 N 141.4 E 980 55 Xtrop/Over N. Honshu 04 AUG 20 0600 41.6 N 145.8 E 985 50 04 AUG 20 1200 42.0 N 152.0 E 984 50 04 AUG 20 1800 42.0 N 154.0 E 984 50 04 AUG 21 0000 43.0 N 156.0 E 984 50 04 AUG 21 0600 44.0 N 160.0 E 986 50 04 AUG 21 1200 44.0 N 164.0 E 986 45 04 AUG 21 1800 44.0 N 169.0 E 988 45 04 AUG 22 0000 44.0 N 170.0 E 990 45 04 AUG 22 0600 42.0 N 174.0 E 992 40 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ======================================================== == Typhoon 18W/MEGI/0415/0416/LAWIN (Aug 14-20, 2004) == ======================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 18W (MEGI) 65 JMA Severe Typhoon 0415 (MEGI) 65 PAGASA Tropical Storm LAWIN 40* NMCC Typhoon 0416 (MEGI) 65 HKO Typhoon MEGI (0415) --# CWB Moderate Typhoon 0415 (MEGI) --$ Note 1 (*): The MSW is merely the "peak" value based on the limited warnings released only when the storm was travelling within the restricted AOR, so it may have not been the real peak. Note 2 (#): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this typhoon, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. Note 3 ($): CWB data was insufficient for me when I was away in Shanghai. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: CHABA Cyclone Number: 19W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0416 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 18 1800 11.7 N 163.2 E 1002 30 30 04 AUG 19 0000 12.2 N 162.3 E 1002 30 30 04 AUG 19 0600 12.9 N 161.4 E 1000 40 30 04 AUG 19 1200 13.6 N 160.4 E 996 45 35 04 AUG 19 1800 13.6 N 159.2 E 990 50 45 04 AUG 20 0000 13.7 N 158.0 E 990 60 45 04 AUG 20 0600 14.5 N 157.0 E 990 60 45 04 AUG 20 1200 14.6 N 155.4 E 985 65 50 04 AUG 20 1800 14.8 N 154.1 E 985 65 50 04 AUG 21 0000 14.7 N 153.2 E 985 70 50 JMA: 14.5N/152.8E 04 AUG 21 0600 14.3 N 151.9 E 985 70 50 04 AUG 21 1200 14.1 N 150.3 E 975 75 60 04 AUG 21 1800 14.4 N 148.8 E 960 90 75 04 AUG 22 0000 14.0 N 147.4 E 960 95 75 04 AUG 22 0600 14.4 N 146.3 E 950 110 80 04 AUG 22 1200 14.4 N 145.4 E 930 125 100 04 AUG 22 1800 14.8 N 144.8 E 920 155 105 04 AUG 23 0000 15.2 N 143.6 E 920 155 105 04 AUG 23 0600 15.6 N 142.9 E 915 155 105 04 AUG 23 1200 16.3 N 142.1 E 915 155 105 04 AUG 23 1800 16.9 N 141.2 E 915 150 105 04 AUG 24 0000 17.4 N 140.2 E 915 150 105 04 AUG 24 0600 18.0 N 139.6 E 910 150 110 04 AUG 24 1200 18.5 N 139.1 E 910 140 110 04 AUG 24 1800 19.4 N 138.7 E 910 150 110 04 AUG 25 0000 20.3 N 138.2 E 910 150 110 04 AUG 25 0600 21.2 N 137.6 E 910 145 110 04 AUG 25 1200 22.0 N 137.1 E 910 145 110 04 AUG 25 1800 22.7 N 136.6 E 910 145 110 04 AUG 26 0000 23.4 N 136.2 E 915 140 105 04 AUG 26 0600 24.1 N 135.7 E 920 125 100 04 AUG 26 1200 24.8 N 135.2 E 925 115 95 04 AUG 26 1800 25.7 N 135.1 E 930 110 95 04 AUG 27 0000 26.1 N 134.9 E 930 105 95 04 AUG 27 0600 26.6 N 134.5 E 930 100 95 04 AUG 27 1200 26.8 N 134.3 E 930 100 95 04 AUG 27 1800 27.1 N 134.2 E 935 115 90 04 AUG 28 0000 27.2 N 133.8 E 935 115 90 04 AUG 28 0600 27.3 N 133.6 E 935 115 90 04 AUG 28 1200 27.7 N 132.7 E 940 110 85 04 AUG 28 1800 27.8 N 132.1 E 940 110 85 04 AUG 29 0000 28.2 N 131.3 E 940 105 85 04 AUG 29 0600 28.8 N 130.5 E 940 100 85 04 AUG 29 1200 29.4 N 130.0 E 940 95 85 04 AUG 29 1800 30.2 N 129.7 E 945 90 85 04 AUG 30 0000 31.5 N 130.2 E 950 85 80 Extreme SE Kyushu 04 AUG 30 0600 33.3 N 131.3 E 965 80 70 Northern Kyushu 04 AUG 30 1200 35.0 N 133.0 E 970 65 65 SW Honshu 04 AUG 30 1800 37.1 N 135.8 E 975 60 60 Over Sea of Japan 04 AUG 31 0000 39.8 N 139.1 E 975 55 60 Near Northern Honshu 04 AUG 31 0600 43.1 N 143.6 E 975 50 55 JMA: 43.1N/142.4E 04 AUG 31 1200 46.0 N 145.0 E 976 55 Xtrop/JMA warnings 04 AUG 31 1800 48.0 N 145.0 E 976 55 04 SEP 01 0000 50.0 N 145.0 E 980 45 04 SEP 01 0600 51.0 N 145.0 E 976 45 04 SEP 01 1200 51.0 N 146.0 E 982 40 04 SEP 01 1800 52.0 N 146.0 E 984 35 04 SEP 02 0000 53.0 N 146.0 E 986 35 04 SEP 02 0600 54.0 N 146.0 E 988 35 04 SEP 02 1200 55.0 N 146.0 E 990 35 04 SEP 02 1800 56.0 N 148.0 E 990 35 04 SEP 03 0000 56.0 N 148.0 E 990 25 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ========================================================= == Super Typhoon 19W/CHABA/0416/0417 (Aug 18-31, 2004) == ========================================================= TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Super Typhoon 19W (CHABA) 155 JMA Violent Typhoon 0416 (CHABA) 110 NMCC Typhoon 0417 (CHABA) 130 HKO Typhoon CHABA (0416) ---* CWB Severe Typhoon 0416 (CHABA) 110 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was finally classified as a tropical system by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading 19W to TD status on the 18th, while NMCC still classified it as a tropical system on the 31th.) Note 2 (*): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this typhoon, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: AERE Cyclone Number: 20W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: MARCE JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0417 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 19 0600 11.8 N 138.9 E 1000 30 JMA warning 04 AUG 19 1200 12.3 N 136.3 E 1000 25 30 JMA: 12.5N/137.4E 04 AUG 19 1800 13.0 N 135.8 E 998 30 30 JMA: 12.7N/136.4E 04 AUG 20 0000 13.6 N 135.3 E 996 35 35 04 AUG 20 0600 15.2 N 135.9 E 996 35 35 04 AUG 20 1200 15.6 N 135.3 E 992 45 45 04 AUG 20 1800 16.8 N 134.6 E 990 55 45 04 AUG 21 0000 17.5 N 134.0 E 985 55 50 04 AUG 21 0600 18.5 N 132.9 E 980 65 55 04 AUG 21 1200 19.0 N 131.6 E 980 65 55 04 AUG 21 1800 19.5 N 130.7 E 975 65 60 04 AUG 22 0000 20.2 N 129.8 E 975 65 60 04 AUG 22 0600 20.9 N 128.7 E 975 65 60 04 AUG 22 1200 21.4 N 127.8 E 970 65 65 04 AUG 22 1800 22.1 N 126.9 E 970 65 65 04 AUG 23 0000 23.0 N 126.2 E 970 55 65 04 AUG 23 0600 23.3 N 125.3 E 965 65 70 04 AUG 23 1200 23.6 N 124.9 E 965 65 70 04 AUG 23 1800 24.4 N 124.6 E 960 75 75 04 AUG 24 0000 24.8 N 123.9 E 960 75 75 04 AUG 24 0600 25.3 N 123.5 E 955 80 80 04 AUG 24 1200 25.5 N 123.1 E 955 85 80 04 AUG 24 1800 25.6 N 122.1 E 960 85 75 04 AUG 25 0000 25.4 N 121.6 E 960 80 75 N. tip of Taiwan 04 AUG 25 0600 25.6 N 120.5 E 965 75 70 04 AUG 25 1200 25.3 N 119.2 E 975 65 60 On coast of China 04 AUG 25 1800 24.6 N 118.0 E 985 65 50 Inland 04 AUG 26 0000 23.7 N 116.9 E 990 55 35 04 AUG 26 0600 23.5 N 116.6 E 992 45 30 04 AUG 26 1200 23.8 N 115.6 E 992 30 25 04 AUG 26 1800 23.0 N 114.0 E 992 25 04 AUG 27 0000 23.0 N 114.0 E 994 25 04 AUG 27 1200 22.0 N 113.0 E 994 25 04 AUG 28 0600 22.0 N 112.0 E 996 25 04 AUG 28 1200 21.0 N 110.0 E 996 25 04 AUG 28 1800 21.0 N 111.0 E 996 25 04 AUG 29 1800 21.0 N 110.0 E 996 25 04 AUG 30 1800 21.0 N 108.0 E 1000 25 04 AUG 31 0000 21.0 N 108.0 E 1002 25 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ======================================================== == Typhoon 20W/AERE/0417/0418/MARCE (Aug 18-31, 2004) == ======================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Typhoon 20W (AERE) 85 JMA Severe Typhoon 0417 (AERE) 80 PAGASA Typhoon MARCE 65* NMCC Typhoon 0418 (AERE) 80 HKO Typhoon AERE (0417) 80 CWB Moderate Typhoon 0417 (AERE) 75 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the system was finally ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading 20W to TD status on the 18th. It was also the agency that classified the system as a TD for the last time on the 31th.) Note 2 (*): The MSW is merely the "peak" value based on the limited warnings released only when the storm was travelling within the restricted AOR, so it may have not been the real peak. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: None Cyclone Number: 21W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: None JMA Tropical Storm Number: None Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 26 0000 13.3 N 151.5 E 1008 30 JMA warning 04 AUG 26 0600 13.3 N 152.4 E 1004 25 30 JMA: 13.4N/150.8E 04 AUG 26 1200 13.8 N 150.4 E 1004 30 30 04 AUG 26 1800 14.0 N 150.9 E 1002 35 30 JMA: 13.7N/150.0E 04 AUG 27 0000 14.1 N 150.2 E 1000 35 30 JMA: 14.1N/149.3E 04 AUG 27 0600 14.1 N 149.8 E 1004 35 25 JMA: 14.0N/149.0E 04 AUG 27 1200 14.9 N 149.0 E 1008 30 25 JMA: 14.0N/148.0E 04 AUG 27 1800 15.6 N 147.9 E 30 04 AUG 28 0000 16.1 N 146.4 E 1008 25 25 04 AUG 28 0600 16.1 N 145.6 E 1006 20 25 04 AUG 28 1200 16.0 N 146.0 E 1008 25 JMA warnings 04 AUG 28 1800 14.0 N 145.0 E 1006 25 04 AUG 29 0000 15.0 N 145.0 E 1008 25 04 AUG 29 0600 15.0 N 144.0 E 1006 25 04 AUG 30 0000 16.0 N 140.0 E 1008 25 04 AUG 30 0600 15.0 N 136.0 E 1006 25 04 AUG 30 1200 16.0 N 135.0 E 1006 25 04 AUG 30 1800 15.0 N 134.0 E 1006 25 04 AUG 31 0000 15.0 N 133.0 E 1008 20 Note: JMA maintained this system as a low-pressure area in their High Seas bulletins through 1800 UTC on 1 September, at which time it was located near 17N/124E. Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ========================================== == Tropical Storm 21W (Aug 25-30, 2004) == ========================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Tropical Storm 21W 35 JMA Tropical Depression 30+ CWB Tropical Depression --+ Note 1: In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the system was finally ranked as a TD by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading 21W to TD status on the 25th. It also was the agency that classified the system as a TD for the last time on the 30th.) Note 2: CWB normally doesn't make any wind estimations for tropical depressions. Note 3 (+): Both JMA & CWB at one time or another forecast the TD to intensify into a TS, which never materialized, though. ************************************************************************* Storm Name: SONGDA Cyclone Number: 22W Basin: NWP PAGASA Internal Name: NINA JMA Tropical Storm Number: 0418 Date Time Lat Lon Cent MSW MSW Remarks (GMT) Press 1-min 10-min (mb) (kts) (kts) ------------------------------------------------------------------------- 04 AUG 27 0600 10.7 N 168.1 E 1004 30 04 AUG 27 1200 10.7 N 166.8 E 1004 25 30 04 AUG 27 1800 11.2 N 165.6 E 1002 35 30 04 AUG 28 0000 11.4 N 164.9 E 998 40 35 04 AUG 28 0600 11.9 N 164.1 E 992 55 40 04 AUG 28 1200 12.3 N 163.1 E 985 60 50 04 AUG 28 1800 12.8 N 161.6 E 980 60 55 04 AUG 29 0000 13.2 N 160.2 E 980 60 55 04 AUG 29 0600 13.8 N 158.7 E 980 70 55 04 AUG 29 1200 14.3 N 157.2 E 980 70 55 04 AUG 29 1800 14.6 N 155.7 E 980 70 55 04 AUG 30 0000 14.9 N 154.3 E 975 75 60 04 AUG 30 0600 15.5 N 152.8 E 975 75 60 04 AUG 30 1200 15.6 N 151.4 E 970 85 65 04 AUG 30 1800 16.0 N 150.5 E 960 95 75 04 AUG 31 0000 16.3 N 149.5 E 945 105 85 04 AUG 31 0600 16.6 N 148.5 E 935 120 90 04 AUG 31 1200 17.4 N 147.5 E 935 125 90 04 AUG 31 1800 17.8 N 146.7 E 935 130 90 04 SEP 01 0000 18.4 N 146.3 E 935 125 90 04 SEP 01 0600 19.6 N 145.4 E 935 125 90 04 SEP 01 1200 20.2 N 143.5 E 935 125 90 04 SEP 01 1800 20.8 N 142.3 E 935 125 90 04 SEP 02 0000 21.1 N 141.1 E 935 120 90 04 SEP 02 0600 21.7 N 139.9 E 935 110 90 04 SEP 02 1200 21.9 N 138.4 E 940 105 85 04 SEP 02 1800 21.9 N 137.4 E 940 110 85 04 SEP 03 0000 22.0 N 136.3 E 945 110 85 04 SEP 03 0600 22.3 N 135.2 E 945 115 85 04 SEP 03 1200 22.4 N 134.0 E 940 120 85 04 SEP 03 1800 22.6 N 133.2 E 940 120 85 04 SEP 04 0000 23.2 N 132.1 E 940 120 85 04 SEP 04 0600 23.9 N 131.4 E 935 120 90 04 SEP 04 1200 24.5 N 130.5 E 935 125 90 04 SEP 04 1800 25.0 N 129.7 E 935 125 90 04 SEP 05 0000 25.5 N 129.1 E 935 120 90 04 SEP 05 0600 26.3 N 128.3 E 935 115 90 Over Okinawa 04 SEP 05 1200 27.0 N 127.9 E 925 110 90 04 SEP 05 1800 27.6 N 127.3 E 935 110 85 04 SEP 06 0000 28.3 N 127.0 E 940 100 80 04 SEP 06 0600 29.3 N 126.9 E 940 95 80 04 SEP 06 1200 29.9 N 127.2 E 940 90 80 04 SEP 06 1800 31.0 N 128.0 E 945 90 80 04 SEP 07 0000 32.3 N 129.2 E 945 90 80 Near NW Kyushu 04 SEP 07 0600 35.2 N 132.3 E 950 85 80 Southern Honshu 04 SEP 07 1200 38.7 N 136.0 E 960 70 70 Over Sea of Japan 04 SEP 07 1800 42.1 N 140.9 E 975 45 55 JMA: 41.7N/139.4E 04 SEP 08 0000 43.6 N 140.4 E 970 55 JMA warnings 04 SEP 08 0600 46.0 N 142.0 E 960 55 Extratropical 04 SEP 08 1200 48.0 N 146.0 E 968 55 04 SEP 08 1800 50.0 N 150.0 E 974 50 04 SEP 09 0000 52.0 N 154.0 E 974 45 04 SEP 09 0600 53.0 N 158.0 E 976 45 04 SEP 09 1200 53.0 N 162.0 E 978 45 04 SEP 09 1800 54.0 N 166.0 E 980 45 04 SEP 10 0000 54.0 N 169.0 E 984 40 04 SEP 10 0600 53.0 N 172.0 E 986 40 04 SEP 10 1200 53.0 N 178.0 E 988 40 04 SEP 10 1800 54.0 N 179.0 W 988 40 04 SEP 11 0000 53.0 N 178.0 W 988 35 Note: Following is the MSW comparison table compiled and sent by Huang Chunliang: ================================================================== == Super Typhoon 22W/SONGDA/0418/0419/NINA (Aug 26-Sep 8, 2004) == ================================================================== TCWC Storm ID PEAK MSW (kt) -------------------------------------------------------------- JTWC Super Typhoon 22W (SONGDA) 130 JMA Very Severe Typhoon 0418 (SONGDA) 90 PAGASA Typhoon NINA 85* NMCC Typhoon 0419 (SONGDA) 120 HKO Typhoon SONGDA (0418) ---# CWB Severe Typhoon 0418 (SONGDA) 100 Note 1: In the title line the storm grade has been adopted based on the classification of the most "radical" TCWC. Also, all the storm names/ numbers available to me have been referenced. In addition, the starting date points to the one when the system was initially upgraded to TD status by whatever TCWC, while the ending date represents the one when the storm was finally classified as a tropical system by whatever TCWC. (In this regard, JMA was the TCWC that took the lead in upgrading 22W to TD status on the 18th, while both JMA & NMCC declared it extratropical at 08/0600 UTC.) Note 2 (*): The MSW is merely the "peak" value based on the limited warnings released only when the storm was travelling within the restricted AOR, so it may have not been the real peak. Note 3 (#): HKO never issued any real-time warnings on this typhoon, which remained outside their AOR throughout its life. ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* !!!!!! IMPORTANT NOTE - PLEASE READ !!!!!! To repeat the caveat which is included in the Author's Note at the end of the cyclone summaries--the tropical cyclone tracks I prepare are based upon the operational warnings/advisories/ advices/bulletins which are issued by the various tropical cyclone warning agencies around the world. Users of these tracks should be aware that they are preliminary and subject to revision during post-seasonal analyses of the cyclones by the forecasters and analysts at the several warning centers. For the Atlantic and Northeast Pacific basins, official tropical cyclone reports and "best tracks" can be found at the website of the Tropical Prediction Center/National Hurricane Center: The Joint Typhoon Warning Center's website contains links to their Annual Tropical Cyclone Reports which include that agency's "best tracks" for tropical cyclones in the Northwest Pacific basin, the North Indian Ocean, and the Southern Hemisphere: SPECIAL NOTE: Back issues of the global tropical cyclone summaries and monthly cyclone track files can be obtained at the following websites: PREPARED BY: Gary Padgett garyp@alaweb.com SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS BY: Michael V. Padua michaelpadua@hotmail.com webmaster@typhoon2000.ph Huang Chunliang huangchunliang@hotmail.com ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* ************************************************************************* Published: 09.21.04 / Typhoon2000.ph, Typhoon2000.com